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Ukraine does not want a repeat of 1917-1922 again.
The way to make Russia not be a threat again, is for the Russian Army to cease to exist within Ukraine's internationally recognized borders
The Soviets continued to develop AT guns into the 80s. They are equipped with radar and are capable of firing AT missiles as well.
100 mm anti-tank gun T-12 - Wikipedia
Sprut anti-tank gun - Wikipedia
Ukraine Rolls Out Soviet-Era Radar-Equipped Anti-Tank Guns
Cold War-era MT-12R anti-tank guns could help bolster Ukraine's anti-armor capabilities in any conflict in the near future.
www.thedrive.com
Map of minefields in Bosnia
The Yugoslav wars were.. an interesting time
There's a pretty easy case to be made that while I doubt Putin expected to meet this type of resistance, the net result could end up still being a win for Putin domestically depending on how this ends up going because this war, of his making, is allowing him to justify even more draconian noose tightening on the levers of power and influence within Russia and taking out any oppositional forces, either in the oligarchy, the intelligence sphere, and the populace.
And he can then use those powers to ensure his survival and then shape narratives
I'll concede the Russia comparison, my main point overall is that corruption is a serious problem in the Ukraine. They have powerful oligarchs just like Russia and they have bought a lot of the politicians and institutions out. Yes, Ukraine can unite itself when being invaded, that's great, it doesn't negate what happened in pre-war Ukraine though. They couldn't even staff their anti-corruption courts because the judges themselves were corrupt, and even Zelensky's own party kept voting down anti-corruption laws. https://www.economist.com/europe/20...titutional-court-attacks-anti-corruption-laws
Also up until 2021, Ukraine was lower than Russia on the Corruption Perception's index, but it has since surpassed it, so I'll concede that.
At the risk of being accused of posting pro-Russian propaganda, you can read this article by Freedom House from 2018 which shows how far-right attacks in the country against minorities have been tolerated if not supported by law enforcement: https://freedomhouse.org/report/analytical-brief/2018/far-right-extremism-threat-ukrainian-democracy
BTW I never said they were a majority, I said they were formalized and institutionalized, which they are,
Lol I figured. Stop quoting me.
edit: Before I get another barrage of misdirected quotes, I'm arguing against Ukraine getting a fast track into the EU, not for Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Forward quoting because after many pages my arguments keep getting misconstrued. I won't be defending things I never said or even believe in.
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they can't even invade a country that they border and have sea access to, how the fuck do they think they will invade a country surrounded by Nato.Map of minefields in Bosnia
The Yugoslav wars were.. an interesting time
Sounds a lot like the US tbqh. I don't know what you're trying to accomplish aside from side step the issue that Russia is belligerently attacking Ukraine.
They'll let Bosnia blow up and steal a shit load of their vehicles?
They will hold exercises in Serbia.
After they master teleportation to avoid the no-fly zones from all of Serbia's neighbours
But if Bosnia joins NATO, won't ALL OF NATO then pounce on Russia if they try this shit?
The thought has crossed my mind the last day (and I wrote as much here). Putin has used unconscionable crises in the past to consolidate power in the past. Even when they have left him weaker in some ways, it was worthwhile in the long run. I do not think it is worthwhile in the long run any longer, but it may have been a big calculation for doing this at all in the first place. Or at least probably not within Putin's lifetime.
But... the moves toward further totalitarianism that he has enacted with this conflict as the background will not be reversed so quickly, even if Russia fully withdraws - even out of Crimea. Unless these protests really do grow, how likely is it that the Duma reverses this ban on fake news? Or relaxes protest laws? Or allows independent media and real political opposition? Or decentralizes security and money and power accumulation in Moscow away from the territories?
Pretty dang unlikely, I think.... No matter what happens in Ukraine.
Would that make any difference? The economy there is already very bearish.
