Before the coronavirus, said Tori Taylor, co-executive director of the grassroots Democratic group Swing Left, "we were seeing spikes in voter registration that really pointed to a strong spring and summer."
But by March, she said, "We really felt the decline across the country."
Because overall registration numbers have been so low across the board during the pandemic, Republican gains during that period have been too small in most cases to make up for months of pre-pandemic Democratic advances. Tom Bonier, TargetSmart's CEO, compared the registration shift to a footrace that was suddenly forced into slow motion. During that time, Republicans, though still behind, "got a couple of extra steps" closer to Democrats.
"It's not like they've built the lead," Bonier said. "It's really something where neither side should be celebrating or panicking about."