Poll also has Trump +1 with seniors which is worrying. I'm thinking this might be an outlier and hopefully not the start of a trend. Last month with Fox, Biden was +10 with seniors.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT6| I will not be closing this thread when the second wave hits.
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Poll also has Trump +1 with seniors which is worrying. I'm thinking this might be an outlier and hopefully not the start of a trend. Last month with Fox, Biden was +10 with seniors.
God damn it is incredible that we went from Obama to this. He is just such a fucking moron it is unbelievable.
Fox swinging 11 points toward Trump with seniors when literally every other poll has it reversed raises a huge red flag here. I'll believe outlier until I see this hold over. a month.
It is possible the "Run for your lives and be scared!!!!" campaign is having an effect on that group, but 11 points?
Actually, I think it is more nefarious than that. Trump sees COVID affect minority communities more that White. So he is purposely letting it run rampant, hoping it will diminish Democrat's voting base. A killer version of voter suppression. And Trump doesn't care if some of his own white base has to die in order to win reelection. They are acceptable collateral damage. It is a simple, horrifying tactic founded in racism.
This is precisely what it is and more people should be bringing attention to it.
The NRCC called again last night, and I finally picked up. Sadly, no one answered when I said, "Hello." Maybe they heard the eagerness in my voice as I got ready to tell them what I think of them.
Makes no sense. Why? He's done less than nothing, the economy is in shambles, even more people are out of work, and it's only going to get worse. Is there really a huge chunk of people who can be swayed to care more about culture war bullshit than about a deadly pandemic? Since he can't fill his rallys up anymore, I'm having a hard time believing that.
Makes no sense. Why? He's done less than nothing, the economy is in shambles, even more people are out of work, and it's only going to get worse. Is there really a huge chunk of people who can be swayed to care more about culture war bullshit than about a deadly pandemic? Since he can't fill his rallys up anymore, I'm having a hard time believing that.
And teachers vote heavily democrat as well, so send all the kids back!
They hypothesized that last week based off a few shitty online polls.
In the meantime, 3 reputable live polls have came out with 2/3 showing movement towards Biden (which at these margins gets harder and harder to do)
They are desperate for a reason for people to pay attention to them.
People really really hate the media. For those of us who don't it looks silly. But if you hate the media more than Trump, you see it differently.
The Republicans and Trump have been more disciplined in attacking Biden recently.Trump is being more disciplined than he was before but still completely shitty at attacking Biden. We will see how it goes. This strategy isn't new, but it is slightly more on message than before. People are still worried about covid-19 and ignoring is the worst strategy. The virus is going to hit terrible milestones like some states having much higher cases than New York, many more dead, 4 , 5, 6 million cases, etc. Whatever is that they do is going be overshadowed by the pandemic.
I think Biden's prime goal should be storing up what he has, and try to get young progressives and Hispanics back into his orbit. People think that VP choices doesn't help much, but in this case a Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, or Tammy Duckworth choice would definitely help Biden.
I think Biden's prime goal should be storing up what he has, and try to get young progressives and Hispanics back into his orbit. People think that VP choices doesn't help much, but in this case a Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, or Tammy Duckworth choice would definitely help Biden.
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He is going to make them recount the votes all the way till Jan.
This specific ramble sounds exactly like what I've heard from so many aggravated white baby boomers who know nothing, yet bitch about everything being "changed".
Especially the phrase "where did this come from?" followed by "they don't know".
Wait until he blames kids getting covid on purpose to make him look bad
Hasn't he already? He claimed it was a hoax to make him look bad.
He has done the hoax thing, but I say he will do that specifically.
Just reading the highlights here, that's another half dozen ads easily.
All this squirming and whining makes him look so weak. And here's a thought for the October surprise. Instead of spending all your efforts to spread dirt, maybe consider having policies and helping the 99% instead? No?
All this squirming and whining makes him look so weak. And here's a thought for the October surprise. Instead of spending all your efforts to spread dirt, maybe consider having policies and helping the 99% instead? No?
The Fox poll has a few issues, but it's probably just statistical noise. Bottom line is Biden is still in a favorable position and voters don't like Trump but DO like Biden.
That's a big deal and a reversal from 4 years ago when voters disliked both candidates so some decided to give Trump a shot.
Favorable/Unfavorable
Biden +11 (54/43)
Trump -13 (43/56)
This is NOT 2016.
That's a big deal and a reversal from 4 years ago when voters disliked both candidates so some decided to give Trump a shot.
Favorable/Unfavorable
Biden +11 (54/43)
Trump -13 (43/56)
This is NOT 2016.
Mnuchin considering forgiving up to $150K in PPP loans.
So regular folks got $1,200 and business owners get $150K... and maybe that $1,200 too.
www.politico.com
So regular folks got $1,200 and business owners get $150K... and maybe that $1,200 too.
Mnuchin: Congress should consider forgiving smaller business loans
“I know one of the things we’ll talk about is: Should we just have forgiveness for all the small loans?” Mnuchin said.
www.politico.com
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Trump at +1 with seniors still is a major improvement over 2016 for Biden and would almost guarantee him the election on its own.
I'm not going to start worrying about any polls until it slips down to the Biden +5 range. I keep hearing people say that Trump has a 4-5% popular vote vs. electoral college advantage, I don't think it's that large. I think a +3-3.5% popular vote margin wins Biden the election very narrowly.
In fact, based on the latest round of industrial state polling and Biden's polling with whites and seniors it looks like that PV/EC difference might be narrowing.
As long as Biden can stay above the MOE then I'll be happy. But I hope we (the US) swing so far left in voting that it sends a message that Trumpism is over.
"I'm brilliant and everyone should worship me", that's all he says over and over. No reason to do so, just he thinks he's entitled to endless praise.
"I don't care what the military says"
That's gonna sting. Vote Vets are probably at work already.
Seeing such a massive swing in just a matter of days for literally no reason means I would just disregard it.
Outlier one way to outlier the other. The effective Margin of Errors on crosstabs is huge.
Fox has awesome polls, though. If it does end up being an outlier and not a pointer to a future trend, it will be interesting to see where the error came from.
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