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So Switch still on the road to 100M worldwide?

  • Yay. It always have been. It will breeze through it

    Votes: 500 84.3%
  • No, it will meet with an unexpected accident resulting in early death

    Votes: 61 10.3%
  • But but but..

    Votes: 32 5.4%

  • Total voters
    593

McScroggz

The Fallen
Jan 11, 2018
5,973
That's an incredible feat.

Not that it matters to the actual point of the Switch being such a popular system, but I'm firmly in the Switch isn't next generation camp. It launched OVER 3 years after the PS4 and Xbox One and was significantly weaker (if that is a deciding factor for you). And the PS5 and Xbox Series X will be launching OVER 3 years after the Switch.

I get that there isn't a nice, clean way to determine generations, but this feels like an (admittedly blurrier) version of the "when does a decade start?" sort of debate where one side wants to be very rigid and the other is looking at the bigger picture and what makes the most sense.

EDIT: I guess my point is we can't say Nintendo has to exist outside of generations so the Switch might as well be apart of this generation.

Still, props Nintendo.
 

Simba1

Member
Dec 5, 2017
5,383
Nothing its set in stone, but Switch has very good chances selling more than 100m units at end.
 

Sanctuary

Member
Oct 27, 2017
14,225
Switch will in all likelihood spend more of its life cycle competing with the PS4 and Xbox one than the follow ups to those consoles, so I don't really see how it isn't the same gen as them.

When the Wii U released and people were complaining about how it was underpowered compared to the then current gen (360/PS3), the argument some tried to use was "Well, it's not even in the same gen, it's next-gen". Why would it be true with the Wii U, but not the Switch?

Wii U releases during the tail end of the 360/PS3 era: next-gen
Switch releases midway through the Xbone/PS4 era: current-gen???

Anyway, regardless of whatever gen it actually is, it's doing so well because a) it's new with new games and b) it's a hybrid console that's both portable and a home unit. Both of the other two major systems have sold most of what they are going to sell prior to next-gen already.
 
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KillerMan91

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,355
What's the highest selling system in a year across all gens?
1. DS 2009: 11.17 million
2. Wii 2008: 10.17 million
3. DS 2008: 9.95 million
4. Wii 2009: 9.59 million
5. PS2 2002: 8.57 million
6. DS 2010: 8.56 million
7. DS 2007: 8.5 million
8. GBA 2003: 8.18 million
9. X360 2011: 7.3 million
10. PS1 1998: 7.17 million
11. Wii 2010: 7.07 million
12. GBA 2002: 6.94 million
13. X360 2010: 6.76 million
14. PS1 1999: 6.72 million
15. Switch 2019: 6.5 million

I am missing GBA and PS2 sales in 2004 and 2005 though. Also for GB and NES/SNES I only have American shipments. NES shipped 9.32 million in americas between September 1988 and 1989 so it could make to the list. GB (and Color) shipped 8.7 million (another 7.74 million following year) to americas between April 1999 and 2000 (hello Pokemon boom) so it could also make to the list.
 
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OP
OP
Personablue

Personablue

Member
Feb 10, 2019
1,227
1. DS 2009: 11.17 million
2. Wii 2008: 10.17 million
3. DS 2008: 9.95 million
4. Wii 2009: 9.59 million
5. PS2 2002: 8.57 million
6. DS 2010: 8.56 million
7. DS 2007: 8.5 million
8. GBA 2003: 8.18 million
9. X360 2011: 7.3 million
10. PS1 1998: 7.17 million
11. Wii 2010: 7.07 million
12. GBA 2002: 6.94 million
13. X360 2010: 6.76 million
14. PS1 1999: 6.72 million
15. Switch 2019: 6.5 million

I am missing GBA and PS2 sales in 2004 and 2005 though. Also for GB and NES/SNES I only have American shipments. NES shipped 9.32 million in americas between September 1988 and 1989 so it could make to the list. GB (and Color) shipped 8.7 million (another 7.74 million following year) to americas between April 1999 and 2000 (hello Pokemon boom) so it could also make to the list.
Wow, didn't know about gba doing so well.
 

Hermii

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,685
That's an incredible feat.

Not that it matters to the actual point of the Switch being such a popular system, but I'm firmly in the Switch isn't next generation camp. It launched OVER 3 years after the PS4 and Xbox One and was significantly weaker (if that is a deciding factor for you). And the PS5 and Xbox Series X will be launching OVER 3 years after the Switch.

I get that there isn't a nice, clean way to determine generations, but this feels like an (admittedly blurrier) version of the "when does a decade start?" sort of debate where one side wants to be very rigid and the other is looking at the bigger picture and what makes the most sense.

EDIT: I guess my point is we can't say Nintendo has to exist outside of generations so the Switch might as well be apart of this generation.

