Hi! I'm back here again to post an update on the current situation in Chile and how it has evolved since I last posted (which was a week ago I think?)
Update as of July 20th
+ 2.099 new postives -> 333.029 total, 371.323 with probable cases
+ 130 new deaths (READ COMMENTS BELOW)
- 8.866 confirmed by government and Health Statistics Department
- 12.798 with "probable" cases (probable as in diagnosed with Covid but no PCR)
+ 16.343 reported tests, 1.420.390 total
* 12.8% daily positivity and 23.4% total positivity
Comments:
On positivity and reponening: As you can see positivity has indeed dropped, which has turned the talk into a "let's reopen" plan. They shared a reopening plan "step by step", one of the first steps in basically everyone going to work but just that, you'll live to work and can't do anything else. This plan has been openly critized becaue one main points that need to be accomplished is a 80% of traceability which in reality is UNKOWN. Government hasn't shared with scientists their data on traceability, so people don't even know. In any case, the plan still doesn't have a date.They will supposedly share this data tomorrow, so we'll see.
On death toll: Government stopped doing their own fishy record, but they still don't recognize the "probable" cases, of those diagnosed with Covid by medics since they have every single sympthom but no PCR+, in the total. One thing that needs to be known and understood, is that the daily number is not actual deaths in 24h, but deaths registered by the public civil records office, so it is lagged (it was once said that this number wasn't trusted - when it showed higher toll than official numbers - but now it is, now that it shows lower numbers than the 24h would). It's still a mess.
In any case, since the number is lagged, after a couple of days we DO get to know how daily numbers actually are as of July 16th:
- Peak death toll in 24h was June 9th, with 271 deaths.
- Between March 15th and June 9th there were 5.501 deaths - 63 deaths daily on average
- Between June 10th and July 16th, there were 6.934 deaths - 187 deaths daily on average
Even on official public records numbers, daily death toll is almost 100 a day. So it's terrible in relation to our population.
On the evolution in different parts of the country: While the capital has improved (still having 273.293 of the total positive cases with around 8 million population), other regions are increasing.
Valparaiso: 19.948 total cases
Antofagasta: 13.304 total
Bio Bio: 10.336 total
Ohiggins: 10.851 total
Maule: 8.241 total
Those are the top 5 after Santiago. With alarming rates of increasing cases.
www.globenewswire.com
