Any software performing well that you wouldn't have expected? Not talking but games but just some random smaller titles that may be popping out.
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NPD November 2018: All three consoles over 1.3m for the month
- Thread starter ZhugeEX
- Start date
Any software performing well that you wouldn't have expected? Not talking but games but just some random smaller titles that may be popping out.
I think that's a reasonable stance. I agree that a lot of us have been overly bullish on December switch numbers (myself included). 2.5 million is the absolute high end but I'd say unlikely at this stage. At the moment I'm leaning somewhere closer to 2 million for December but it's so hard to predict. On the flip side I think the PS4 is unlikely to cross 1 million so I'd say it's likely that switch will finish the year on top (not that it really matters).
Not gonna lie, I made this face when you made that prediction.....
You looking like Nostradamus now.
I get people tweeting me and making comments on YouTube every month that are far more direct about their opinion on that prediction, to put it nicely. I've learned some people take this extremely seriously. It's unfortunate, to say the least.
"Down to the wire" probably isn't how I'd say it. I predict Switch will be ahead anywhere between ~400-800K YTD. All depends on how high Switch sells in December, and how low PS4 sells.
Wasn't the supply constraint deliberate? As in, Sony was only willing to sell so many systems at $200? IIRC there were still plenty of PS4s around, just no $200 PS4s.
Depends how you look at it. I agree with your prediction but that still means the switch only really overtook the PS4 like halfway through December or even later. I could still see that as being 'down to the wire' even if technically the gap ends up being fairly big.
Not gonna lie, I made this face when you made that prediction.....
You looking like Nostradamus now.
Based off of last year I don't think it's a particularly reaction worthy prediction tbh.
Whether it comes true or not is always up in the air until the numbers come out but I don't think it was a conceited.gif worthy prediction even in January.
Industry is about to get much bigger and you already have numbers like this. It's why a bunch of other companies are about to jump in.
I mean, it really comes down to how well PS4 (and XB1) have sold all year. Since the beginning of the year I've predicted Switch would outsell PS4 but I didn't expect PS4 to sell like it has.
Also Nintendo always does incredible over the holidays. A large chunk of their sales comes from Q4.
I don't think he's saying that December will be at that close, but rather the yearly totals after December will probably be closer than people expect. If the PS4 is currently 650k ahead the Switch will need to sell quite a lot more than that to be significantly ahead.
I think it'll probably be like 750-850k ahead in December so only like 100-200k ahead for the year. So pretty close.
Keep in mind Mario Party had the Joy Con bundle and Spider-Man had a discount for BF and it's a revenue chart. I'm sure both done very well.
Edit:
If I remember correctly Benji said Diablo III had good sales in October, though an update on how it performed in November would be great.
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It was ahead in November because Spidey was the main BF bundle and I don't believe those are counted in the software charts
In terms of lifetime sales Spidey should be waaaaay ahead
Man, Microsoft has really turned things around with the Xbox One, and huge credit needs to be given to Phil Spencer for that. They're somehow succeeding in getting far closer in the race than they really have any right to, and it's almost entirely on the back of Game Pass and the Xbox One X.
Hugely impressive.
Hugely impressive.
Hot damn Spyro, 760k+ units - that's some hot fire. I gotta get me this. Crazy how well these single player nostalgia plays ( Activision hyper targeting all their Skylanders segments that are now underserved) are doing (when Made well)
Whilst so far it's been single player games I could see crash team racing achieving similar results.
Nice to see all three consoles doing well. Remember when some people said this gen might not even happen or would be the least successful and the last one, cause we'd all be playing on mobile? :P
Enough, Mat, we know you sit at your command center watching the sales come in in real time like a big stock ticker. Laughing at us in the prediction threads.
I'm glad to see that all three console makers had a straight up dynamite month, but I'm really curious about how December goes. If Sony can manage to hold on to their lead for the year or if that Nintendo-Christmas magic, with Smash as the kicker, will give Nintendo the W.
No way. I think it was $60. Somebody correct us but I think it was 60. No way it was 80.
You're doing great work Mat. Don't worry about the randos and keep it going.
This gen? Yes. Although TLoU1 (PS3 + PS4 sales) is still the #1 Sony first party game sales-wise in their entire history. I only see Spiderman or TLoU2 being able to surpass that monumental success.
I knew it! I also distinctly remember Star Fox 64 selling for $59.99 with the Rumble Pack bundled with it. That's why I figured Pokémon Stadium + Transfer Pack must've been the same price as well.
I'm glad to see that all three console makers had a straight up dynamite month, but I'm really curious about how December goes. If Sony can manage to hold on to their lead for the year or if that Nintendo-Christmas magic, with Smash as the kicker, will give Nintendo the W.
What is the PS4 and Switch LTD now? Do we know how much the switch has to outsell PS4 in December to lead the year? Are we only talking North America here? (Or do we think Switch will sell the most worldwide too)
Sorry for all the questions!
Isn't that because cyber Monday Is included? If true then I don't see why people are surprised.
Anyways Congrats to Sony for once again taking top spot and to Nintendo for coming back from their WiiU disaster.
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Sure but the PS4 for example is down a pretty good amount YoY while Xbox One only is marginally. Pretty impressive really that it held as well as it did
These years don't exist in a vacuum. The software matters. Period.
But if Sony didn't ship as many 200 ps4 as last year then they can't be up. If they hadn't shipped more wouldn't how much they sale be limited by their stock of 199 Spider-Man bundles?
Was there even stock for PS4 on cyber Monday?
PS4 is mostly down not because of BF week but because the rest of November was really soft for it in comparison to last year.
MS is putting in some good work in the second half of this gen, will be interesting to see if that pays dividends for them with Scarlett.
XBox One X has been a revelation for them.
I guess the same can be said about the one X performance?
The Xbox and Switch sold almost the same.
PS4 Pro's account for roughly 25% of all PS4's sold according to Sony, and I believe Mat hinted at it being as much as 1/3rd at one point. Thing is, a bulk of these November PS4 sales are going to be $199 BF bundles, there were also Pro deals too that had it nearing Switch pricing, so it makes sense the minority of Pro sales weren't enough to bridge the difference.
Pokémon Stadium sold 3m+ in the United States so it makes sense it had a big launch; also, it costed a lot.
Anyway, it's good to see that Mario + Rabbids and Donkey Kong Country are keeping selling well.
Anyway, it's good to see that Mario + Rabbids and Donkey Kong Country are keeping selling well.
oh wow! this is great news for the industry.
consoles be eatin
Fallout 76 and Battlefield V both hit $35 / $30 respecitively within two weeks. A month later, you can walk into Best Buy and get either game for $39.99 / $29.99. What difference does it make if it is a "price cut" vs. a "price drop" when neither game was holding their initial launch price so soon after release and are continuing to be discounted?