Still, props Nintendo.
Its high top end 2015 mobile tech. The gpu architecture is the second version of maxwell, which is basically the same as pascal. Its not matching them in terms of power (it has to run on a battery) , but its slightly ahead in terms of gpu architecture/ features so I would definitely say its the same gen in terms of tech.
 

AtomicShroom

Tools & Automation
Verified
Oct 28, 2017
3,078
Remember when Michael Pachter and other similar analysts kept predicting the system would fail? Good times!
 

HardRojo

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
26,122
Peru
I remember saying in a previous thread that the US has become Nintendoland and one user got mad lol. The console has been a runaway success there.
 
Nov 1, 2017
370
Congrats Nintendo. It makes me happy that both Sony and Nintendo have shattered records and put out a nonstop stream of incredible games in the past years. It's a huge turnaround from the previous gen (?) which had some substantial droughts and growing pains. It's given me renewed optimism for the future of entertainment.
 

fiendcode

Member
Oct 26, 2017
24,925
Switch will in all likelihood spend more of its life cycle competing with the PS4 and Xbox one than the follow ups to those consoles, so I don't really see how it isn't the same gen as them.
Dreamcast also technically spent more time against PS1/N64 than PS2/GC/Xbox. So it's the same gen as Saturn?

Same thing with PC Engine, it spent more time against FC than SFC. Which gen does it belong to?
 

Dr. Mario

Member
Oct 27, 2017
13,866
Netherlands
This doesn't really factor in, the Wii U was just an addon for the original Wii.
giphy.gif


Let's retroactively make this canon.
 

Opa-Opa

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 16, 2018
1,766
1. DS 2009: 11.17 million
2. Wii 2008: 10.17 million
3. DS 2008: 9.95 million
4. Wii 2009: 9.59 million
5. PS2 2002: 8.57 million
6. DS 2010: 8.56 million
7. DS 2007: 8.5 million
8. GBA 2003: 8.18 million
9. X360 2011: 7.3 million
10. PS1 1998: 7.17 million
11. Wii 2010: 7.07 million
12. GBA 2002: 6.94 million
13. X360 2010: 6.76 million
14. PS1 1999: 6.72 million
15. Switch 2019: 6.5 million

I am missing GBA and PS2 sales in 2004 and 2005 though. Also for GB and NES/SNES I only have American shipments. NES shipped 9.32 million in americas between September 1988 and 1989 so it could make to the list. GB (and Color) shipped 8.7 million (another 7.74 million following year) to americas between April 1999 and 2000 (hello Pokemon boom) so it could also make to the list.

Holy crap, impressive for the Switch, but in retrospect it's not that spectacular - for the whole gen/industry!

Nintendo alone sold more than 20 million in 2008 and 2009.
 

Oregano

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
22,878
Holy crap, impressive for the Switch, but in retrospect it's not that spectacular - for the whole gen/industry!

Nintendo alone sold more than 20 million in 2008 and 2009.

It gets downplayed a lot but the in terms of users the console market has massively shrunk this generation. PS4+Vita will end up lower than PS3+PSP.

Console gamers complaining about whales on mobile is some Spiderman pointing at Spiderman meme material.
 

Gale Moran

Banned
Jun 1, 2018
131
Wii U failed so Nintendo cut its life short and released the Switch. You can have multiple consoles in the same gen. So yeah it is.

By like half a year, lol. It didn't have much shorter lifespan than the GC or N64.. Were they also in the same gen? The Switch is in no way a generation do-over, it's the successor.
 

Gotdatmoney

Member
Oct 28, 2017
14,500
It gets downplayed a lot but the in terms of users the console market has massively shrunk this generation. PS4+Vita will end up lower than PS3+PSP.

Console gamers complaining about whales on mobile is some Spiderman pointing at Spiderman meme material.

1) Generations last longer now.
2) Average selling price of hardware has continually gone up.
3) The Switch is going to outsell every system on that list except the DS and PS2.
4) There is no actual reason for 7th gen levels of hardware to be sold when games are almost all multiplatform and development pipelines scale across many hardwares.

It's not all gloom and doom
 

fiendcode

Member
Oct 26, 2017
24,925
Wii U failed so Nintendo cut its life short and released the Switch. You can have multiple consoles in the same gen. So yeah it is.
4.5 years for Wii U is only about a year shorter than usual for a Nintendo console. Xbox to Xbox 360, GBA to DS or Saturn to Dreamcast were all actually shorter cycles, does that make them each the same gen?
 

Oregano

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
22,878
1) Generations last longer now.
2) Average selling price of hardware has continually gone up.
3) The Switch is going to outsell every system on that list except the DS and PS2.
4) There is no actual reason for 7th gen levels of hardware to be sold when games are almost all multiplatform and development pipelines scale across many hardwares.

