IIRC some of the countries who've sanctioned Russia said the same sanctions apply to Belarus.
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IIRC some of the countries who've sanctioned Russia said the same sanctions apply to Belarus.
AI powered warfare strategy analysis is both fascinating and pants wettingly tariffing in equal measure.
FWIW India has pivoted to Russia during the cold war while Pakistan pivoted towards the US. It can be argued that at this point that's kind of flipped but those old relationships are still there.
I'm not disagreeing with the concern, I share it to, but I would have to think that somebody in his inner circle or even top military brass in Russia would have an attitude of "is this worth ending the world over?" Like, during the high of the Cold War you had two juggernaut superpowers you could at least pretend that the destruction of the world could be justified. But ending the world because your country's leader fuck-up an invasion?
Annalena Baerbock fürchtet Energieengpass bei SWIFT-Ausschluss
Die deutsche Außenministerin hat sich dezidiert dagegen ausgesprochen, Russland vom internationalen Zahlungssystem SWIFT abzuschneiden. Die Grünen-Politikerin verwies auf die Abhängigkeit Deutschlands von russischer Kohle.
m.faz.net
Baerbock sees problems because we rely on Russian coal. The greens won't do it because of coal. Can't make this shit up.
I understand there will be issues with energy and power but still, what do we have from having energy and knowing how we got it, knowing there could have been something to do against Russia? I'd rather have no power than this…
I think Kazakstan is probably hoping that they'll spend enough resources in Ukraine to make them an unattractive target.
They have a pretty sizable Russian minority so they're not that into the idea of helping "separatist movements".
US, EU and UK have enacted sanctions against a large amount of their government and some national entities.
They already had a shit load of sanctions against them anyway.
Japan is also starting to roll up as well I think. Not sure about other nations.
I mean they are like...3 days too late here with the Russian News Release.
Russia is going to struggle for years to build back any goodwill. This invasion has ruined any plausible deniability for their actions. They should of just stuck to the cyber stuff if they wanted to gain influence. It was working well for them. Still so confused as to what the end goal is for them now.
But they already did that...
I have to assume what this really means is that they will be picking up the pace off attacks, potentially even the nightmare scenario of flattening Kyiv.
I hope they are smart enough to be keeping a very tight circle around the president.
With Russia making statements like "Ukranians should over throw the government" they could poison him and just claim it was one of the brave Ukranians that was fighting a Nazi rule.
I don't really know his political affiliations... or why he got voted out of office, but that man is a billionaire and could've easily gotten out if he wanted.
Wouldn't be surprised if their spies also have a line into Russian communications. Russia has some great offensive electronic warfare capabilities (though, they maybe haven't been showcased well lately), but I would imagine that some of the lines that run through a bureacracy of that size, and with presumably still many holes, would have some exploitable gaps in security. After all, Biden and others in the West were PRETTY DANG SURE about what Putin was going to do many days before the rest of us had any clue.
Protests on the scale of the post election protests would certainly be something. It's a long way back to Russia if Belarus becomes a shit show for them, particularly for the invaders who attacked through the CEZ.
This might be just posturing to scare ukrainians, don't trust a single word from Russia
Holy shit. Well, this does not bode well for a Skynet future 😂. Glad it's helping out the Ukrainians though, massive resistance so far.
Zelensky has also played this well. I, sadly, can't see a scenario where he comes out alive here, but his leadership really has cemented Ukraine's resolve I think. If there were a weaker leader that fled, maybe things would be different, but live or die, he's a hero now.
Putin never accepted the fall of the sovietic union. When he was younger, he wrote an essay about Russians and Ukrainians being the same people, and that Ukraine being a sovereign nation separate from Russia was "the greatest tragedy of the 20th century". Yes, greater than WW2. That's how unhinged he is.
There's also economics considerations of having access to warm-water ports in the meditteranean sea, and Ukraine is fairly rich in ressources.
I can feel bad for kids like this. Young, poor, more or less fooled into sacrificing his life killing innocents abroad for the profit of those in power. Kadyrov and his forces on the other hand, I have no sympathy for whatsoever. I hope they get torn apart, limb from limb. Literally.
