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US PoliEra 2019 |OT9| I'm really glad I'm not on Twitter nearly enough to understand all the references
- Thread starter TheHunter
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Half the primary seems to be pinning their bets on some sort of upset in the first three primaries expecting to replicate an Obama's rise, I can't see it happening like that but who knows, most of these candidate's campaign already look like they're limping along at best.
I know, but it was one v one last time; noticably more enthusiastic support in a caucus in a super crowded field will go a long way.
It speaks volumes (pun intended) that they even feel the need to warn & threaten.
Not if multiple candidates are viable. Because it's a crowded field, there are going to be very, very few places where everyone other than Bernie will be non-viable (as happened at a handful of college area caucus sites in 2016). It cuts both ways.
bevin: I CHEATED AND I StiLL LOST CAUSE yoU PEOPLE SHOWED UP to VOte!!!
This is the kind of fuckery I was referring to. "THERE ARE IRREGULARITIES, THIS ELECTION WAS RIGGED OR TAMPERED WITH BUT I WON'T SAY HOW STAY TUNED BUT NOT TO THE FAKE NEWS AND PAY NO ATTENTION TO THAT GARBAGE TRUCK SPILLING BALLOTS AS IT DRIVES PAST"
I hope he gets boo'd at that game too.
Edit: Why is he leaving now for a game on Sat? Working hard. /s
The biggest advantage the app provides will be seen in places like California & Texas.
They also build their own texting app, so expect a lot of people to complain about being spammed by Bernie volunteers in the coming months. You can read more about peer-to-peer texting in 2020 here
Also a good read at Vox from July - Bernie Sanders is winning the internet. Will it win him the White House?
would be a good way to ride out the rest of this thread.
The Assassination of PoliEra's Thread Title by the Coward Autodidact
Admins are doing everything they can to keep Tulsi in the public eye. Between Hillary's comments and this thread title's extended life, it's no wonder she's doing so well.
Kamala is fantastic on the attack when she's working with actual substance. See Senate hearings where she's regularly dismantled Trump Toadies.
But Kamala absolutely sucks at bad faith political attacks with dubious substance. You can tell she's forcing it and doesn't really believe in the attack and it shows. Unlike Tulsi and Booty who can take shaky substance and make it seem like a hard-hitting attack or at least make noise. Harris is a poor BS-artist and can't shine shit like other politicians. So when she peddles shit, everyone smells it.
If Kamala does go after Booty in the next debate (which would be smart from a strategy standpoint), her staff needs to arm her with a substantive attack that she can actually get behind and go in prosecutor mode. If she can land a solid punch on Booty, she might even get a second look from some voters.
There are three things Americans love the most.
1. To worship celebrities
2. To tear down celebrities or frontrunners.
3. And a comeback story
Warren is starting to experience #2. If Harris can hit Booty with a good sucker punch, she might have a chance at #3. Especially the way everyone has been dunking on her, in some cases unfairly, the past 3 months.
A little late, but the only way Republicans will ever be willing to work with Democrats in the Senate is if McConnell isn't there. So, unless Joe has some secret plan to eliminate him, yeah, he's just being naive.
This was Kerry's 2.5% win in 2004.
SWPA is gone for Dems outside of Allegheny and its suburbs. Any strength that returns there will come from suburban Pitt extending outward, not the Demosaurs that live there.
This is Wolf's *17%* win in 2018.
My guess is Dems will flip Beaver eventually.
The issue in the Southwest is that those counties are decently populated, at least the ones immediately surrounding Pittsburgh.
Butler County actually might be the most vulnerable because there's a major Pittsburgh suburb called Cranberry that's just over the Butler line and could be a prime site for expansion. Beaver County doesn't quite have the same natural expansion, and the new natural gas plant is likely to bring in a lot of white working class folks.
The other issue being that there's still plenty of turf left to develop in Allegheny. Pittsburgh's still under-populated compared to what their infrastructure is built to support.
I have the feeling that some of the thread might want to push for Butti or praise him but they cant because the thread is in general are already p hostile to him, so they try to start moving the Pete overton window by saying that hes "overhated"
Here's what he did say:
iLLEgaLlY CoUnTeD aBSeNteE bALlOtS
One of the admins is a big Men in Black fan and wants us to forget all the flop titles.
Then I guess you have plenty of time to dream up little fantasies.
He really wants to go back to the Senate, which hung him out to dry, while also losing all his seniority?
I don't. His resume is just mayor of South Bend so I don't think the people in question would particularly be enthused by that. They probably more nothing Pete on the whole.
(Involuntary) retirement doesn't sit well with some people.
A couple of things -
1.) Kloubacher is still to the Left of every major Democratic running in 2008
2.) I actually think Mayor Pete could get black support, if Biden drops out.
3.) Rose Twitter is trying to dunk of Ayanna Pressley, and it's hilarious that it's largely the rent to own heiress turned socialist who's trying to the lead the charge.
1.) Kloubacher is still to the Left of every major Democratic running in 2008
2.) I actually think Mayor Pete could get black support, if Biden drops out.
3.) Rose Twitter is trying to dunk of Ayanna Pressley, and it's hilarious that it's largely the rent to own heiress turned socialist who's trying to the lead the charge.
Heel turns on issues.
Found donor-establishment money and is doing what the money wants him to do.
Zero visibility with key Democratic Party constituencies, with a related mess in his current job.
Explicitly doesn't think prisoners should be able to vote.
In an age where people want real economic answers and assistance, spouse's petty lie about flying coach.
If you like this in a campaign, then great there's a candidate running such a campaign.
Found donor-establishment money and is doing what the money wants him to do.
Zero visibility with key Democratic Party constituencies, with a related mess in his current job.
Explicitly doesn't think prisoners should be able to vote.
In an age where people want real economic answers and assistance, spouse's petty lie about flying coach.
If you like this in a campaign, then great there's a candidate running such a campaign.
Pete won't be able to escape the tapes. Don't see how he could actually make gains with black voters.
Yeah it's quite possible that Allegheny just gets bluer but the Pitt MSA is actually losing pop on the whole.
It's a very unclear table, but I think you are reading it wrong. The 'no first choice' in the column on the left seems to show that the column on the left is for the first preferences, and the rows coming from that column are the second choices.
QU definitely needs to have clearer tables.
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Huh think you might be right. In context with the rest of the graphs I thought that I read it correctly. Gonna retract my analysis and just leave the graph
there's Biden muttering about republicans having an epiphany and then there's this lmao
i'm reminded of kirblar's observation that racism is a luxury good
wouldn't the "Freedom Dividend" just exacerbate the problem
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