It's not all gloom and doom

Hardware costing more is kind of the point though, companies are extracting more revenue from fewer consumers.

The DS->PS3 gen was also just as long as the 3DS-PS4 gen and did bigger numbers. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but I even think that PS4/XBO are now dropping off more than PS3/360 did at the same point.
 

McScroggz

The Fallen
Jan 11, 2018
5,973
Its high top end 2015 mobile tech. The gpu architecture is the second version of maxwell, which is basically the same as pascal. Its not matching them in terms of power (it has to run on a battery) , but its slightly ahead in terms of gpu architecture/ features so I would definitely say its the same gen in terms of tech.

We agree on the end point but I can't agree with how you got there, haha.

I'm not going to pretend to be a tech guy, but I think it's weird to pinpoint one specific component in a console that is competitive or best in class at the time if the entirety of the product is so much weaker. More than ever Nintendo consoles don't fit within the construct of the idea of console generations and ultimately a noticeable improvement in console performance is the most reasonable metric to judge how we bookend generations. PlayStation and Xbox are very digestible markets for generations at the moment, we just have to accept Nintendo isn't and slot them where they fit best when we want to have these conversations.
 

LegendofLex

Member
Nov 20, 2017
5,466
Switch will sell as much as PS4 or more I think. It will have a non Nintendo like tail
The big reason why Nintendo systems stop selling is that Nintendo rarely attempts to replicate early software successes, then they pull support for the platforms after the 4th or 5th year and move the bulk of support to the next-gen handheld/console.
 

SayWord

Banned
Dec 4, 2019
250
I'd be so happy if Nintendo introduces some sort of achievement system for their games.

I would actually use the device, plz Nintendo.
 
Jun 10, 2018
8,845
Wow, didn't know about gba doing so well.
That's because people look at it's ETD total and erroneously assume it was a sign of regression.

By virtually every metric from 2001-05 (DS launch and onwards) the GBA was selling at a higher rate than the OGGB and would have assuredly been one of the quickest to reach 100+ million sold. By all accounts, the GBA *IS* the original sales beast.
 

Gotdatmoney

Member
Oct 28, 2017
14,500
Hardware costing more is kind of the point though, companies are extracting more revenue from fewer consumers.

I dont think that's purely because the market shrunk in players. Some of this is simply because multiplatform development is common amoung all major platforms now and that was not the case in Gen 7.

In addition. PSVita was a massive failure pretty much continuing the PSP's irrelevance in the West after its initial boon.

The DS->PS3 gen was also just as long as the 3DS-PS4 gen and did bigger numbers.

The DS and Wii which are the systems responsible for most of the big numbers in that top 10 didn't last as long as the 360 or PS3 though.

Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but I even think that PS4/XBO are now dropping off more than PS3/360 did at the same point.

XB360 -> XBONE was a drop.
PS3 -> PS4 was a rise.

Need to see overall comparison to totals to see if there is any significant hardware delta.

The Wii and DS are just systems thatbare never going to be replicated again but part of that was their wholly uniqye software lineup. We are never going back to those days though so I just find the comparison to form more gloom and doom than necessary.

If you want to point to a big regression in the market imo it makes much more sense to look at software units and revenue.
 

Prygelknabe

Member
Nov 1, 2017
19
1. DS 2009: 11.17 million
2. Wii 2008: 10.17 million
3. DS 2008: 9.95 million
4. Wii 2009: 9.59 million
5. PS2 2002: 8.57 million
6. DS 2010: 8.56 million
7. DS 2007: 8.5 million
8. GBA 2003: 8.18 million
9. X360 2011: 7.3 million
10. PS1 1998: 7.17 million
11. Wii 2010: 7.07 million
12. GBA 2002: 6.94 million
13. X360 2010: 6.76 million
14. PS1 1999: 6.72 million
15. Switch 2019: 6.5 million

I am missing GBA and PS2 sales in 2004 and 2005 though. Also for GB and NES/SNES I only have American shipments. NES shipped 9.32 million in americas between September 1988 and 1989 so it could make to the list. GB (and Color) shipped 8.7 million (another 7.74 million following year) to americas between April 1999 and 2000 (hello Pokemon boom) so it could also make to the list.
Those are some crazy numbers. Thanks for the list.
 

werezompire

Zeboyd Games
Verified
Oct 26, 2017
11,358
On the gen thing, I feel like Wii & Wii U are one gen & the Switch is a different gen.
 

AtomicShroom

Tools & Automation
Verified
Oct 28, 2017
3,078
That was actually the moment I knew it would be a success. Nintendo should encourage Pachter to forcast their doom as much as possible.

Not to mention how them analysts and shareholders kept telling Nintendo how there was absolutely no future in gaming-only hardware and begging them to drop out of it and move all their development to mobile! Oh my lol!