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US PoliEra 2020 |OT 2| Dershowitz says "Quid Pro Quo on the Go?" [See Staff Post]
- Thread starter TheHunter
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A Booty win would be dramatically annoying and pretty much just be a waste of everyone's time. As in, all these months of work in Iowa will have been for nothing, as he will be irrelevant after NH regardless, so wtf's the point?
(I don't gamble, but Harris looks like good money)
Fucking kill me. I've gone on the record saying that Abrams would be a Palin-tier stupid pick, but I was wrong in setting a base level of competency. Nina Turner would be the actual Palin pick. Jesus freaking hell it would be the dumbest/worst/whatever VP pick in modern US politics.
Happy caucus day, everyone.
(I don't gamble, but Harris looks like good money)
Because the person they're paraphrasing is probably a nobody. Hmm, one would think their editor would have caught that.
Another article to throw in the 🚮.
Everyone knows this and has known this for years. The change I'm pointing to is the discourse surrounding it - which was never as negative as it is currently. Usually you see a million pieces on how « as goes Iowa so goes the nation! » or « predicted the candidate 4 times out of 5! »
I believe you understood that was what I was pointing to already, though.
Is Pete worse with African Americans than Trump? Because if not, I really wouldn't worry about it in a general election scenario.
Was his intro music You Can Call Me Al?But he doesn't have that Extreme Paul Simon energy
in the media or on here? Because if you are talking about on here, everyone has been shitting on Iowa ever since Pete made a run, had nothing to do with Bernie
John Kerry and Hillary Clinton both polled better with black voters than their opponents (especially the latter) and both lost their general elections in no small part because of a failure to turnout that support in November. If just being a Democrat got you huge black voter turnout numbers we wouldn't have to worry about Republican presidents again. If Pete somehow becomes the nominee, his inability to catch on with black voters would be a huge concern.
Though presumably that same inability would prevent him from winning the nomination in the first place anyway
Yes, I'd take Biden over Pete. At least I can parce out the horrible things he believes in. Plus Pete would lose in a landslide.if Pete wins I'm going to be like
In the media. Sorry, should be clearer
Pete polling horribly with minorities and young voters will obviously impact turnout if he's the nominee.
Is he asking Republicans to caucus for Democrats? Because who the hell else would they caucus for? He doesn't have any competition.
I think he wants people to try and vote in candidates he has a better matchup against.
9 point drop for Biden and 3 point gain for Butti and Bernie.
Granted this poll had Bernie at 14 last week and was seen as an outlier, but throw it on the pile. A 9 point drop is something.
I beleive last fall Pete was the highest spender in Iowa, thats changed since new year though since Bernie droped so much in, but it wouldn't surprise me if Pete was at the top of the end results tonight.
Funny then that for the rest of the primary it was the Sanders supporters (along with Sanders himself) who kept rushing to the defense of caucuses as the best system, with all sorts of justifications but the fundamental reason being that he was winning them.
Sanders won 22 states in 2016, and only ten of them were primaries. The rest were caucuses. By comparison, Clinton won the other 28, and only two of her wins came in caucus states (Iowa and Nevada).
A poll of 30 rural Iowans. What's the MoE there? 33%?
Edit: Whoops, misread it. 300 is still fairly low though.
Is it really only 30?! Noone should pay attention to it then. No wonder it's producong funky results.
I even recall in 2008 Obama supporters (of which I was one) defending caucuses on the basis that they were cheaper for all these cash-strapped plains and mountain states to conduct than primaries were.
Absolute horseshit fuckery. Literally just towing the gop line all the way down till the senate majority leader lets her off her leash to keep her image.
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