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Kaitos

Tens across the board!
Moderator
Oct 25, 2017
14,707
I personally didn't expect anyone in the Squad to endorse until after Iowa.
 

Royalan

I can say DEI; you can't.
Moderator
Oct 24, 2017
11,960
For those watching MSNBC.

Kamala is standing by her Twitter position, and DAMN she's spitting fire.
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Since I'm bored of the AOC stuff now... Can we talk about how Joe Biden may actually run out of money 😂😂😂
Hilarious, but I honestly think we overestimate how much spending actually helps poll numbers. Hillary out-raised Trump and I don't think it really helped her, Bernie's out raising everyone and spending it and his polls numbers are pretty much static. Get out the vote efforts are important, though.
 

Kusagari

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,421
Nobody expected the Squad to endorse Warren. But quite a few, including me, did expect them to sit the primary out. Or at least endorse way before or even at a later date for more effectiveness, but Sander's heart attack likely accelerated those plans.

I think this confirms that this is what AOC met with Bernie and Faiz about in Burlington 2-3 weeks ago.

So it was likely happening sooner than later anyway.
 

Deleted member 17092

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
20,360
With Trump being such a disaster and now with a strong impeachment investigation, I think Warren (and any person with a "D" next to their name) will likely win in the GE against Trump. But I think Warren will be one of those where the win will be extremely narrow and we can forget about the Senate. It's one of the big reasons I still can't get behind her. I want a dramatic drubbing that puts Trump in the waste basket and wins the Senate (or comes super damn close) while expanding the House Majority (via Texas). A complete repudiation of Trumpism and the Trump Era. I don't think Warren can deliver a complete repudiation and fumigation of Trumpism. With her there will likely be survivors and rebel forces that could quickly give Trumpism a comeback in 2022 or 2024 because outside of the progressive base she seems to repel a good chunk of the public.

But she still has time. She needs to work on making outreach to black Democratic voters, especially if there won't be a PoC on the ticket. And she needs a plan for how she'll appeal to Independents and stealth conservatives so it's at least not a bloodpath in the red states. If she can't maximize black turnout in purple/swing states and keep the margins reasonable with independents/rural voters, it's going to be ugly.

im with you man. Yes she is winning the dem primary as it stands but she has work to do.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,752
That was my point. An AOC endorsement is huge either way. It wouldnt be any more or less for any candidate.

But she was always going to endorse Sanders because it just makes sense.

Well, no, I'm afraid you're being short-sighted here? I apologize if I'm being rude here.

AOC's endorsement will mainly only hold relevance to the progressive side of the Democratic candidates, and as you and others already stated, Sanders is the closest running candidate to where AOC is on the spectrum. AOC, as popular or unpopular as she may be, isn't going to make Biden or Kamala supporters suddenly ditch their favorites to start rooting for Bernie Sanders. Likewise if AOC had (somehow) opted to endorse Biden or Buttigieg or whoever, her endorsement likely wouldn't cause many progressive voters to ditch their support of Bernie or Warren for a more moderate candidate.

The context surrounding this endorsement (the time, circumstances, position in the running) absolutely has an impact on the varying weight of worth that AOC's endorsement to a candidate has. Her endorsing Bernie right now primarily impacts the competition between him and Warren, most likely to help stem the bleeding of voters he's been facing after his heart attack. Could it result in a major shift where Warren loses a big chunk of supporters? Possibly, but considering the other circumstances going on in the race right now and Warren's continued upward swing in the polls in early states, I personally doubt that will be the case.

In contrast, if AOC had opted to endorse Warren here and now over Bernie, that would have most likely resulted in a rapid acceleration of decline for Bernie by her essentially supporting a consolidation of progressive-leaning voters to the candidate who didn't just have a heart attack, who is currently winning polls in Iowa and who is now the frontrunner of the primary.
 

CrocM

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,619
I think AOC is smarter and better at politics than me and everyone in this thread. She went from bartender to one of the most prominent politicians in one year. Gotta think she's got an instinct for this kind of thing.
 

MetalGearZed

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,928
Yeah, I'm not talking about the primary. Whatever y'all I'm not in the mood to get dog piled on and banned for no reason (aka when defending yourself against a wall of hostile posts about an innocuous post like this one is considered bannable hostility).

have a good night
Even amongst all voters, Warren's net favorability is not nearly as bad as Hillary's. The latest Quinnipiac had even had hers basically even with Biden's. The point is just to relax, and listen to the data and not to concern yourself with just the people around you who, once again, say they are not to be ecstatic for voting for another woman for vague reasons.
 

shinra-bansho

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,964
With a CoH figure for Biden can work out
$10.9M + $15.2M - $17.1M = $9M
Burn rate = 113%

I.e. He spent about $2M / 13% more money in the last quarter than he raised.
 

