www.cnn.com
Didn't the Dust Bowl help create the political will for the New Deal? This does feel somewhat similar in that conservative ideology is utterly failing to respond in any way to a crisis, and reality is now making a dramatically clear case for collective action.
Sanders has to resign his seat before August, I believe, in order to trigger a special election. If he doesn't then the Republican Governor gets to pick a replacement. No polling regarding what would happen after. It would be a near-guaranteed Dem seat, especially if Sanders was the nominee, which he would be at that point.
Well this is a different argument right? Because I agree that if Warren gets blown out on Super Tuesday she should drop out, and probably will. But that's different from saying Warren's Super Tuesday strategy and debate strategies have been aimed at boosting Biden because she'd actually prefer Biden to be president over Bernie. Which is what you have been saying, and what I and others disagreed with, because it's so clearly a major break from everything we know about Elizabeth Warren's years-long personal relationships with both men but also the ideological and policy visions she shares (or doesn't share) with both men.
Hopefully Bernie can push for a Dem governor for VT at that point.
Bernie resigning to clear the way for a special election to coincide with the general election (which would almost assuredly result in Democrats flipping the seat) would probably be the cleanest, but if nothing else Democrats have vetoproof majorities in Vermont and can change the rules so Scott can't appoint an R replacement, if need be.
https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-early-voting-tracker-2020-primaries/
From the Univision poll on Latino support
https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-early-voting-tracker-2020-primaries/
Hildago being up 9% is big.From the Univision poll on Latino support
https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-early-voting-tracker-2020-primaries/
Pete's up to 5% with Latinos.From the Univision poll on Latino support
https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-early-voting-tracker-2020-primaries/
It's not a nothingburger. More companies will miss earnings this quarter and lower guidance slightly. I think the supply chain issue will be temporary though. Tim Cook said today or yesterday their production in China is almost back to normal. If the virus is seasonal the new cases and deaths numbers trends will improve and the media frenzy will subside as people get back to normal life. Even if you assume it's everywhere, what are you going to do, never leave the house again? You have to get on with your life and work at some point. Treatments will become more effective, vaccines will be made.
I think these polls from CNN are new and ... wow, that Texas swing. Sanders alone above threshold in California.
"In Texas, Sanders holds 29% support among likely primary voters, former Vice President Joe Biden has 20%, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg stands at 18% and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is at 15%. No other candidate reaches double-digits. Sanders (+14) and Bloomberg (+13) have posted the largest gains since a December CNN poll, while Biden has slipped 15 points. Warren has held roughly even. "
"The California results suggest the same four contenders hold the most support, though Sanders stands well ahead of the three contending for second place. Sanders holds 35% support, Warren is at 14%, Biden is at 13% and Bloomberg is at 12%. Sanders' support in the state has climbed 15 points since December, while Biden's has slid eight points. Bloomberg has gained seven. "
CNN polls: Bernie Sanders holds big leads in California and Texas ahead of critical Super Tuesday vote
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders holds substantial leads in the two largest states to vote in next week's Super Tuesday lineup of primaries, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in California and Texas.
edit: formatted
I think it's possible to see the Dust Bowl+Depression as paving the way for the New Deal without being an accelerationist, but merely a realist. Failure leading to punishment at the polls is a sign the system works.
Honestly, I don't know. I thought it was to be a spoiler to keep the race close and be kingmaker. But after watching the debates, I think he's delusional enough to not see that he's handing the nomination to Bernie.
The problem with accelerationism is that the suffering is pointless.
In terms of economic disruption and political reaction, a lot depends on how disruptive school and business closings are, what the fallout for tourism, airlines, movies, restaurants etc. is, and the extent to which this overloads the capacity for hospitals and ICUs to treat severe symptoms (and anyone else who needs care for anything unrelated) — all of which is very up in the air at the moment.
Anyone who isn't mentally tracking Sanders and Warren's delegate totals together when talking about the possibility of a contested convention is fooling themselves. Warren racking up a decent delegate haul before she drops out is Sanders' "break glass in case of delegate plurality."
