She is. How is Trump going to win again, which will absolutely delight her, if he blows all that money?
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT6| I will not be closing this thread when the second wave hits.
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She is. How is Trump going to win again, which will absolutely delight her, if he blows all that money?
Source: Coelho Pushing Biden to Pick Bass – California Globe
californiaglobe.com
"According to a highly placed source in Sacramento, Coelho, whose 10-year stint included many atop the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, has been in close contact with the Bass camp. The source told the Globe that Coelho told another person that Biden's folks told Bass it's her or Duckworth."
Idk whether to believe this.
Bass has been one of my stealth picks for a while since I found out about her on articles about the darkhorse candidates for Biden's VP, just because she was one of the few black women with sufficient years of experience in politics and progressiveness that would be attractive to many Democrats.
After reading about her, I was convinced she would be at least on the B-list of Biden's VP nominees.
That's the most words I've ever seen that say nothing.
As the narrative around the Trump slips further into the abyss, and his polling suffers dramatically, Haberman has been more apt to report on the cracks of the admin. He's served his purpose for her, and it'll be time to suck up to another newsworthy figure for access soon enough.
She can't wait to get that book money. The first draft was probably already written and sent to her agent.
"537 miles"
"A complete ... wall"
Kyle Kondik @kkondik
Loeffler is the epitome of the phrase "trying too hard"
Conor Sen @conorsen
You pick the woman to win back "suburban housewives" because she's going to...fight to keep bases named after Confederates.
10:34 PM · Jul 23, 2020
10:37 PM · Jul 23, 2020
Kelly Loeffler @KLoeffler
As the daughter and granddaughter of veterans, I was proud to stand with @TomCottonAR to fund our military and provide pay raises to the men and women who keep America safe. Nothing is more important to me than backing those who put their lives on the line to protect ours.
I have been clear from the beginning that we do NOT need to rename our bases and I will work with @realDonaldTrump to remove this provision once and for all.
We can't let political games distract us as we strengthen our military, enhance national security, and support our American heroes. We must put America first.
10:12 PM · Jul 23, 2020
The Washington Post @washingtonpost
Senate passes defense bill by veto-proof majority, despite Trump's warnings over Confederate-named bases
10:46 PM · Jul 23, 2020
Loeffler is the epitome of the phrase "trying too hard"
Conor Sen @conorsen
You pick the woman to win back "suburban housewives" because she's going to...fight to keep bases named after Confederates.
10:34 PM · Jul 23, 2020
Kelly Loeffler @KLoeffler
As the daughter and granddaughter of veterans, I was proud to stand with @TomCottonAR to fund our military and provide pay raises to the men and women who keep America safe. Nothing is more important to me than backing those who put their lives on the line to protect ours.
I have been clear from the beginning that we do NOT need to rename our bases and I will work with @realDonaldTrump to remove this provision once and for all.
We can't let political games distract us as we strengthen our military, enhance national security, and support our American heroes. We must put America first.
10:12 PM · Jul 23, 2020
The Washington Post @washingtonpost
Senate passes defense bill by veto-proof majority, despite Trump's warnings over Confederate-named bases
10:46 PM · Jul 23, 2020
I think Florida Democrats are going to do whatever they can to have bass not be the VP
If people thought Bernie's comments "praising Castro" were going to cost us Florida...
If people thought Bernie's comments "praising Castro" were going to cost us Florida...
I don't know much about her, but why would Bass put FL in jeopardy?
Haberman was also the reporter who Don Jr and Guilfoyle fed bullshit to that they were gonna drive from South Carolina to Florida after testing positive there. She reported that as if that's exactly what would happen. Lo and behold, they lied and flew charter plane instead.
I don't know the extent of the comments but she apparently used some supposedly endearing term Castro's supporters called him when he died. Which I think if Bernie got in trouble for saying Cuba had a good literacy program I imagine that will likely become a big talking point.
I remember Shalala feeling the need to make some sort of statement "i invite Bass to come here and please talk to the Cubans who had their lives ruined by Castro so they can teach you about how wrong the thing you just said was." Or whatever. I don't think she would have said something or called her out unless it was bad.
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Given how much Haberman has sucked for the entirety of Trump's presidency, why do people still give her the time of day.
Interesting. Would certainly be good to know and hopefully it's part of the vetting process.
