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thankyoumerzbow

Prophet of Truth
Member
Dec 8, 2020
8,417
Yeah, CoD on Game Pass is going to be a GAME CHANGER. Not only that, but the entire e-sports scene will be then be played on Xbox, so there goes Sonys advertisement in the CoD scene.

The competitive scene that doesn't own a PC will probably move to Xbox, so to Sony that's also the scary part.

Also, if that Family Plan for Game Pass ever comes out, it will be even bigger.

Think about this, you have 3/4 friends at school all who want to get CoD but don't have $70 to chuck into it. They could all chip in on the Family Plan and play it for cheap.
i dont really follow cod esports but i think i read that after mw 2019 its played on pc
 

Deluxera

Member
Mar 13, 2020
2,588
Personally I don't believe COD will go full on exclusive, the amount of money it pulls on PlayStation is staggering and if anything it will be a major push to increase Game Pass adoption on Xbox/PC with the added value proposition. PlayStation as single platform may even represent the majority of the revenue for COD these days and we are talking about a lot of money.
Personally I am convinced that any new ABK game greenlit after the acquisition won't release on Playstation ever again, just like Bethesda. And even if I'm wrong, the fact that Microsoft holds the cards and can choose to deal massive damage to the Playstation business unopposed is the reason why they are arguing the way they do.

This argument about "Xbox is not going to be market leader even after this" has always been weak. the $70 billion price has been paid by Microsoft money, not Xbox money. It's not Playstation against Xbox but Sony against Microsoft, which is not the same scale. Framing Xbox as the underdog fighting for survival does not match with the reality of the situation.
 

Jerm411

Member
Oct 27, 2017
8,024
Clinton, MO
I really hope that this leads the two big anti-trust enforcers to make MS sign an agreement to keep COD multiplatform. It's kind of fucked that MS has the power to single-handedly cripple the revenue Sony will generate in a holiday season by making COD exclusive. Hell, even Sony losing the COD marketing will almost certainly have a huge impact, even ignoring the fact that the games will be day one on Game Pass along with almost the entire franchise also on Game Pass.

This is ridiculous…we really want regulators to start dictating business practices just because "poor (insert company)"…

🤦🏻‍♂️
 

Fafalada

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,066
Right, but that they are so blatantly honest about it is surprising. Not even projecting the slightest bit of confidence.
They were talking with a regulating body, not PRing at a consumer electronics show.
There is literally nothing to gain by bluster here, regardless of if they believe it or not.
 

Tragicomedy

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
4,310
User Warned: Console wars, please keep ‘M$‘ and similar out of Era
M$ will keep Call of Duty exclusive right up until the acquisition is approved. All bets are off after that, which competitors understand.

Sony would never publish it multiplat if the roles were reversed.
 

kimbo99

Member
Feb 21, 2021
4,799
Isn't CoD just going to become like Minecraft and be ubiquitous on all platforms? Obviously it will sell less on "3rd party" platforms but it will still sell. Sony is still the leader for now, but we'll see how things go for the next gen.
 

Vince Death

Member
Jun 15, 2022
522
I still struggle to think about how regulators will codify some "Call of Duty must come to other platforms" rule for MS.

Like, would they specifically say Playstation since it's most popular there? Wouldn't that be a little odd?

Would they say "all games ever with Call of Duty" in the title?

They can't and they won't dictate where Microsoft must release their I.Ps. To do that would mean that everyone would have to release their I.Ps everywhere too. Because what is good for one is good for all.

Plus, it would mean that other industries like the to series/movies streaming platform holders like Disney/HBO/Netflix etc would have to do the same. How could I.Ps in the gaming space be forced to be made available on every platform when tv series and movies are ok to stay exclusive to their owners platform?

