exponential growth would still be picked up by the dataThis.
We shouldn't compare the number of cases per day directly without knowing the number of tests performed daily. It's useless.
exponential growth would still be picked up by the dataThis.
We shouldn't compare the number of cases per day directly without knowing the number of tests performed daily. It's useless.
i never heard anything like thatdidn't sweden say they were going to stop publishing numbers just a few days ago?
In November my mom had an MS flare that caused a seizure while she was visiting for Thanksgiving. She was hospitalized for over a week. Since she still lived in the tiny ass rural village I grew up in, the decision was made for her and my step dad to move in with us. My brother in law was already living with us.Soooo my daughter was with her grandma last week...And said grandma is showing some symptoms (aching throat, joints and feels exhausted
...Could it be?
She hasn't been tested yet. She had guests from bavaria a little more than week ago and my daughter was there...
In short: should I self-quarantine now??? Because that's what I think makes sense now. I would have to call work for home office -_- Today and yesterday I had to stay home, parenting, anyway.
Best post in a long time! Thanks for making me laugh :)I've been checking in daily for TP at my local supermarket. No dice. (Netherlands)
Two rolls left. Dawn of the final week.
An article about the state of Japan at the moment. Link is in the tweet; for those who want a more condensed summary, there's a thread below. Pretty interesting stuff.
i think the economies will collapse in this scenario. this reads like massive jobless people.
I am German and was told that I won't be tested right now as I only have mild symptoms.
The problem is that at the moment, nobody can test more because of shortages in testing equipment. It would be perfect if you could quarantine an entire country one week, and just test everybody.This is how you stop a Pandemic: YOU TEST AS MUCH PEOPLE AS YOU CAN, and I used caps because our governments should all learn this lesson for the next one in the future.
I rather not imagine what this would mean. If the economy collapses, it will only take so long until people can't pay their rent or home anymore. I have no idea how all of this would untold but that's not something I want to think about right now. Because if we go that way of thinking you're gonna start living in fear and that really won't help anyone and anything.
An article about the state of Japan at the moment. Link is in the tweet; for those who want a more condensed summary, there's a thread below. Pretty interesting stuff.
An Italian town tested all 3,300 residents, found 3% positive and 1.5% asymptomatic. After quarantining them and their contacts, it cut new COVID-19 cases to zero.
This is how you stop a Pandemic: YOU TEST AS MUCH PEOPLE AS YOU CAN, and I used caps because our governments should all learn this lesson for the next one in the future.
An article about the state of Japan at the moment. Link is in the tweet; for those who want a more condensed summary, there's a thread below. Pretty interesting stuff.
From an ER doc at Baylor.
I know I've been uncharacteristically silent about the coronavirus, but I've had enough at this point. The number of people who call this "media hysteria" or a "political hoax" or want to point out the mortality rates of the flu, cancer, or obesity...do you want to come work my shifts? Do you want to expose yourself to patients in respiratory failure day after day? When we run out of ICU beds and vents, do you want the responsibility of telling your mom, dad, aunts, uncles, friends, and family that I can't intubate them because we just don't have the resources? Do you want to tell the kids of 30 and 40 year old patients that their parent is going to die and we can't do anything to stop it? Do you want to look at the parents of a 20 something year old and tell them their previously healthy son or daughter might not survive? Because these are REAL possibilities. This is ACTUALLY what is happening around the world.
This American superiority complex of "it's just not going to affect me the same way" is gross. There have been multiple projections that this could infect 40-70% of the population. While it's hard to extrapolate accurate predictions, that should concern you. It shouldn't make you hysterical and run to doomsday prep, but it should make you want to be a part of the solution in decreasing the spread. Because kids aren't dying I think people feel protected. Kids less than 10 aren't dying. People in their 20s and 30s are in respiratory failure and ARE dying. These are not elderly people with lots of medical problems that have had the chance to live full lives. These are young and previously healthy people. Yes, the elderly are more likely. But the young and healthy ARE NOT IMMUNE.
Why is this such a big deal when we've already been seeing people with the flu? RESOURCES. Over the past few months we have already spent many days at capacity, boarding patients including ICU patients in the ER. We don't suddenly have a bigger ER, more floors to admit patients to, or more staff to take care of this influx. We have the same resources now with a second deadly virus. For estimated 80% getting sick this is like a cold. For the other 20% they're either significantly sick, or eventually dead. Yes, cancer kills more. Yes, obesity related illness kills more. When taking care of my obese patients I don't have to worry I'm going to "catch diabetes" or that suddenly my coronaries will be blocked. Their BMI can't be transmitted to me through the air. Lung cancer isn't contagious. I'm not worried about catching lung cancer when intubating these patients in respiratory failure. I'm vaccinated against the flu, and I can protect myself from flu patients with a simple surgical mask.
Patients coming into the ER want the best, EVERYTHING to be done, and for it to happen quickly. And more often than not, we deliver on that. We're going to have a different reality if we don't have rapid containment. Everything is going to be far from an option for most patients, and I'm not looking forward to the potential ethically crushing choices we might have to make.
Italy SHUT DOWN THEIR COUNTRY. Italy isn't drastically impacting their economy, tourism, education, and way of life because they care about our presidential election. They are doing it because their citizens are dying. This isn't a hoax. This isn't just the cold. And I don't care if more people by the numbers have already died of the flu. (Actually I very much care-GET VACCINATED). This is a big fucking deal. Open your eyes and pay attention. Your American immune system is not equipped with special corona fighting antibodies that just skipped over other countries. And more importantly, your healthcare system that already didn't have enough doctors doesn't suddenly have a surplus of doctors.
