Is this prediction or polling.
And you better not be using this insider information on Predictit cause you know Warren is getting 100% of that vote.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT 3| "I think he's learned his lesson" says The Concerned Immoderate Darling Collins.
- Thread starter TheHunter
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And you better not be using this insider information on Predictit cause you know Warren is getting 100% of that vote.
In Virginia the only ads I've seen are Bloomberg (fifty times more than anyone else), Klob, and Steyer
Let's hope Biden doesn't get too big of a bump from SC considering there's been so much early voting. I'm ready for this to be over.
Seems pretty clear the electorate sees Warren as the Diet Coke to Bernie's Coca-Cola. Even if she were Coke Zero, I don't think voters who prefer tap water would go for her over Klobouchar.
Those Colorado numbers seen legit.
Not that I'm going to help on election day because I voted by mail already, yay
i really really hope he's not able to buy this election
ahh im super nervous
We cannot accurately resolve the question of which candidate is Cherry Coke without an answer here Doof
Sounds like Kamala Harris then
Which makes Cory Booker Mr. Pibb
Pete is Crystal Pepsi
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Barack Obama is calling on TV stations to stop airing an ad from a pro-Trump super PAC that deceptively uses audio of Obama to make it sound like he's denouncing @JoeBiden for selling out black people.
It's rank, ugly disinformation.
New piece:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/26/ugly-pro-trump-ad-weaponizes-audio-obama-showing-whats-coming/ …
4:18 PM - Feb 26, 2020
4:40 PM - Feb 26, 2020
NEWS:Barack Obama is calling on TV stations to stop airing an ad from a pro-Trump super PAC that deceptively uses audio of Obama to make it sound like he's denouncing @JoeBiden for selling out black people.
It's rank, ugly disinformation.
New piece:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/26/ugly-pro-trump-ad-weaponizes-audio-obama-showing-whats-coming/ …
4:18 PM - Feb 26, 2020
Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1Obama's office is denouncing a misleading pro-Trump super PAC ad, calling on TV stations in South Carolina to stop airing a spot that attacks Biden and denouncing it as an effort to "sow division and confusion" and "suppress turnout among minority voters." https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/26/ugly-pro-trump-ad-weaponizes-audio-obama-showing-whats-coming/ …
4:40 PM - Feb 26, 2020
I'm hoping just the opposite.
I hope Biden gets a massive bump in SC assuming he does well. I want this to be a legit two person race with both the progressive and moderate lane represented. And then just let the best old white man win.
But if Bernie wraps up everything with the moderate lane being the majority but fragmented, it will be a complete shitshow. You'll have people like Bloomberg going all the way to convention. Bernie will have a majority of delegates, but the party will not unite around him if it appears he's only winning because moderates are fragmented.
You may not like it, but Bernie will be a stronger nominee if he beats a singular moderate candidate rather than taking advantage of a spit-field that actually outnumbers him.
more exciting polls from TX and NC
twitter.com
the supreme court will destroy everything we want on Twitter
“@breakupbigtech @DataProgress CO and VA were on hayes last night, tabs on the site inan hour or so. NC and TX this week.”
twitter.com
It is just hilarious to me that all of the "moderate" Democrats refused to get behind a single someone and in doing so cleared the way for Bernie to win easily.
If those were the final numbers Warren would scoop up some delegates.
Still think it's a pretty good fallback strategy (Warren releases her delegates at the convention to give Sanders an assist on a second round of voting if it comes to that), though she should probably drop out after Super Tuesday unless she magically finishes first in a bunch of states or something.
(preventative so no one jumps on me, my comparison is specifically of Sanders' and Trump's path to their respective nominations, nothing to do with their candidacies, positions or personalities)
Still think it's a pretty good fallback strategy (Warren releases her delegates at the convention to give Sanders an assist on a second round of voting if it comes to that), though she should probably drop out after Super Tuesday unless she magically finishes first in a bunch of states or something.
Yeah dude's the frontrunner with high-20s/low-30s, it's pretty wild. It really is Trump 2016 all over again.
(preventative so no one jumps on me, my comparison is specifically of Sanders' and Trump's path to their respective nominations, nothing to do with their candidacies, positions or personalities)
So let's say that those DFP polls are accurate (and, given their track record, yeah).