The precedent set by forcing an I.P to go multi platform would send shockwaves through other industries where platform holders are acquiring content for their services.
 

ezekiel

Banned
Jul 6, 2022
117
they have said quite explicitly that CoD will remain multiplatform even after contractual obligations are met.



from their blog post about this deal:
blogs.microsoft.com

Adapting ahead of regulation: a principled approach to app stores - Microsoft On the Issues

Today we’re announcing a new set of Open App Store Principles that will apply to the Microsoft Store on Windows and to the next-generation marketplaces we will build for games, in part to address Microsoft’s growing role and responsibility as we seek regulatory approval for our acquisition of...

View: https://twitter.com/tomwarren/status/1491598131276005383

COD won't be going exclusive anytime soon.
 

Sheepinator

Member
Jul 25, 2018
28,007
Thank you for putting this together. Very interesting.

Sony seems biased due to the revenue they make from CoD. Very hypocritical of them to claim nobody can make a game to fill that space, after they just acquired the creator of Halo and Destiny.
 

Bede-x

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,420
You are way over-stating what that statement says by leaving out the previous sentence.



They are quite literally saying "We will not de-list the games Sony has a marketing deal for as soon as that marketing deal ends" and nothing else.

Nah, you're both leaving out too much:

First, some commentators have asked whether we will continue to make popular content like Activision's Call of Duty available on competing platforms like Sony's PlayStation. The obvious concern is that Microsoft could make this title available exclusively on the Xbox console, undermining opportunities for Sony PlayStation users.

To be clear, Microsoft will continue to make Call of Duty and other popular Activision Blizzard titles available on PlayStation through the term of any existing agreement with Activision. And we have committed to Sony that we will also make them available on PlayStation beyond the existing agreement and into the future so that Sony fans can continue to enjoy the games they love. We are also interested in taking similar steps to support Nintendo's successful platform. We believe this is the right thing for the industry, for gamers and for our business.

CoD isn't going exclusive the minute existing agreements ends. It'll be multiplatform for the forseeable future, probably even expanding to Nintendo's platform as well.
 

Pulp

Member
Nov 4, 2017
3,023
Interesting read! I am on a fundamental level not a fan of these acquisitions and the consolidation of bigger and bigger companies. I personally do think that MS will keep the COD franchise multiplat simply because they would lose a lot of money keeping that on Xbox and PC only.
 

Kiryu957

Member
Sep 26, 2020
906
If/when the deal goes through, Xbox should run an announcement advertisement for bringing COD to Game Pass and liberally quoting these responses:
  • "[No other developer] can create a rival." - Sony
  • "Stands out as a gaming category of its own." - Sony
  • "A unique franchise that cannot be replaced." - Sony
Lmao
 

riotous

Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,333
Seattle
Nah, you're both leaving out too much

CoD isn't going exclusive the minute existing agreements ends. It'll be multiplatform for the forseeable future, probably even expanding to Nintendo's platform as well.

I don't see how that previous sentence really means anything when their "let's be clear" statement doesn't remotely imply anything other than covering contractually obligated/current titles.

I'm not saying MS will absolutely make COD exclusive.. I'm not saying anything either way.

I just think anyone reading MS statements needs to really focus on the specifics of what they are saying.. and in general their statements would be 100% truthful if all they did was leave the contractually obligated games on Playstation. That's the key to these statements, what minimum action would MS need to take to "make them true."

THAT is what MS is promising, anything else is just speculation.

If MS intended for that statement to mean more than that, they wouldn't have mentioned "contractually obligated" titles AT ALL.

Even use of the word "title" instead of "franchise" was likely a specific choice MS made in that sentence you added.
 

KillaKap

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
753
User Banned (Permanent): Console warring; prior bans and extremely long history of similar behavior
LOL. If Xbox gamers are lucky Sony will buy SE. It's the only leverage you have, COD for FF. Man industry is changing.

popcorn is ready.
 

SimplyComplex

Member
May 23, 2018
4,020
Those comments from Sony re: Call of Duty are fascinating. I wonder just how much CoD brings in for Sony in comparison to Fortnite, Apex or Battlefield etc to make those kind of comments.
 