FreezePeach

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,811
I do appreciate (despise) where this thread is going though. Idiot pops in with stupid shit (ignores response)

evades detection, great success. Fuck off.
 

TheFatOne

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,923
With Trump being such a disaster and now with a strong impeachment investigation, I think Warren (and any person with a "D" next to their name) will likely win in the GE against Trump. But I think Warren will be one of those where the win will be extremely narrow and we can forget about the Senate. It's one of the big reasons I still can't get behind her. I want a dramatic drubbing that puts Trump in the waste basket and wins the Senate (or comes super damn close) while expanding the House Majority (via Texas). A complete repudiation of Trumpism and the Trump Era. I don't think Warren can deliver a complete repudiation and fumigation of Trumpism. With her there will likely be survivors and rebel forces that could quickly give Trumpism a comeback in 2022 or 2024 because outside of the progressive base she seems to repel a good chunk of the public.

But she still has time. She needs to work on making outreach to black Democratic voters, especially if there won't be a PoC on the ticket. And she needs a plan for how she'll appeal to Independents and stealth conservatives so it's at least not a bloodpath in the red states. If she can't maximize black turnout in purple/swing states and keep the margins reasonable with independents/rural voters, it's going to be ugly.
I think this is pretty unrealistic. We aren't getting a repudiation of Trump or Trumpism because this is what the Republican party is. This is 40+ years of the southern strategy at work. Trumps just the first guy who is saying the quite parts out loud. We will probably get more of these Trump types in the future. Right after Trump it might go back to "normal" for a bit, but sooner or later the base is going to get what it wants. The only way we could ever get a repudiation of Trumpism is if the modern Republican party folds and is split. Which is not going to happen in our life time.
 

Joe

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,605
Three endorsements is definitely more significant than one endorsement. I wouldn't be surprised if it helps with negative momentum in the Sanders camp. Skeptical it'll improve his numbers a lot, but it's not nothing.
 

Pixieking

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,956
Let's be real, if AOC and the squad were endorsing Warren this weekend, the reaction here would not be "meh endorsements don't mean much."

As Adam pointed out, endorsements in-and-of themselves are meh, it's just the context around them - and the possibility of them being surprising - that makes them big. Here, I'll give an example:

AOC endorsing Sanders right when the heart attack was first announced would not be meh, even if her policies line up with his. It would've been a truly great show of support, and signal a belief in Sanders that he can overcome whatever ailments he has.

But AOC endorsing him on Saturday, and not just that, but leaks on Tuesday night saying she's expected to endorse? That's not big. That's an obvious attempt to staunch the bleeding and turn the page in the media on the heart attack that's costing him poll numbers. But the heart attack has entered the public consciousness now, and that's not going to go away, no matter who endorses.

Edit: Warren both wins and loses in WaPo's Winners and Losers of Debate night:

Elizabeth Warren, the front-runner: For the first time in one of these debates, Warren found herself under sustained attack. Through a combination of debate format, Joe Biden's leads in early polls and Warren's unique political Teflon, she had somehow avoided it. That changed Tuesday, though. Warren was the focal point, with the other candidates all but taking their focus completely off Biden. It wasn't completely smooth sailing for Warren (which we'll get to), but it was an affirmation that she is viewed as perhaps the front-runner now.

The question Warren won't answer: Warren was given four chances to answer the question she has thus far refused to directly answer: Whether her Medicare-for-all proposal would increase taxes on the middle class. The fact that she passed each time wasn't surprising — she instead focuses on total costs going down for the middle class, including health care — but she did get pushback from across the stage, including from Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Beto O'Rourke and even gently from Sanders, who again forthrightly admitted taxes would go up under his plan.
 

legacyzero

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
4,252
Well, no, I'm afraid you're being short-sighted here? I apologize if I'm being rude here.

AOC's endorsement will mainly only hold relevance to the progressive side of the Democratic candidates, and as you and others already stated, Sanders is the closest running candidate to where AOC is on the spectrum. AOC, as popular or unpopular as she may be, isn't going to make Biden or Kamala supporters suddenly ditch their favorites to start rooting for Bernie Sanders. Likewise if AOC had (somehow) opted to endorse Biden or Buttigieg or whoever, her endorsement likely wouldn't cause many progressive voters to ditch their support of Bernie or Warren for a more moderate candidate.

The context surrounding this endorsement (the time, circumstances, position in the running) absolutely has an impact on the varying weight of worth that AOC's endorsement to a candidate has. Her endorsing Bernie right now primarily impacts the competition between him and Warren, most likely to help stem the bleeding of voters he's been facing after his heart attack. Could it result in a major shift where Warren loses a big chunk of supporters? Possibly, but considering the other circumstances going on in the race right now and Warren's continued upward swing in the polls in early states, I personally doubt that will be the case.

