Glad you've finally come on board for M4A, Kirblar.Replace Warrens trade POV w Betos and you have my dream candidate
Glad you've finally come on board for M4A, Kirblar.Replace Warrens trade POV w Betos and you have my dream candidate
Yeah. Warrens trade and nuclear policies are minuses. Still on board though.Replace Warrens trade POV w Betos and you have my dream candidate
I think unlike the specials in 2017/2018, there... really are no stakes here. This district might not even exist in 2020.
Right?
Either the GOP wins this in a clincher when they should've had this on lock or Democrats flip the seat from them. Either option sucks for the GOP.
This race has no bearing on what happens in the House.A win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
A win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
And it isn't like McCready's losing to some centrist Republican, he's losing to a psychopath.
the practical effect of Bishop in office versus McCready is... nothing. And it's not even like, well shit, the GOP has to spend to take this district back in 2020. It probably won't even exist.A win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
And it isn't like McCready's losing to some centrist Republican, he's losing to a psychopath.
A win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
And it isn't like McCready's losing to some centrist Republican, he's losing to a psychopath.
This seat actually literally means nothing in terms of power. Also it probably won't even exist in it's current form next year.A win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
And it isn't like McCready's losing to some centrist Republican, he's losing to a psychopath.
lolWe can't expect everyone affiliated with a presidential candidate to make a virtuous living. We live, after all, in a rapacious, dirty system. (Though it's worth noting Bernie Sanders's children include an advocate for the disabled, a progressive politician, and a yoga studio owner, while his wife is a former college president who currently runs a left-wing think tank with the help of another of their sons.)
Obstruct what? Be the xth vote in the minority in a district that probably won't exist in a few years? Wow, much obstruction there lmaoA win's a win, if they can keep clinching wins they get to continue to obstruct.
And it isn't like McCready's losing to some centrist Republican, he's losing to a psychopath.
Ugh.
Jon Ossoff is a weak candidate and I really can't imagine him winning in Georgia.
Obstruct what? This is a House seat that's been vacant for months now and changes nothing on House dynamic.
Didn't we say that before about him? Didn't we say that about the man who, performatively, is the better version of him (Beto)?
Do you see a better candidate for Senate for that race other than McBath who would run for the other seat?Didn't we say that before about him? Didn't we say that about the man who, performatively, is the better version of him (Beto)?
I mean, if he wins I'll be his #1 stan. But...I'm looking, and I'm not seeing an upgraded politician from when he ran for that House seat.
Yeah, campaigns should be largely running on identifying problems people have, rather than picking targets. But Warren's been the best so far identifying when the target potentially IS the problem. It seems risky to do but it helps that there's an actual related issue to discuss.This is only partially her team. I say this as a fan, but we're seeing Warren's weakness right now. She's the candidate of "plans"...she churns them out like McDonald's churns out chicken nuggets. And that's the thing...a lot of Warren's plans are...frankly, shit.
I'm really needing someone to take her to task for that.
If you wade into politics via news media/interviews/stumping/etc....Have to disagree with Jacobin here, I don't think it's right at all to attack Jane Sanders
No, I don't.Do you see a better candidate for Senate for that race other than McBath who would run for the other seat?
Pretty sure Missouri was still considered a bellwether state in 2008, before becoming super republican the times after.Man, whatever. It seems like this is right past the line of "oh shit Dems can take this seat" as we saw leading up to the midterms, right? So basically the landscape hasn't changed if this is an indication. It should never be this close. Just like Missouri in 2008 should have never been close. Or something.
I cannot believe Obama lost MO by only 4k votes in 2008
It's consistent with at least a D+6 (you know, right around the current GCB) environment, but of course it's only one data point of many.Also, with the margin being about R+2, that tracks pretty well with last year's environment being about D+8.6 or so. So again, nothing to worry about.
Correct me if I'm wrong Autodidact ?
Yep but knowing how fast it moved to the GOP it's insanePretty sure Missouri was still considered a bellwether state in 2008, before becoming super republican the times after.
Dan Bishop may have won but the number he won by means R's are still kinda fucked.
McCready won Scotland, but Wales will be a tougher nut to crack.
Why did it move so fast anyway?Yep but knowing how fast it moved to the GOP it's still insane
If Trump won this district by 12 points and Bishop won by 2, I'd think that'd point to D+12... subtract ten points from the margin, and account for the fact that Trump already lost the national popular vote by 2 points.It's consistent with at least a D+6 (you know, right around the current GCB) environment, but of course it's only one data point of many.
Yeah, campaigns should be largely running on identifying problems people have, rather than picking targets. But Warren's been the best so far identifying when the target potentially IS the problem. It seems risky to do but it helps that there's an actual related issue to discuss.
Online storefronts search-promoting their own or preferred products, or worse adapting others' products and selling their own versions of products remains an issue. As does discoverability in general. It's important because people do see these storefronts as a means to make a living and a vehicle for upward mobility.
See, I went by the PVI of the district.If Trump won this district by 12 points and Bishop won by 2, I'd think that'd point to D+12... subtract ten points from the margin, and account for the fact that Trump already lost the national popular vote by 2 points.
Whatever, all that matters is it's a stinky result for the GOP in any context beyond "well at least they didn't lose?"
I think you mean a SWING DISTRICT /gop messagingYup. They spent all this money on a district that was favorable to them and barely won.
Didn't we say that before about him? Didn't we say that about the man who, performatively, is the better version of him (Beto)?
I mean, if he wins I'll be his #1 stan. But...I'm looking, and I'm not seeing an upgraded politician from when he ran for that House seat.
No idea.
Because it's very high evangelical Christian population as well as non-col whites?
It's on brand for Sanders to have terrible surrogates and staff, but we call them out from time to time as well. When Warren puts out bad plans, the same should happen.Meh for the most part no one is looking at Forma's plans in any real detail.
She could put out a plan to end cat memes.
It's just on brand for her to be releasing white papers.
Where I'm coming from is this:I'm a little confused.
The GCB at the time was tighter than November 2018. He ran about the same as Hillary did in that district when accounting for the two party vote. The GCB got more Dem friendly, and McBath was able to take out Handel by a point. Given the fundaments, I think both performed as well as you'd expect, and I think the "he's a bad candidate" stuff is weird and not really backed up by what actually occurred.
I mean I already Neoliberaled for Apple against her!It's on brand for Sanders to have terrible surrogates and staff, but we call them out from time to time as well. When Warren puts out bad plans, the same should happen.
Probably if they lost a race with a lot of rural communities, it would mean they are doubly fucked.It was a tough road for McCready, as there were a looooot of rural communities in the district. Ultimately a meaningless race.
I never understood why so much focus was out here. But, I guess any win is a win?
Well, she doesn't have that plan out. That may need to copy/paste from Beto too.