Going by the post he quoted, I assume he meant "Taking the Senate while Trump wins is exceedingly unlikely. It's even less likely than the GOP taking the House."
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT 2| Dershowitz says "Quid Pro Quo on the Go?" [See Staff Post]
- Thread starter TheHunter
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He's moderate and will attract voters in key states with Senate seats up. People are more likely to vote for a Dem downballot if they choose one at the top of the ticket. He also—despite some serious policy errors—has weirdly high support among black voters which all adds to potential wins in GA and NC which makes taking the Senate multitudes easier. A coworker of mine who has family in NYC (and is black) supports him, saying that despite the hatred of stop and frisk, apparently he aggressively balanced the budget of NYC and improved the quality of schools in communities of color in a noticeable way. Not sure how accurate these claims are but it seems as though his appeal is not as lacking as a lot of people think.
Agree on that. You can see that enthusiasm gap in the first/second pick charts for sure. He's not a caucus darling candidate.
Nah, Maine is New Mexico with more poutine
--Poor
--Rural
--Filled with natives that don't speak English
I love both those states, tbh
His ad game's been on point, at least, and his existence seems to make Trump mad which is a plus.
James Carville's reaction to when Brian Williams brought up Biden is priceless. Two agonizing sighs. Funny shit.
How would Bloomberg even get in the race (for delegates). How many primaries has he missed the deadline for?
We need some polling of Super Tuesday. I'm curious if Bloomberg is denting these Biden leads in the South. which would just be a disaster for them.
But you're ok looking at his Cheeto orange face for over an hour?
if he's in for super Tuesday how many delegates is he actually missing out on? hmm... Beto you can still save us!
I think just the first 4 which are like 2% of the total delegates.
I just realized that I have become a Single Issue voter. That issue being, "Who can deliver the most Senate seats"?
... I hate being politically active. Why can't I just be a normal idiot who doesn't care about policy and political reality.
... I hate being politically active. Why can't I just be a normal idiot who doesn't care about policy and political reality.
What is Biden even offering seriously, I don't see him lasting even in the South.
The problem with Biden, and a lot of other candidates, is that they're pretending that society, economy and politics are more or less OK when it's been clear for a while that it is not totally OK.
To Trump's credit, he's identified that things are not totally OK. Hence shit like the trade war and heavy handed anti-immigration policies. The solutions are totally not helpful but that doesn't really matter, he's proposing something to tackle things people see as a problem. No one else is offering anything better so...
The problem with Biden, and a lot of other candidates, is that they're pretending that society, economy and politics are more or less OK when it's been clear for a while that it is not totally OK.
To Trump's credit, he's identified that things are not totally OK. Hence shit like the trade war and heavy handed anti-immigration policies. The solutions are totally not helpful but that doesn't really matter, he's proposing something to tackle things people see as a problem. No one else is offering anything better so...
Paul Kane @pkcapitolhttps://twitter.com/pkcapitol/status/1224874458051227649
No RBG tonight, folks. She's not here at SOTU.
8:56 PM - Feb 4, 2020
Because some folks find it unbearable to be governed by vicious idiots.
Beto was weak for months before that. His pivot to gun control at the end of the campaign was when that inspiring exciting candidate came out!
For about 10 seconds there was the usual cheering bullshit that happens at these, but after that it seems weirdly quiet, unusually too. There's a small crowd trying to whoop it up, but that's it.
Bloomberg is at 6% in SC lmao. He probably coukdve competed up to ~15% if he spent the same money.
Change Research > Selzer
I'm not smart enough to understand this
He's extended his staff to 2000 and they are paid up to November.
Don't tempt fate; apparently the man is ramping up his campaign with more staffers and money. He smells blood. I wouldn't be surprised if, with all the talk about him on the Media circuit, he throws some cash that way. Be interesting to see if his poll numbers improve due to the positive media coverage he's getting.
Change Research > Selzer
if Change is suddenly a good pollster then Biden in SC ain't looking so great lmao.
He won't do well here in the Idaho Caucus. Boise is really really heavily invested in Bernie. None of it will matter, because it's Idaho, but I can't imagine trying to compete here.
He has Emerson middle of the pack around Monmouth and Selzer, shit seems a little hyperbolic
I had to look this up and god damn this would be a bad look for Biden.
Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary with 25%, followed by Bernie Sanders (20%), Tom Steyer (18%), and Elizabeth Warren (11%).
Sanders leads among voters 18-34, Steyer leads among voters 35-49, and Biden leads among voters 50 years and older.
Biden (30%) and Steyer (24%) leads among black voters, and Sanders (27%) and Biden (17%) lead among white voters.
This is yet another shit show waiting to happen.
It's starting to feel like Biden's campaign is on its last legs. Not even Hillary dared to run such a feeble campaign and she had even bigger polling numbers.
Bloomberg creates so much uncertainty in the South that Biden probably won't even rack up delegates against Bernie.
More like I'm letting Pelosi be my filter. Her face tells me everything I need to know about what's being said.
Also there seems to be a permanent sky cam over the GOP side.
MD-07 primary 107 out of 313 precincts, 34% in
Kwisi Mfume - 9,221, 46.4%
Mary Cummings - 3,355, 16.9%
Jill Carter - 2,984, 15%
Terri Hill - 1,003, 5.1%
Kwisi Mfume - 9,221, 46.4%
Mary Cummings - 3,355, 16.9%
Jill Carter - 2,984, 15%
Terri Hill - 1,003, 5.1%
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