Not sure how legislature works. Maybe i'm wrong but I saw some posts saying that it's not coming back up until 2021. lol. Maybe Kaitos can expand on this.
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US PoliEra 2020 |OT 1| THE ANTI BENGHAZI (Read Staff Post)
- Thread starter TheHunter
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Godamn, Virginia Legislature putting in that work. I hope their voters reward them for it. :(
This is heartening to see. Proves that Democrats can get things done when given the opportunity. Buy sadly history proves that a large part of the electorate doesnt care and would rather bring republicans back in power when things are finally starting to look good.
it's because everyone knows the Delaniacs are too loyal to ever flip
I thought we were ahead of 2019's pace for PoliERA OT threads, but nope, we're actually behind, assuming we hit 20,000 posts today. OT1 of 2019 hit 20,000 on the 25th of January, and that was without impeachment.
Bunch of slackers in 2020 so far!
Bunch of slackers in 2020 so far!
Rose Twitter apparently starting to go after Hickenlooper now that it looks like Gardner is DOA in the Senate race.
We're just saving our energy for the coming shitstorm that will be the primary after Iowa votes.
ASI's Iowa bumper sticker poll results!
Personally I think that Pete and Warren have the best logos
It will be slightly darkly hilarious when they realize Hickenlooper and Coons will have six free years to ignore anything Sanders wants as President.
lets get it started in here
is it not insane that that song was "let's get retarded"?
Dawwwwwwwwwwww
I thought deshowitz wasn't going to be a "full" member of the presidents council? just going to do the "history lesson"
I know she's only one pea (and a late addition at that) - but does Fergie's rendition of the National Anthem set the bar?
Shame on all of us, but we failed to mark the 1 year anniversaries of these candidates formally announcing running for President in January of 2019:
Tulsi Gabbard!
Julian Castro!
Kirsten Gillibrand!
Kamala Harris!
Marianne Williamson!
Tulsi Gabbard!
Julian Castro!
Kirsten Gillibrand!
Kamala Harris!
Marianne Williamson!
I like Bernie and Biden logos
ASI's Iowa bumper sticker poll results!
Personally I think that Pete and Warren have the best logos
Emerson does weight by education.
"The data was weighted based on gender, age, education, region, and based on 2016 turnout model. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, party breakdown, ethnicity and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=218) and an online panel provided by Dynata and MTurk (n=232)."
MTurks data validity is generally sound based on studies conducted to determine that very purpose. Where you have to be stringent is screening (after restricting for the United States) to adjust for how the Mturk pool tends to deviate from the national average. [MTurkers tend to have higher drop out rates, harbor more negative emotions due to under employment etc]
Mturk isn't the devil people make it out to be (it's far far far from perfect, but pollsters are also able to add custom functionality to the program). Figuring these systems out is becoming more and more important as landlines continue to decrease and themselves become skewed.
There's no point in guessing what the delegate counts will be. How the first four states go influences how people vote later
Brokered convention is how Trump wins. That straight up can't happen.
Dershowitz's arguments for Trump's defense have been noticeably, uh, super insane. The idea that a president abusing the power of his office (and in fact recognizing it as literally that, an abuse of power) does not constitute a high crime and misdemeanor, coupled with the notion that it's okay for the president to commit such abuses in service of his re-election if he believes his re-election to be in the interest of the public, is an extremely bad, dangerous, lunatic precedent to establish.
We might not have to worry about it, Iowa should shift things one way or another.
I'm pretty sure the 538 model runs a ton of scenarios. Based on early wins of different states along with people dropping out.
Yeah I was right:
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