More like next 1-2 months. Issue we're going to have is that while states have 're-opened' there's still been a lot of trepidation by a lot of the general public. But I think now, mentally a lot of people have hit a fatigue point where more and more are going to embrace 'going back to normal' and as more and more businesses open, this will get more and more fueled. Even here on Long Island, you can sense how people are hitting their limit and starting to embrace the good weather. State Beaches open next week and my bet is they will be absolutely packed. Everyone is wearing masks in stores because of the executive order, but I see more and more people outside not wearing them. So I think over the next month you're going to see alot more human to human contact happening and since there will be a lag, we won't see the full effects for probably another month after that. And this next month, each day where it isn't the apocalypse is going to embolden more and more people to throw caution to the wind.
**I've seen people talk about Georgia and how the cases haven't skyrocketed since they've been open for 2 weeks, but if you look at restaurant and other retail activity, the last 2 weeks have still been WAY down compared to normal. With no spike from that, many more people will be emboldened and the closer we get back to regular social activity is when the virus gets a whole new second life imo.
All the while, you have a President who is literally urging people to just go back to normal and ride the virus out. I PRAY I am wrong, but I think it'll be too late by the time things start going out of control again and we're back to locking up, and this time even more of the country will be locked down and health systems all over will be stressed, not just those in the big hotspots when this first hit.