I think the more alarming thing is the removal of the reserve requirement.
This is basically setting the stage for one really really REALLY dumb bank to have liquidity issues should a run on them happen.
No. Reserve ratios are not the backstop of prudential regulation and the Fed getting rid of them is just bringing it into line with many other central banks.Yeah when I saw that it freaked me out. US Bank already got a warning last week from playing the margins way too thin that the FED wasn't going to bail them out and now just 5 days later they are saying - "Hey forget about that whole having enough money to cover your asses you can use almost all your money if you want"
Yup i work in Life Insurance.
I am totally getting fired soon.
my company has been complaining about the low interest rates killing them for years now. And now at zero? im doomed.
It's a bit of a commitment, but for anyone who wants to understand these sorts of moves, I recommend videos from Khan Academy:
Money, banking and central banks | Khan Academy
Learn for free about math, art, computer programming, economics, physics, chemistry, biology, medicine, finance, history, and more. Khan Academy is a nonprofit with the mission of providing a free, world-class education for anyone, anywhere.www.khanacademy.org
No. Reserve ratios are not the backstop of prudential regulation and the Fed getting rid of them is just bringing it into line with many other central banks.
Get a grip dude
Low credit lending for businesses is a big deal - this isn't a panacea but it could help prop up parts of the economy
Yup i work in Life Insurance.
I am totally getting fired soon.
I don't think so. Average people don't get to directly benefit when there are corporations we need to look out for.
Sooooo... I work in building materials/construction in Vancouver, does this mean anything for me
We have 30k in savings and 10k in the regular bank account. Savings doesn't really give us any interest regardless so does this have much effect on me/my money? I am looking to refinance the house.
American consumers are feeling the impact. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage spiked to 4.12 per cent on Friday, up from 3.55 per cent at the beginning of the month and the highest since June 2019, according to Bankrate.com.
Mortgage rate rise increases pressure for Fed intervention
Traders say liquidity in market for bonds backed by American home loans is drying upwww.ft.com
I'm hearing rates have been going up anyway. Are we sure they'll drop? Do banks really want to take more risk? They don't HAVE to lend.
We're still not in an official recession. What other wiggle room will we have if we do have a recession?The only one not understanding the "macro" view is Stinkles . You dudes just look at rates and nothing else, what about the standing swap lines that help foreign central banks deal with dollar funding issues, why not point to that as being pretty fucking important.
Why lots of people are acting like the sky is falling and everything is done I don't know. The biggest wildcard in all of this is the virus itself, if we start getting warm temps and the virus can't survive warm temps all this could be moot
I missed this thread but just so everyone has an idea who I am (Broker in California, does loans primarily on the west coast) Because I have broker access to the wholesale banks (Quickens, Loan Depot, UWM etc). Direct Lender (American Financial..) and have 3 licensed individuals on the team with retail banks (Bank of America, CitiBank and US Bank) I get pretty much all updates across the financial spectrum.
Huge thing to know about the FED cutting rates:
- It doesn't mean that interest rate will go lower than what they were at when they plummeted but it means they will most certainly be lower than they were this week because we had the worst jump in rates since the 2016 election.
- Rates going down had less to do with what the FED is doing and wayyyyyyy more to do with the volume of financing that were flooding into banks. Everyone and their mother wanted to refinance which meant the reserves the banks need to keep was getting depleted at an alarming rate to meet the demand. Normally the bank then RESELLS those mortgage notes on the secondary market to recoup the funds needed to keep lending but that didn't happen. Notes or MBS (Mortgage backed securities) were not being sold off quick enough to replenish those funds. Why? Because the secondary market didn't want a bunch of 30 year or 15 year mortgages at low 3s. So banks had to cut the cost of the notes till they were barely breaking even just to get some money back in the tank to re-lend. TO SLOW DOWN this onslaught banks raised rates dramatically.
- The FED is promising they are going to help increase purchases of these notes so that banks can get more money to lend and thus lower rates because the risk is being offset
- That however, does not mean that banks have the capacity to handle that much volume (Most banks are pushing refinances out 60 days) so again its up to the discretion of most banks to throttle (raise rates) till they have the ability to meet demand
- The FED reducing the reserve requirement is likely a BAD IDEA. The reserve requirement is there to begin with because its to make sure banks don't lend out more money then they can fulfill from their own liquid reserves. YOU DONT WANT TO BE PROMISING TO LEND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS WHEN YOU HAVE MILLIONS IN RESERVES.
- The FED doesn't think that is a huge risk because they are promising again to buy these notes at an increased volume which should theoretically help keep those reserves higher.
- The CoronaVirus is and will be the wild card factor to all of this. WHAT IF ESCROW DEPARTMENT OR BANKING INSTITUTIONS ARE MANDATED TO have all on site personal be remote. The will massively DELAY loans from funding. The longer they delay the more risk it is for the bank to hold those rates.
WHAT DO I DO IF I AM IN THE MIDDLE OF A PURCHASE?
WHAT IF I AM REFINANCING?
- If you have a locked interest rate from before the huge spike in rates (Basically from Tuesday - Friday) there is a good chance you will get a better rate. Keep your lock but shop around starting tomorrow. Most banks will try and price match on a purchase so if you find a better rate AWESOME your current lender will likely match.
- Delaying escrow on the West Coast is a pretty much assured thing because of the corona virus. Everyone is getting a free pass with delays so use this to your advantage. If it means closing a couple days later cause you want to see what the rates do then DO IT
Ill post an update on the market and what it is doing on the rate front for everyone tomorrow so you can all be armed and prepared.
- If you haven't applied with a lender and you want to explore your options DO SO NOW! We are all being worked to the bone right now and me and every lender I know are prioritizing people with apps that we know are qualified. DO NOT TEXT OR EMAIL YOUR LENDER CONSTANTLY ASKING "WHERE ARE RATES AT?" with NO APPLICATION in because he just won't have the time to look and with rates moving as quickly as they are whatever rate he quotes you will likely no longer be there by the time your application is in.
- If you have a LOCKED rate right now and it is awesome DO NOT JEPORADIZE that rate. Some banks will look for reasons to cancel that rate on you. That can only happen if you miss your lock period. They will negotiate a high cost to EXTEND that rate.
- If you are early in the refinance and haven't locked then watch what rates do. When they drop LOCK it in. You can always jump ship to another bank advertising better rates but for right now protect yourself.