Of the STATEWIDE delegates (NOT the CD delegates):
Virginia (34 statewide dels):
Bernie = 13
Biden = 7
Warren = 7
Bloomberg = 7
Colorado (23 statewide dels):
Bernie = 15
Warren = 8
Of the STATEWIDE delegates (NOT the CD delegates):
Virginia (34 statewide dels):
Bernie = 13
Biden = 7
Warren = 7
Bloomberg = 7
Colorado (23 statewide dels):
Bernie = 15
Warren = 8
Feel like literally anyone who isn't single digit IQ should have been like... wait a minute...
That said speaking of weird minority interactions from the GOP.
Who the fuck is this even for?
Trump campaign’s plan to woo black voters: Retail stores
The centers will distribute pamphlets and sell merchandise, including hats and sweatshirts embroidered with the word “woke.”
www.politico.com
I expect if Biden wins SC by a lot, most "please not Bernie" moderates will stop messing around with Amy and Pete and go back to Biden
I dunno, this seems like a clear cut example of what happens in large fields.
Single poll and all but those VA numbers really leap out at me because it should be a strong state for Biden.
no one should take any single poll as gospel
but from everything I can gather DFP is as close as it gets
Yes, and given how accurate DFP has been...
Obviously the big question is if voters come back to Biden after he has a good night in SC (if he has a good night in SC)
I was sure Warren would be fifth after Pete on ST. Pete might really drop out next week if he leaves some of these states with 0 delegates.
Right, but as with the Trump run-up you have the rest of the party losing their shit over an "unelectable" person running away with the nomination but it's really of their own doing. If this was a two-person race or a three person race Bernie would be having a much harder time.
Cherry Coke is fucking great. I don't really drink it because it's just not a good idea. It's too addictive, and I can't have it in my life anymore even though I'd like to very much.
Cherry Coke is Barack Obama.
It's how Trump won with a poor campaign.
At least Bernie has a good campaign.
Yeah I originally assumed the best Bernie could do on Super Tuesday was win California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Utah and Vermont. Which would still be impressive! 8 out of 14, so he'd win more states, but my guiding assumption was Biden would smoke him in the remaining six states - Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia - and come out with a delegate lead.
That being said, since then I've felt Sanders has a real shot at flipping North Carolina, Texas and Virginia. And if his math is good enough to win there, he's probably winning the other eight states (with more favorable demographics) by wide margins.
Regardless of how the delegate math shakes out though, 18 states will have voted by Tuesday and Sanders may have won all but four of them. (I'm counting Iowa as a Sanders win on the grounds of the popular vote, in case anyone wants to be pedantic about Buttigieg winning the delegate count there) If that's the case Biden is going to be a very tough sell.
jesse jackson
twitter.com
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jeremy scahill on Twitter
““Joe Biden is seen as connected to Barack. He was put on the ticket to balance the ticket, not enhance it... Biden was Barack’s right wing. With Barack out, there’s nothing left but the right wing.” 3/8”
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jeremy scahill on Twitter
““But Barack has not objected at all to the Bloomberg commercials. If he objected at all, it would change that whole commercial apparatus. His silence, permission to let Bloomberg do that, is a factor now in this equation.” 7/8”
twitter.com
Was at a MillerCoors facility, the very initial reports from Milwaukee news media saying they were told it was an ex-employee.
Rudy Giuliani asked me to cancel election so he’d stay mayor post-9/11: Pataki
He wanted to be “America’s mayor” a whole lot longer. Rudy Giuliani secretly asked then-New York Gov. George Pataki to cancel New York City’s 2001 mayoral election so he cou…
nypost.com
He wanted to be "America's mayor" a whole lot longer.
Rudy Giuliani secretly asked then-New York Gov. George Pataki to cancel New York City's 2001 mayoral election so he could remain in office following the Sept. 11 terror attack, a new book reveals.
The bombshell revelation is contained in Pataki's upcoming memoir of 9/11, "Beyond the Great Divide: How A Nation Became A Neighborhood."
In an excerpt obtained by The Post, Pataki recalls how he attended a press conference with Giuliani and then-Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi at Manhattan's Pier 92 on Sept. 24, 2001.
As they began leaving, Giuliani — who a day before had been hailed as "America's mayor" by Oprah Winfrey during a Yankee Stadium prayer service — asked Pataki for a "private meeting" and they walked into a small room to talk.
Following an exchange of the "usual formalities," Giuliani "dropped a bomb," Pataki writes.
"Governor, you have extraordinary powers to extend my term in office," Giuliani said.
I mean, obviously those CO numbers are also good for Bernie and bad for Biden, but if Biden isn't winning VA where is he winning?
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