UraMallas

Member
Nov 1, 2017
18,918
United States
I thought it was pretty amazing that Sony didn't hold back at all in admitting they feel as though they'd never have an answer to COD. I get it, but at the same time surely they believe in one of these live service titles they're working on, or some other first party FPS.
I think they absolutely do believe they can compete with COD and actively do compete with COD. But they absolutely won't say that in this court filing because they don't want this deal to go through. It harms them to say anything else, really.

Sony is of course working on tons of projects and trying to capture a bigger piece of that GaaS pie, and of COURSE they are hopeful that one becomes a megahit like COD or Fortnite or Minecraft. It's what all game execs strive for and dream of at night. But, they aren't going to say "oh yes we believe we can make a megahit like COD and we are actively trying to do that with our own acquisitions (Bungie) and investing in 10 new GaaS IP." That would pretty much seal the deal when every single company that was asked said it's not big deal.

It's not a coincidence that all of the non-platform holder companies echoed that there is plenty of competition and Sony is the only one trying to say otherwise. Sony makes money off of COD and none of the other companies do.

That all being said, so this is no longer directed at the quote above, Xbox isn't going to make COD exclusive because they make a lot of money off of it on Playstation. A different filing in NZ showed that 82% of Actiblizz revenue last year was three games - COD, WoW, and Candy Crush. Why would you cut off that revenue on COD? But, the thing about that is that it means all the rest of the IPs Actiblizz has going right now only accounted for 18% of revenue and you slice that down even further with mobile games, Xbox revenue, and PC. So, then you are probably looking at single digit revenue each year being attributed to all other Actiblizz IP on Playstation. And at that point you really gotta wonder if ANYTHING else going forward will be on Playstation. Because at that level of revenue it might be more beneficial to Xbox to make all of their non-COD games PC and Xbox exclusive. Hell, they could even port WoW over just to Xbox because that would only add revenue to the bottom line.
 

SaberVS7

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,255
Seems like a failing of Sony's if they've allowed a 3rd Party to be a Keystone of their business strategy in gaming.

I was saying years ago that Sony needs to have an active multiplayer shooter of their own and that letting Killzone, SOCOM, and other IPs started on the PS3 wither on the vine to focus 100% on "Prestige" sad-dad games was a mistake, and everyone insisted I was wrong and they don't need those "because CoD is doing it for them".
 

RedRum

Newbie Paper Plane Pilot
Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,365
Interesting read! I am on a fundamental level not a fan of these acquisitions and the consolidation of bigger and bigger companies. I personally do think that MS will keep the COD franchise multiplat simply because they would lose a lot of money keeping that on Xbox and PC only.

I mentioned this earlier in the thread and knew I'd eventually see it. :) I honestly don't know why it continues to get regurgitated. 2019 Modern Warfare shares the 20th all-time sales spot with Bethesda's Skyrim at the 30 million sales mark. If MS "needs" the money, then why are they keeping Starfield (and most likely every Zeni future release) exclusive to Xbox/PC AND Gamepass?
 

noinspiration

Member
Jun 22, 2020
2,009
I was hoping this would force Sony to create/have their own major FPS IP in the near future, but it really looks like it's COD or nothing.

They tried competing with Halo and couldn't do that, and CoD dwarfs Halo. Trying to compete might result in some good games, but they're not wrong that it would be throwing money down a hole.
 

KillaKap

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
753
MS is not afraid of losing money. Why do ppl keep making the claim as if losing PS gamers is a doom scenario? It's not financially, they will bounce back. To me this game will stay multiplat because it's the RIGHT thing to do. Just my 2 cents.
 

Bede-x

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,420
I don't see how that previous sentence really means anything when their "let's be clear" statement doesn't remotely imply anything other than covering contractually obligated/current titles.

The previous sentence addresses the concern that CoD could be going exclusive. It then follows that up by saying they'll continue to make CoD available beyond existing agreements, (meaning there's nothing to be concerned about regarding CoD exclusivity), they'll likely even expand to Nintendo's platform as well and that's what they feel is right for gamers and their business.

