I'm curious why you think it'd be an unlikelihood to ever happen again. 2M is a big number for sure, but Switch came within 400k of it last year and this year is looking much bigger. More generally, what makes you think a 2M December is no longer reasonable for any system?
Hello ZhugeEX,
I suppose it's because the increasing importance of November (Black Friday week) sales that "steal" potential purchases to December like we saw with XBO and PS4 during the whole generation (to the point that last year November was the biggest month of the year for Sony and Microsoft).
Is the same true for Nintendo hardware in your estimation? I remember that 3ds sold about 750k last year in December despite being on its last legs, and Switch last year wasn't too bad, either.
Please can you elaborate on your reasons behind each of the numbers? Intrigued.
Ah, I missed that. Why XBO ahead of PS4? Were there promotional deals or are we still seeing PS4 stock shortages?
For the whole december: PS4 at $299 vs XB1 at $249 the first week or so then at $199 since then. According to Benji Sony don't do any deals this year cause they don't have enough stocks and basically sell at full price everything they ship.
Yea, Cyber Monday not being part of December this year makes me think Nintendo just misses 2 million in December.
That makes sense. In nearly all scenarios, I believe that would be the case. I also believe the launch of Smash Ultimate, however, will disrupt that trend for this year. It has the potential to break the record for the highest launch month of a game in the US by a considerate margin. Such a high-profile game would usually be released before BF, so this will result to unusual December hardware sales.
Gen 7 was an outlier, though. I don't think we'll see another generation (or say, 7-8 year timespan if generations are a thing of the past) with that many systems sold in a long time. The current generation of consoles (excluding Switch) seems to be trending towards a similar final tally as the 6th gen.
PS1, PS2, and Wii were just beasts geez.
Wii was such a monster! Based on that I reckon that new Wii (the Wii U or whatever it's called) is going to be huge!!
Right, 100M+ is guaranteed, so they would just be reaching that milestone faster if they sold more now. Since they will be reaching that milestone regardless, they might as well do it slower and get more money on each unit on top of the potential software gains.
By the end of the Switch we won't be comparing it to PS4 or XBone, but the PS5 and Xbtwo
Switch as an iterative has become a popular idea on these forums. It refers to the switch running a lifetime more resembling iPhones wherein you have the Switch, Switch 2, 3, etc and games being made with a minimum target, and all above versions of the console being compatible with these games. It would not be "remaining as is for 15 years".
According to Benji Switch is doing huge, so even though i don't think it will hit 2 million, i think it will be close.
So, you really are mad lol! Is it because i don't think Switch will hit 2 million? Don't worry 1.8 million is still huge...and it still has a chance to hit 2 million, it's ok. It's called predictions, that's all.