An article on the subject:
Florida Democrats recoil at Karen Bass VP float
The California congresswoman’s past comments about Fidel Castro "are troubling," said one lawmaker in the nation’s largest swing state.
www.politico.com
Biden holds early edge in ABC News’ Electoral College race ratings: ANALYSIS
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a discernible Electoral College advantage over President Donald Trump, according to ABC News’ initial general election ratings.
abcnews.go.com
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a discernible -- though not insurmountable -- Electoral College advantage over President Donald Trump, with multiple paths to the presidency but little margin for error, according to ABC News' initial ratings for the 2020 general election.
With this weekend marking 100 days to Election Day, ABC's race ratings place 279 electoral votes as either solidly or leaning Democratic -- slightly more than the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the presidency. Another 72 electoral votes are rated as toss-ups, while 187 are either solidly or leaning Republican
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Why potentially running up the score now can pay dividends later on down the road:
Here's the entire thread quoted for ease of use:
Here's the entire thread quoted for ease of use:
Yep, that number is going to spike, fast, if another stimulus isn't passed next week
Biden holds early edge in ABC News’ Electoral College race ratings: ANALYSIS
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a discernible Electoral College advantage over President Donald Trump, according to ABC News’ initial general election ratings.Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a discernible -- though not insurmountable -- Electoral College advantage over President Donald Trump, with multiple paths to the presidency but little margin for error, according to ABC News' initial ratings for the 2020 general election.With this weekend marking 100 days to Election Day, ABC's race ratings place 279 electoral votes as either solidly or leaning Democratic -- slightly more than the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the presidency. Another 72 electoral votes are rated as toss-ups, while 187 are either solidly or leaning Republican
Current 538 polling averages along with these race designations by ABC News
Lean D states
Minnesota - Biden +10.9
Michigan - Biden +7.6
Pennsylvania - Biden +7.5
New Hampshire - Biden +7.4 (Note: almost no polling)
Wisconsin - Biden +6.8
Nevada - Biden +6.6 (Note: almost no polling)
Tossup
Florida - Biden +7.5
Arizona - Biden +2.8
North Carolina - Biden +2.2
Georgia - Trump +1.4
Lean R states
Ohio - Biden +2.0
Texas - Totally even, +0.0
Iowa - Trump +0.4
Alaska - Trump +2.0
Montana - Trump +9.0
Based on polling averages Ohio, Texas, and Iowa should be tossups quite frankly. And Florida lean Democrat.
OP
OP
Don't worry Mitch McConnell is on the case.
OP
OP
I'm skeptical of that "deadline." I don't think they turn at all.
On what planet is a Biden 7.5+ state a toss-up? This stinks of game playing with narratives because putting Florida in the D column means the race is basically over.
Hillary was up by about that much in some states that she did lose (Wisconsin). The margins of error are pretty huge this far out, and it is really really hard to say whether a +7.5 in July corresponds to a 5%, 10%, 20%, or 35% chance of losing, and where the cutoff between Lean and Toss-Up lies.
OP
OP
Hillary at no point in the race had consensus leads in multiple states for this long or wide of a margin.
Yeah I don't understand their decisions on a lot of these states. Are they afraid to move more out of toss up?
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton
Wisconsin 2016.
I'm talking about specific states, and how large the error margins are.
It isn't about consensus leads and duration. That was Sam Wang's mistake in 2016, using the lower volatility of the race during the early portions as justification for less volatility in the future. That's really bad modeling practice.
Biden is a clear, overwhelming favorite to win. But coming up with a specific prediction for Florida (an overkill state) is hard.
Categories and predictions are often a combination of previous outcomes and current polling. At least for 538, there's an expectation for mean-reversion, so there's more "pressure" towards previous circumstances.
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Cool, good to hear. I don't watch a ton of broadcast TV so I wasn't sure if they were just on social media or if they were paying for airtime.
They like to buy ad slots during hanity/Tucker Carlson because they know Trump watches
Wasn't this clown supposedly a decent baseball player in his high school/college days? Looks like he has never worn a glove before.
If Dems were making these, the Repubs along with a subsection of Dems would start crying about "civility". Fence-sitter Republicans would also just ignore them if they were made by Libs.
I'm glad these exist and I'll worry about never-Trumpers after Trump and Trumpism is gone.
Yes. They play on FOX in the DC area so he sees them. They got him to waste $400,000 buying ad time in the DC area so he could see "positive" ads about himself. They've been very successful at getting into his head and setting up camp.
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