They aren't trying to pull the rug from under people's feet here, even if it's technically possible to be even more specific. CoD will remain multiplatform for the forseeable future. Way way down the line, anything can obviously happen..
 

DukeBlueBall

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
9,059
Seattle, WA
The issue with Sony as they are today is that, despite being incredibly successful all around, they haven't really been able to create a differentiating factor for themselves that is truly long-term. Their biggest successes were predominantly built not on long-term multi-generational planning, but on the choices made at the start of a single generation - usually at times where other companies were making all the wrong choices.

As such, they're much more susceptible to a dangerous move like "losing Call of Duty," than Valve, Epic and Nintendo would ever be. They don't have the massive, consistent money-drivers that those companies have. They have... what they have at this moment, and that's 'kind of' it. Developing critically-acclaimed God of War games is not the same as owning the Mario IP. Having cartridges whilst the N64 didn't is not the same as having a decades-old virtual monopoly on PC storefronts. Being the first affordable DVD player is not the same as having a core base of game development software licenced industry-wide. And so on.

Of course this is not to say that their success is undeserved, or that they don't have 'any' long-term differentiating factors. But, compared to the major players in this industry who have been able to thrive without CoD, they are simply not the same at all.

That sounds like a Sony problem rather than an anti-competitive / anti-trust problem. It's impossible to argue that COD is an essential ingredient for a platform holder to be successful.

Also COD is going to go to more platforms after the acquisition, so if anything MS have a stronger argument that they're enabling more competition by doing so.
 

mugurumakensei

Elizabeth, I’m coming to join you!
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,328
Eh, I think Sony fears the permanent loss of marketing rights after the current contract rather than fearing it going exclusive. Marketing being on Xbox and Gamepass means Sony is still gonna feel a little pain after even if it is multi platform.
 

ABK281

Member
Apr 5, 2018
3,002
I don't care much about this much one way or the other, but seeing Sony cry about it does bring me some joy.
 

shintoki

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,117
This. 100% fucking this. The masses flocked to Playstation when the deals and marketing switched hands with all the exclusive shit tied to it. Completely exclusive modes, exclusive in-game perks, playing it first exclusivity. Now we're going full circle. Mark my words, after the deals have expired, CoD will be going full exclusive. It's been said in other threads regarding MS acquisitions that MS, for some reason, needs PS player base to be successful when it comes to multiplat. They don't at all. Not in the least.

Going exclusive would have to exceed the cost of losses. If MS went back to Steam, I don't see a reason why they would want to backtrack on PS either.

But COD will no longer be associated with PS. MS will make sure it is "On Xbox and PC" front and center. Play it on the premier systems with us where we integrate new content to GPU.

I don't see Warzone going exclusive, but I could 100% see the standard releases doing so. If PS share declines over time, MS would be a fool not to make the play. Even if 1/3 people convert over, having them in your ecosystem tops that one sale on PS.
 

DoradoWinston

Member
Apr 9, 2019
6,128
If/when the deal goes through, Xbox should run an announcement advertisement for bringing COD to Game Pass and liberally quoting these responses:
  • "[No other developer] can create a rival." - Sony
  • "Stands out as a gaming category of its own." - Sony
  • "A unique franchise that cannot be replaced." - Sony
That'd be hilarious

if it was the 90's and early 00's I wouldnt doubt it would be printed on a magazine lol
 

thecaseace

Member
May 1, 2018
3,219
I feel like the revenue risk to Sony losing marketing on CoD is one they should be managing themselves?

As part of a businesses risk management function, surely if you look at the balance sheet and see a significant amount of revenue comes from a single source the top question has to be 'what do I do if that source goes away?' or 'how can I diversify (and this protect) my revenue such that I'm not solely reliant on this one source?'.

It appears Sony is responding to that risk now with the push into GaaS but it just seems potentially a little bit late. Sony had a lot of time to figure this out.

