Locks:
•Resident Evil 2: Fantastic game and still the best reviewed game of the year. Only thing going against it is being a remake (pretty telling that this is THE negative)
•Sekiro: New IP? Check. Made by critical darling From? Check. Best reviewed game next to RE2? Check. Only thing going against it is Activision I guess.
• Fire Emblem: Three Houses: Members of the press who love this game really, really LOOOVE this game. They could push it to the top. Only thing going against it is its genre and being too anime for some.
Waiting in line:
•Gears 5: Good reviews and a return to form could push this as a fifth slot choice. Going against it: 85 metacritic score guarantees that it will crawl to get in. Also, it's an Xbox exclusive, and those hardly get anything.
• Outer Wilds: Just like FE:TH, people who love this game go bananas about it. Going against it: small indie title that is not universally loved as some other indie darlings like Celeste.
• Devil May Cry V: Great reviews could push it on the lower end of the list. Going against it: I'm not feeling it for some reason. DMC has never been GOTY material to the mainstream.
Waiting to be seeing:
• The Outer Worlds: This could be either fantastic or just okay. While it looks fantastic for my personal tastes, there's some jankiness that the press may not forgive like they did with PUBG (novelty or not)
• Death Stranding: this is a lock, come the fuck on. It could score an 85 or a 95 and it's gonna get in anyways. Kojima's comeback, Sony exclusive, a cast that only a starfucker could come up with, the list of pros are huge. It doesn't hurt that Kojima's buddy Geoff runs this entire circus.
• Pokemon Sword and Shield: if this scores above 90, it's totally getting in. Pokemon has never been GOTY material for the press but it could get in if the innovations and praise are too much to ignore.
• DOOM Eternal: all it needs to do to get in is to be as good as the original. If it does, it's in. Also, a lot of people believe the original was robbed, so there's that.