Using Bloodstained as a point of comparison since it also asked for 500,000 for it's Initial Goal, same for Eiyuden Chronicle.
Bloodstained raised $998,027 in its first 24 Hour window, whereas Eiyuden Chronicle raised $1,300,629 in its first 24 Hours.
If you look at 2nd day trending numbers which Bloodstained did $661,529 and Eiyuden did $ 764,657. If the trend continues, Eiyuden Chronicle by the end of the campaign should pull similar numbers to that of Bloodstained which was 5.5 Million.
First of all, even though I cut a lot of it due to readability, thanks for the write up, this is probably a lot of people's first Kickstarter, so it needed to be laid out there.
Second, I think the Bloodstained comparisons
might (and I wanna stress the might!) fall a bit flat due to multiple factors:
1. AFAIR Bloodstained was a surprise Kickstarter (please correct me on this if my memory failed me), unlike Eiyuden which was known beforehand. In my opinion, this reflects in the higher first and second day pledges, while it already went slightly under the Bloodstained numbers on day 4
2. Bloodstained had a (relatively of course) consistently high number of backers even in the mid slump. Something not all KS have. So Eiyuden might get it's comfortable lead eaten up bit by bit in the next weeks.
3. Most important, Bloodstained had an absolutely insane finish and actually brought in more in it's last day than in it's first. Something which is also not a given for any big Kickstarter.
So while yes, Eiyuden might finish at Bloodstained numbers or even higher, it might as well fall short, by a lot. I'd say if we want to be bearish, 4 million is the really conservative number, and even if you want to be very bullish, 6.5 million is the absolute highest, even if they pull some kind of rabbit out of their hats. Personally, if I were a betting man (which I am not) I'd put it somewhere between 4.5 million and 5 million, probably more toward the 5 million side of things, when it's all said and done. Of course I hope to be way off and eat my words though.
I guess it depends how much they manage to get the word out there. The hardcore fanbase will always be there for any big KS, but getting eyes on a project can really push funding by a lot.
We won't get a more accurate picture of the actual trending projection until at least the 10th day into Eiyuden's funding, but still things are still very positive.
I most definitely agree with this. We will probably have a much better idea in a week.
www.gamespot.com
www.engadget.com
www.theverge.com
www.ign.com
www.pcgamer.com