Same as with the '60%-70% of services revenue controlled by Game Pass'. Sony had a long time to re-orient it's strategy (from it's position as market leader with a greater than 2-1 advantage on installed devices) and chose to essentially wait it out. Only this year have we seen the PS+ pivot.

The arguments aren't unexpected it just comes off a bit 'woe is me, what can I do?'
 
Dec 9, 2018
21,059
New Jersey
COD won't be exclusive, but Microsoft will definitely treat it like an exclusive, which is likely what Sony is concerned about with regards to their market share. It's a natural fear for a company of their stature. They've had the privilege of being the platform most associate with Call of Duty and now that privilege is gone. It's a big change for them and it'll be interesting to see how they adapt with that change.
 

Khanimus

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
40,211
Greater Vancouver
I mean Sony is right to be most concerned and really hits a key point - a multiplatform loss of Call of Duty would be devastating. It's not remedied simply by "making a competitor." You're fighting for headspace against nearly 20 years of brand ubiquity. That's not a thing most companies have the bandwidth to accomplish.

Microsoft won't pull that trigger immediately, but the threat of it hangs over Sony's head now.
 

The Lord of Cereal

#REFANTAZIO SWEEP
Member
Jan 9, 2020
9,644
This is ridiculous…we really want regulators to start dictating business practices just because "poor (insert company)"…

🤦🏻‍♂️
I mean, when said business decision would significantly and negatively impact the competition, yeah, I would hope the antitrust organizations would put some kind of control like that in place. It's less "poor Sony" and more "goddamn it Microsoft" and generally hoping that the antitrust orgs do their job to prevent MS from fucking over the competition.

I don't care about "poor Sony" and hell, I even prefer Xbox, but I also just generally like lots of people being able to play games, and it would suck if MS made COD exclusive and kneecapped Sony like that
 

Mister_X

Member
Aug 22, 2020
1,494
Great OP. Very interesting read particularly the Sony section.

There are so many routes MS can take in regards to COD being multiplat. My guess is once this closes and that marketing contract on PS ends then we will be seeing COD+Xbox+Gamepass advertising everywhere. Plus the holiday bundles they could do with Xbox Series. Plus all that exclusive stuff that would typically be on PS first, show up only on Xbox and Gamepass or at least first for awhile

Makes sense for Sony to be worried. They are bout to lose a huge chunk of revenue and potentially a lot of market share in COD heavy territories.
 

Trup1aya

Literally a train safety expert
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,358
When the Zenimax aquisition left no visible traces on MS financials, ABK is a mamooth with +10k employees - counting 3XXXX devs fully dedicated to CoD - that could push Microsoft Gaming revenues by two decimals. To suddenly cut all profits coming from the PS wouldn't be immediately compensated by a 2026 exclusivity, so imo if it happens it wouldn't be immediate or even for this gen.

Agreed, if it does happen, it certainly won't be this gen.
 
Nov 8, 2017
13,110
" They say that over the past five years, Game Pass has grown to capture approximately 60-70% of the global subscription services market (that marketshare is even greater in Brazil, where Game Pass represents approximately 70-80% of the PC subscription services market). "

I wonder if they're only comparing EA Play, PS Now ( / Plus Extra) and uPlay+ here. Because if they included Xbox Live Gold and PS Now Basic, which are also subscriptions but slightly different kinds, then I have to imagine the stats would be very different. The recent reorg of Sony subs is also blurring the lines a lot here.
 

MaxAugust

Member
Jan 28, 2018
3,148
Nowadays if you want to capture the zeitgeist you need to have a big MP game unless you are Nintendo.

Fortnite/Apex Legends/Genshin all managed to carve their millions of fans with different styles and they are massively popular games everywhere, Sony (and pretty much every publisher out there) are looking for this reach.
I don't disagree with your point for the most part. But Genshin isn't really a multiplayer game. Still live service though.
 

Alienous

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,605
COD won't be exclusive, but Microsoft will definitely treat it like an exclusive, which is likely what Sony is concerned about with regards to their market share. It's a natural fear for a company of their stature. They've had the privilege of being the platform most associate with Call of Duty and now that privilege is gone. It's a big change for them and it'll be interesting to see how they adapt with that change.

