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California's spread out, suburban, every one in their own personal car culture actually pays off(relatively) for once.
The numbers do seem fairly large for regular day-to-day treatments (Germany, has what, some 80M people?) but at a time like this they are indeed a blessing.
Hope they keep up the good work, we bloody need a beacon of hope in Europe. It'd be great if at least 1 major country didn't get majorly screwed over by this.
US
Nah, called my primary doctor yesterday and they said they have tons of results they have no received back yet.
I'm confused. Sweden never did a lock down and isn't doing one now. Netherlands also doesn't have a shelter in place or travel restrictions as of right now. The U.K. put restrictions in place on the 23rd.
I was until I read how the writers went and prepared for the script. They did a ton of research and talked to a lot of experts to understand what a realistic response might look like. That's why the movie seems to predict the real thing so well, because they injected a hefty dose of reality into the film. Granted, the movie's virus is a much more lethal one than the one we're dealing with.
What does "even worse" mean? Looking at the logarithmic scale for the US here shows that the curve is starting to flatten for the US. Which it should be given the measures put in place over the past several weeks. We've still got a long way to go for the peak but that is true for most countries right now.
Most states in the US havent really started a lockdown or quarantine (or have just done it 1 week ago) and the % of positive tests in some of the areas point more towards the number of cases being "test contrained" rather than flattened the curve (the curve flattens AFTER the peak, not before).
The curve is starting to flatten for the US? I'd love to believe it, but that's not what is happening. Most of the US isn't even testing yet (to a meaningful degree).
Pessimistic take: The curve in the US hasn't even BEGUN yet, due to this absolute mismanagement and naivety.
Mom works in a nursing home in CT an hour from NYC. They already had positive cases. Uuuughhhh
The good thing is my dad is a carpenter and had a bunch of N95's laying around. Her facility is running very low and she is basically using her own supply. She texted me she had to hold a patients hand as a priest read her last rites.
The good thing is my dad is a carpenter and had a bunch of N95's laying around. Her facility is running very low and she is basically using her own supply. She texted me she had to hold a patients hand as a priest read her last rites.
How many countries aren't test constrained at this point? Even with constraints we are testing more and more every day yet the growth on positive tests is dropping.
True that. I would edit to say "more test-constrained" (given a higher percentage of "infected/total tests").
California's population is spread out over 4 major areas (Sacramento, the Bay Area, Los Angeles and San Diego). Once you leave the major cities, it's super rural and spread out.
Cuomo's press conference was interesting. He showed a McKinsey curve graph, with minimal social distancing impact, that peaks at end of April and steadily reduces until July 1. He also briefly discussed starting a new "normal" life for New Yorkers, so we can get back to work.
Tests can't be completed faster because there are known supply problems with the testing materials.
Interesting. So it seems like we are hitting a barrier of about 100k tests a day.
I will literally cry the day we can all go back to our lives and work like normal.
What? No, we will most likely break that barrier Thursday. The increase has been roughly 100,000 a day and the US is speeding up.
As soon as India starts testing on a massive scale the numbers will explode. The real number of infected worldwide is most likely already many millions. Many infected have either zero or very mild symptoms. They won't get tested as long as test supplies are limited.
The virus started spreading worldwide in november and it began spreading in both Europe and US early January (if not sooner). With how connected the world is through tourism and trade and how late measures to limit the spread were introduced it's highly likely that many millions already have COVID. Luckily just as many will have already had it too and are recovered without even knowing they dodged a bullet.
I'm having a really hard time not feeling a bit hopeless today. I wasn't expecting ventilators to be a silver bullet solution, but I definitely didn't anticipate the odds of recovery being so low once you are required to be placed on one. I'm terrified for my parents and older relatives.
Right. A lot of states are having a hard time and basically throwing their hands up in the air for all but the most dire cases.
If anything, China gave other countries a foreshadowing of what happens when you wait too long until you start taking measures.
It''s been 70k actually (at least according to WorldMeters). It takes an entire day and a bit from the following one to do 100k. But even still, yeah, Thursday seems like more accurate bet... unfortunately... :S
I found some statistics which may be of interest for you.
From official data released from ISTAT (Istituto Nazionale di Statistica), a comparison between people died between 1-21 March 2019 and people died between 1-21 March 2020 has been performed.
There are the statistics for some of the most hit provinces (last column's label means Increment):
There are instead statistics related to single cities (first column's label means Total deaths):
Nembro, a city in the province of Bergamo, had a 1000% increment, it's crazy.
Mayor Lori Lightfoot blasts Trump for 'wildly wrong' statements, says Chicago faces a coronavirus peak but 'starting to trend in the right direction'
:quality(70):focal(605x700:615x710)/arc-anglerfish-arc2-prod-tronc.s3.amazonaws.com/public/7IML5NHQDND2HN5R3CDRILIHKQ.jpg)
www.chicagotribune.com
Mayor Lori Lightfoot blasts Trump for ‘wildly wrong’ statements, says Chicago faces a coronavirus peak and must ‘stay diligent’ or risk erasing progress
The number of coronavirus cases in Chicago are “starting to trend in the right direction,” though much more work needs to be done to curb COVID-19, Mayor Lori Lightfoot said Wednesday.
www.chicagotribune.com
United States COVID - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer
United States Coronavirus update with statistics and graphs: total and new cases, deaths per day, mortality and recovery rates, current active cases, recoveries, trends and timeline.
www.worldometers.info
91 deaths in NJ yesterday. The fatalities are spiking every day now, it going to be really ugly.
He is live now and I'm just so frustrated.
Where is the statewide lockdown?
California's numbers are straight up skewed. They have no tests. My dad's nursing home just called and they have 1 case positive for COVID-19.
Told me the risk of infection is low because the person was only there for 3 days. So that's why they aren't testing everyone. Only temperature checks. When I asked about the COVID test she said only hospitals have them.
This is bullshit. Nobody has the test except the ER and they dont want to use them. This is fucking nonsense, how can you have a case in a nursing home and not test everyone?
Told me the risk of infection is low because the person was only there for 3 days. So that's why they aren't testing everyone. Only temperature checks. When I asked about the COVID test she said only hospitals have them.
This is bullshit. Nobody has the test except the ER and they dont want to use them. This is fucking nonsense, how can you have a case in a nursing home and not test everyone?
