Problem with CU count bets is we likely aren't going to find out when they announce it. And we should be betting with a mid point cut off and whoever is closer wins. No overly specific conditions for get out of jail free when nobody is right but someone is much closer, no demanding one person get it exactly right for price is right shenanigans. A fair bet, your prediction vs my prediction, cut off is the middle, whoever is closer therefore wins.
Sony will announce TF rating if they announce anything, not CU count. It will be some time before we get an accurate CU count to decide the bet.
You have been pushing 8-10TF PS5 for the entirety of the next gen OTs. GitHub fully supports this - 36CU at 2Ghz is only 9.2 and they aren't going to be pushing clocks higher than that. Retail chips, if any change happens, will be slower. They aren't going to release a console with no deactivated CUs either, it would be horrendous for yields and negate any benefit whatsoever of going small, so you should feel pretty safe and confident based on the data you have.
So a 10TF cut off is generous to a 36CU GPU, the only way Sony could beat that is by pushing clocks to 2.2Ghz on their GPU. You have always been team 8-10TF, I have always been 10-12TF.
I picked the fairest avatar bet at the start, 10TF cut off. Below 10TF you win (which also means CU counts closer to your predictions). Above 10TF I win (again indicates CU counts closer to my predictions). Simple. If you're as confident in GitHub and your predictions as you pretend to be that should be an easy bet to take, because there is no way Oberon is >10TF at 36CU. If a 36 Oberon isn't the final APU/GPU design as I claim then it will be >10TF. Simple.
Or how about 10.2TF cut off, which is a 40CU chip at 2Ghz?