While you have the option (THAT YOU SHOULD TAKE) to stay at home and decrease the likelihood of you being a vector, when you do get sick, guess who is still working? Your nurses, doctors, pharmacists, hospital support staff, EMS, police...we don't have the option to stay at home and protect ourselves and our families. The consensus among myself and other docs is and expectation of not if, but when, we get sick. People that have no lung problems are developing respiratory and multi system organ failure, and dying. We know that could be us. And we aren't just being exposed at the airport or the grocery store or at a concert venue...we are being DIRECTLY exposed to the sickest patients. And without the resources to protect ourselves. The public has stock piled N95 masks to an extent our masks are LOCKED away and we have to have approval to use them. Because we WILL run out. The protective recommendations by the CDC recently became more relaxed...and let's be totally transparent. This is not because the transmission has slowed or COVID is less virulent. It's because we cannot meet a higher standard. We cannot provide our healthcare workers with better protection because we simply don't have it. And I'm so fortunate to work in a resource rich hospital with what I consider exceptional leadership. I see people busting ass to try to keep us safe and informed, but under the context of a rapidly evolving situation with not enough supplies, people, and space to manage the consequences. I've also heard the theories that the doctors that died in China were given amphetamines and worked days at a time. That exhaustion weakened their immunity. As we go through cycles of quarantine, who do you think is going to be on back up? Who do you think will be covering those extra shifts and putting in more hours? While we won't be pumped full of amphetamines, someone will have to be there.
So if you're one of the people that keeps laughing at the "hysteria," keeps comparing it to more deadly disease, thinks that somehow you're special and it's going to skip over you...you're not special and your immune system isn't unique. Take the current pandemic seriously. Stay home and don't be a walking vector. Find a hobby, read some books, spring clean your house, make some new recipes, clear your DVR. You don't need to panic and build a bunker, but don't be an asshole. Stop buying protective supplies that puts those of us on the front line at high risk. Stop buying all the toilet paper. Covid doesn't cause massive diarrhea. Our water supply is not contaminated. You don't need to stock pile bottled water. Don't go to the ER "because you just wanted to be checked out" when you're not actually sick. You risk exposing yourself and frankly, you're pulling us away from the patients that actually need us. And realize that when this gets worse, we are working as hard as we can to do the best we possibly can. Be patient and kind to your first responders.
Sorry if this has been mentioned recently but what is the current world wide death toll. My Parents who are high risk don't listen to me and aren't taking this serious at all.
What's the source for this information?A friend of mine just sent me this.
It's good information worth sharing, so I'll drop it here.
An article about the state of Japan at the moment. Link is in the tweet; for those who want a more condensed summary, there's a thread below. Pretty interesting stuff.
We've known that for a while now.
Just think about this: If you have all your population wearing masks, you are effectively reducing the chances for community transmission because this virus is 80% asymptomatic. Masks are not necessarily preventing you from catching it, but they are effectively protecting you from other people who might be silently spreading it.
I am so tired of my county not taking this seriously. They refuse to act. I cannot wait to get the fuck out of here.
yeah but that's impossible.
We don't have enough masks for the doctors etc.
yeah but that's impossible.
We don't have enough masks for the doctors etc.
Masks do absolutely zero for a virus that is most likely spreading by surface touching vectors. All you do is touch your face once when you have been exposed, even on the mask, and your chance of infection is very high.For now, of course. This are lessons to be learned for the future.
I repeated this mantra for a while, but I'm honestly not sure. Masks provide at least two barriers from your mouth to their mouth if you cough. Even a non filtering mask will capture a decent amount of the particles just by being a barrier. It also physically stops you from touching the parts of your face where the virus can enter your body.Masks do absolutely zero for a virus that is most likely spreading by surface touching vectors. All you do is touch your face once when you have been exposed, even on the mask, and your chance of infection is very high.
And if it was airborne, these masks don't filter it anyways outside of true medical ones.
someone else may have more exact numbers. But I think >9,000. I've been following this site from Johns Hopkins University which gets updated regularly but still lags a bit. I'm not sure if the latest ~500 Italy deaths are on there or the ~400 from Netherlands, etc. I think it is safe to say we are likely over 10k today.
And here is the mobile version
Netherlands has 76 confirmed deaths total, what are these numbers?someone else may have more exact numbers. But I think >9,000. I've been following this site from Johns Hopkins University which gets updated regularly but still lags a bit. I'm not sure if the latest ~500 Italy deaths are on there or the ~400 from Netherlands, etc. I think it is safe to say we are likely over 10k today.
And here is the mobile version
Netherlands has 76 confirmed deaths total, what are these numbers?
A secret recording taken of Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Richard Burr shows him warning a private audience three weeks ago about how the Coronavirus would have dire effects on the U.S.
Weeks Before Virus Panic, Intelligence Chairman Privately Raised Alarm, Sold Stocks
Sen. Richard Burr issued a warning at a private event weeks ago to prepare for dire effects from the coronavirus, going further than his more public comments, according to a recording obtained by NPR.www.npr.org
It stops instant infection but unless you change the mask within say 20 minutes and saturation begins to occur from your breath, it's effectiveness basically disappears. Remember, if the Virus gets on the mask, it is going to be alive for hours on it.I repeated this mantra for a while, but I'm honestly not sure. Masks provide at least two barriers from your mouth to their mouth if you cough. Even a non filtering mask will capture a decent amount of the particles just by being a barrier. It also physically stops you from touching the parts of your face where the virus can enter your body.