It's being spun by Moscow that the lack of advancement the last 24hrs is because they were holding off due to expecting ceasefire talks.
Blood thirsty Putin
Ukraine: Please talk with us, Israel would be a good broker
Russia: Their refusal to talk is why we must completely annihilate them.
Viktor Orban as well. Considering his anti EU and NATO rhetoric and close ties with Putin, I was afraid that Hungary would eventually become to Russia what the vassal state of Belarus is today.
This is more likely for home audience as the only front they haven't opened yet is far western Ukraine (which I don't think they are prepared to do in mass). There were numerous politicians saying in Russia saying "wait, I thought we voted to protect the Donbass"
I suspect that there a lot of people in well-placed positions who have Ukrainian heritage or family and thus more likely to risk their life to provide intel.
Or maybe it's just that the corruption runs so deep that people will sell anything for the right amount of money.
The thread moves fast and I'm still catching up and not to derail here just wanted to point out that "make America great again" was stolen from Ronald reagan, not that I can say putin didn't help give the idea as no one knows but it was stolen from reagan. As I said haven't fully caught up yet so someone else may have said that already haha.
Of course it's propaganda. But its best not too be over confident. Russia still has a massive army.
Putin had wrecked his own legacy. Regardless of the outcome everything he has built up is now in tatters, he'll never be taken seriously again once this is over.
Hopefully all these animalistic monsters meet a swift and brutal end from Ukrainian forces. The world would be a better place.
I think the failure of this and Putin showing his ass is giving a lot of people cover to find an out. Explicit or not, I think a lot of countries are hoping this sinks Russia and their threat.
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All tech has manufacturing capacity outside of China. China is just very cheap for parts of the supply chain.
I agree.
You want to weaken the desire for countries to join NATO? Why wouldn't you just keep the cyber-warfare and disinformation that was, quite literally, working to demonstrate that old military alliances are not needed?
You want to weaken your peoples' desire for more independence? Why wouldn't you continue the propaganda war on your own people showing how unequal the democratic nations are, so why try anything difference?
You want to rebuild some sort of Russian Empire? Why wouldn't you keep up the small acquisitions, as you have been, that the West has been hesitant to react on a united front to?
This entire invasion has done nothing but unite the West, justify the concerns that will push more nations to want to join NATO, and show via social media the difference in leadership in Putin compared to other nations. I just don't see a damn win in all this.
I'm sure all the other beligerent meddling shit russia has done over the past decades hasn't endeared them to the west either.
At this point Russia is in a no-win situation with him. As long as he's alive he a beacon of hope and determination.
If he dies he's a martyr.
I'm extremely concerned for the Ukrainian people. Putin will obviously now push his military to use brutal and truly indiscriminate force against cities to try to push this war to a conclusion. Horrific war crimes on a grand scale are absolutely possible in the near future. That will push the world to bring in the most severe economic sanctions imaginable and I think in the face of such potential atrocities, some individual European countries will start to seriously consider things that seem impossible right now.
This video helped me with this subject.
Gravitas: Ukraine "deeply dissatisfied" with India's reaction
Ukraine's envoy to India has said that he is "deeply dissatisfied" with India's reaction. Why did India refuse to condemn Russia's invasion? What are the con...youtu.be
Thank you for the insights! I'll give that video a watch today.
Yeah, they had a very methodical approach that was working for them. Heck, they could have simply formed a strong trading alliance with Ukraine in 2014 that would then be built up over time, rather than invade Crimea, and it would have worked out far better for them with no lives lost!
They literally blew away decades of work to destabilise their rivals and come out on top in a matter of days, and in the long term I do not see any outcome where Putin or Russia as a whole truly gains something from this horrific and needless war. Even if they were to formally take Ukraine and the leadership is captured and surrendered, there's going to be an insurgency that'll keep fighting. Also, given how the Russian army seems to be getting setbacks already, the prospect of a future guerilla war does not bode well for them.
Of course, the situation can change at a moment's notice and it suddenly all tips in favour of Putin, but I can't see that happening right now.
A Russian tank battalion commander leads 31 tanks. If one was captured that is insane.