If Johnson cared at all about the office he currently holds or the state of democracy in the UK, he would immediately recall parliament, regardless of what happens in the supreme court next week.
Decisions that suspend parliament for any reason have to be totally, unquestionably legally bulletproof. This prorogation being ruled illegal by any court at any level in any portion of the UK should be grounds for it to be immediately ended.
I think everyone's assessment will be that Johnson
won't recall parliament, but that he won't will just deepen this crisis.
So is the Queen gonna boot out Johnson or no
No, the Queen is an almost completely ceremonial head of state and will stay out of this to whatever extent is possible.
So when's Scotland gonna leave the UK to stay with the EU? Will that happen?
It's now too late for Scotland to leave the UK and stay in the EU. Any Scottish independence referendum would be some time in 2020 at the earliest. If independence won and the timetable in the white paper written by the SNP before the 2014 referendum was followed, Scotland would be independent some time in 2022 or later. Unless the UK had cancelled Brexit by then, an independent Scotland would be outside the EU, and would need to rejoin.
(That would not be a terribly difficult step as it would only need Scotland to realign with EU law and prove that it was compliant with the Copenhagen criteria, but it'd still take another few years).
So how far off are we from canceling Brexit?
As far as yesterday.
The UK can cancel Brexit in a few penstrokes, but it needs the right person to be holding the pen. Johnson certainly isn't that person. Corbyn might be, but getting him into that position requires a general election, a Labour-led government as a result, and then another referendum in which the Remain option wins.
Alternatively a majority-Lib-Dem government would revoke instantly, but if you ran the next election a million times you probably wouldn't get a Lib Dem majority.
Those of you who are saying that recent events mean that this won't go anywhere are talking nonsense.
This is totally constitutionally unprecedented, and not a soul knows how this is going to go. Never once in our history have the courts found that the PM has lied to the monarch before today.
Yep, amongst all the confusion about this, the best thing anyone can point out is that there's nobody with real answers. There's too many things happening too quickly and too many variables for anyone to be certain about the outcome of this process of even the consequences of individual events.