Sony never really 'had the privilege'. They paid over years for the marketing association.

Which is additional context for why Sony is concerned. They've invested in a relationship with Call of Duty (and thus invested less in other game / publisher relationships) and this has the potential to invalidate that.
 

asmith906

Member
Oct 27, 2017
27,394
Sony would know exactly what impact COD has on sales. It's one of the biggest reasons PS4 sold more than Xbox One in the US.

Sony isn't losing that marketing deal unless Microsoft buys Activision and they do not want to lose it. It's highly likely that if Xbox owns COD, in the next 10 years Xbox will be over PlayStation in market share in the US.
I feel like this is one reason Sony paid so much for Bungie. They desperately need to create their own Warzone that they control.
 

thecaseace

Member
May 1, 2018
3,219
I wonder if they're only comparing EA Play, PS Now ( / Plus Extra) and uPlay+ here. Because if they included Xbox Live Gold and PS Now Basic, which are also subscriptions but slightly different kinds, then I have to imagine the stats would be very different. The recent reorg of Sony subs is also blurring the lines a lot here

I think this is precisely what they're doing, basically comparing Game Pass to other game catalogues rather than to the (maybe too recent) PS+ rebrand. Because if the numbers including the PS+ rebrand Sony would probably be the market leader then.
 

realricochet

Member
Apr 30, 2019
431
Mexico
I feel like the revenue risk to Sony losing marketing on CoD is one they should be managing themselves?

As part of a businesses risk management function, surely if you look at the balance sheet and see a significant amount of revenue comes from a single source the top question has to be 'what do I do if that source goes away?' or 'how can I diversify (and this protect) my revenue such that I'm not solely reliant on this one source?'.

It appears Sony is responding to that risk now with the push into GaaS but it just seems potentially a little bit late. Sony had a lot of time to figure this out.

Same as with the '60%-70% of services revenue controlled by Game Pass'. Sony had a long time to re-orient it's strategy (from it's position as market leader with a greater than 2-1 advantage on installed devices) and chose to essentially wait it out. Only this year have we seen the PS+ pivot.

The arguments aren't unexpected it just comes off a bit 'woe is me, what can I do?'
Yes, it seems that Sony did not imagine/believe that Microsoft would be able to make these acquisitions and harm them in their long-term goals. I don't think it took them by surprise but they also didn't have much time to anticipate an earlier reaction in their strategies.

Which makes me think that their latest vision changes (being more open to releasing their games on PC) are to cushion a more important investment and use it to increase their internal studios and GAAS projects.
 

UraMallas

Member
Nov 1, 2017
18,918
United States
" They say that over the past five years, Game Pass has grown to capture approximately 60-70% of the global subscription services market (that marketshare is even greater in Brazil, where Game Pass represents approximately 70-80% of the PC subscription services market). "

I wonder if they're only comparing EA Play, PS Now ( / Plus Extra) and uPlay+ here. Because if they included Xbox Live Gold and PS Now Basic, which are also subscriptions but slightly different kinds, then I have to imagine the stats would be very different. The recent reorg of Sony subs is also blurring the lines a lot here.
Of course they aren't including numbers that help Xbox's case. Which is why the notion Sony is somehow irredeemably damaged by not having COD isn't a sentiment shared by any major competitor besides Sony in that questionnaire.

Sony isn't being honest here. They are very carefully trying to undermine the acquisition. It's as simple as that imo.

I feel like this is one reason Sony paid so much for Bungie. They desperately need to create their own Warzone that they control.
For sure. They are saying to the regulators they can't possibly compete while acquiring a 3 billion dollar company to do exactly that.
 

Kyra

The Eggplant Queen
Member
Oct 25, 2017
12,251
New York City
Nothing lasts forever. COD is COD but it can and will be replaced. If you mak enough bad games in a row. People wont happily lap it up forever. Someone will find the lightning in the bottle again.