The goal would be to move on Bosnia before they are a NATO member and thus NATO wouldn't do anything
Cannot be stressed how lucky we are that this is happening while we have rational, sane, executive branch leadership in the US. This would have been a complete shit show with 45 or another disingenuous Republican in office. All the Kremlin propaganda would be constantly getting signal boosted by American leadership on the national stage.
They will broadcast this on their western facing platforms to make themselves seem neutral or even compassionate to the Ukraine cause, but what really matters is if they broadcast this on their domestic platforms.
Sorry for offending. I have removed my comments will make no further mention on the subject.
Bosnia has a tripartite presidential system that requires consensus to vote on policy.
Republika Srpska has a veto power on any movement towards EU and NATO.
Incidentally, this is the situation Russia wanted to put Ukraine in via reintegrating the occupied Donbass regions as autonomies with a veto power, via the Minsk Agreements.
Probably "humanitarian" flight as they are still allowed and Russia tries to make all their flights humanitarian. They also supply nuclear fuel to SlovakiaWhat's this all about, Russian plane in Poland
Article in Polish:
Rosyjskie samoloty nad Polską mimo zakazu. "Sankcje dziurawe jak sito"
Rosyjskie samoloty próbują omijać sankcje i ściągają turystów z kurortów pod pretekstem lotów biorących udział w akcji humanitarnej za pośrednictwem zaprzyjaźnionych krajów, m.in. Węgier. Trasy co najmniej dwóch takich lotów wiodły również przez Polskę - dowiedział się Onet. – Specjalne loty...
wiadomosci.onet.pl
These "Russia has taken over X town" statements in the past have been half-lies at best, but that town is heavily contested because its importance for both sides of the war. Even if Ukrainians were pushed out fully today one should expect counter offensive quite soon.
Does Bosnia have a lot of tractors?
Indeed. It's not just the calm, measured response from the WH. It's also the world united, after 45 spent years undermining NATO, undermining US relations with Europe, sucking up to authoritarians including Putin, and blackmailing Ukraine. We'd be facing another Helsinki moment if 45 was still here. "I spoke to Putin, he says it's just a special operation and they'll be gone soon, and I believe him."
Izyum is a city that's been split in half via a river with blown bridges for the past week.
"taking control" is a very fluid term.
The planned timetable captured from Marines indicated that everything was to have been wrapped up by Day 15.
Havent seen the 28 Day one personally.
i think by 28th day they mean February 28th, so 4 days after the war started.
Needlessly? You're kidding yourself if you really don't see the risk of that happening.
Yep, it's basically been his go-to since coming to power. The guy literally created a false flag early in his first term to do just that
Not even what they broadcast, but what they allow to appear on their heavily censored domestic platforms. They allowed a lot of pro-Russia trash on their social media previously.
This started yesterday. China came out with strong pro-trade comments, also promoting calm markets, which suggests they favor trade with the West over sanctions for siding with Russia. Their stock market took off yesterday as a result. Also interesting that Lavrov's plane returned to Russia while it was en route to China.
Official Staff Communication
Stop it with the talk about US elections, we will have plenty of time and fun with that when the time comes in other threads. Not here.
So you're not going to address the statements you said, make a vague "I figured" and then quote me, but tell me not to quote you?
Thank you for the correction. Typo. I'll edit.
Yep, China does not want their people to empathize with the Ukrainian people and learn lessons from them about civil unrest. China does not want a EuroMaidan happening anywhere in their borders.
Pivot back to Russia? Still need to address SCS and Indo Pacific. But if India/Japan/South Korea can take larger roles, maybe both can happen.
The international channels can often be completely contrary to the national coverage. For example, Russia Today channels opposed any Corona measure and were also antivaxx, while in Moscow you could be jailed if you went outside during a curfew and especially without masks.
Aren't we in this long haul because the Russian army is such a den of corruption that their army is basically a shell unable to quickly end this conflict?
Like if Ukraine had worse corruption than Russia, it would have folded already because whatever weapon they bought would be sold by people stealing them.