In contrast, if AOC had opted to endorse Warren here and now over Bernie, that would have most likely resulted in a rapid acceleration of decline for Bernie by her essentially supporting a consolidation of progressive-leaning voters to the candidate who didn't just have a heart attack, who is currently winning polls in Iowa and who is now the frontrunner of the primary.
End of the day- it's all about principle. Damm all that pageantry you just mentioned when it's all about policy.

Uhhh, Sanders "won" the debate?

Oh, it's TYT. Nevermind lol
Emma is a Warren supporter as well as Bernie. She regularly catches heat for it
 

Blue Skies

Banned
Mar 27, 2019
9,224
Welp my thread got #canceled


Anyways....
I love Warren and all, but she fuckign lost that debate.
if you've experience a meteoritic rise to frontrunner, you better prepare for the onslaught of attacks that are gonna come on a 12 CANDIDATE DEBATE ON CNN, and it feels like she was running her same "be chill and smart as fuck" strategy that won her the previous debates. It didn't work this time, and nownis the first time since she started that I doubt her.
 

Fat4all

Woke up, got a money tag, swears a lot
Member
Oct 25, 2017
92,808
here
booker and warren touched on the class issues with abortion, but i wish there could be a larger focus on women rights and planned parenthood in the future

maybe like a roundtable or sommit
 

shinra-bansho

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,964
I think Klobuchar and O'Rourke will probably have to drop out next.

They won't get onto the next debate and they're burning money faster than their cash reserves can probably sustain.
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Eh, I think Warren handled the attacks against her well. She managed to dodge Tulsi's disingenuous Syria bullet and burn some other people while at it. Still, people were out for blood.
 
Oct 25, 2017
6,927
Welp my thread got #canceled


Anyways....
I love Warren and all, but she fuckign lost that debate.
if you've experience a meteoritic rise to frontrunner, you better prepare for the onslaught of attacks that are gonna come on a 12 CANDIDATE DEBATE ON CNN, and it feels like she was running her same "be chill and smart as fuck" strategy that won her the previous debates. It didn't work this time, and nownis the first time since she started that I doubt her.
If only we warned you a thread like that would be locked and serves no purpose.
 

Deleted member 8561

user requested account closure
Banned
Oct 26, 2017
11,284
End of the day- it's all about principle. Damm all that pageantry you just mentioned when it's all about policy.


Emma is a Warren supporter as well as Bernie. She regularly catches heat for it

Ok?

TYT is trash regardless, twitter peoples opinions are less than dirt and more worthless than cow shit on a 100 degree day. I initially thought it was actually some CNN post debate polling or something.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,752
End of the day- it's all about principle. Damm all that pageantry you just mentioned when it's all about policy.

I don't disagree with your sentiment, and in an ideal world, the masses would vote on policy over things like pageantry, popularity or charisma. Unfortunately we don't exist in that world right now and we have to be smart of how to get that policy through and make it a reality.

That inherently means that you have to win the race first. So for now, the stuff that you may not enjoy about the process are absolutely factors that play into this. You can say "damn it all" as much as you want, that won't change the reality of the situation here and now.
 

FreezePeach

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,811
Speaking for myself here, but I wouldn't have cared very much. I'd be surprised for a moment.
Im gonna disagree. People would have cared a lot, but only because Warren is surging to #1 and isnt carrying the socialist baggage boogeyman Bernie is. That's why this is just a critical error all around. Selfish assholes everywhere when they learn Bernie isnt it and have an AOC endorsement are gonna do the same shit i heard in 2016 which is 'well there just isnt anyone in this election for me'.
 

aspiegamer

Member
Oct 27, 2017
10,460
ZzzzzzZzzzZzz...

TheFatOne

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,923
Sanders should use those endorsements as a reboot to his campaign. Shake up the staff, and try to figure out a new strategy going forward. His entire focus should be on the first four states and super Tuesday. If he can win a couple of the first states and do well on super Tuesday he has a real shot, but if he's consistently in third place it's going to be over pretty quick.
 

Arm Van Dam

self-requested ban
Banned
Mar 30, 2019
5,951
Illinois
I was really disappointed that the debates so far hasn't covered gerrymandering and redistricting, I don't know why it hasn't been brought up.
 

Joe

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,605
I wish we could get any news organization to be as dogged in the pursuit of an answer from Trump on any question as they are on their pursuit of making Warren say the words "I will raise taxes on the middle class."

We know what she means. They know what she means. The other candidates know what she means. The American people know what she means. But it is vitally important we make her say the magic words. She should just say Mexico is gonna pay for it.
 
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