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This pattern-spotting appears to be ignoring several data points that inconveniently don't fit into the pattern. For example, in Europe, most of the Nordic countries have very high per-capita infection rates. Norway, Sweden and Denmark each have many hundreds of cases. Iceland have a number of cases which is low in absolute terms, but in per-capita terms is only very slightly lower than Italy's infection rate.
Scientists ask if lines on map hold key to coronavirus spread
Studies suggest that ‘hotspots’ for virus that causes Covid-19 are found between the 30 to 50 degree lines of latitude north.www.scmp.com
Each of those countries appears to be doing a good job of treating patients right now since the number of deaths is low across all the countries I mentioned, but the cases are there.
There are also very high per-capita infection rates in Qatar and Bahrain, neither of which are anywhere near the temperate line this graph is depicting.
Due to the Atlanta outbreak and the first state death at the hospital my son was born in, Cobb county schools are now closed indefinitely. I'm very fortunate that I have the resources that my wife and I can trade working from home (she'll probably stay at home, but I'll have to go in). The concert I was dreading on Saturday night has been cancelled. This is going to be a rough couple of months, but I really see folks I know taking it seriously.
My wife just called to tell me NYC is going to be quarantined, but I have no idea where she heard it or what that would actually entail - and then she hung up...cool.
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Let's hope this tweet ages well.
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Let's hope this tweet ages well.
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I am being sent home because my boss, who I sit beside, wasn't feeling well and is being tested. Please be negative :0
What should I be doing now if I have no symptoms?
What should I be doing now if I have no symptoms?
Little brother in high school just notified me: San Francisco's Unified School District closing all schools from 3/16-4/3.
So apparently there's a fine dining restaurant in Seattle that is shutting down their restaurant but keeping the kitchen open to provide take-out and delivery. Seems like a great approach to keep business going while still preventing spread. And we will need more restaurants to do stuff like this if people start panic buying all the food from grocery stores.
Scientists ask if lines on map hold key to coronavirus spread
Studies suggest that ‘hotspots’ for virus that causes Covid-19 are found between the 30 to 50 degree lines of latitude north.
Hoping this is true. It would definitely explain why the LA Metro Area hasn't been blasted to hell by this so far. It's been long enough to where I definitely would have expected local hospitals to be hit hard by now.
Scientists ask if lines on map hold key to coronavirus spread
Studies suggest that ‘hotspots’ for virus that causes Covid-19 are found between the 30 to 50 degree lines of latitude north.
Hm, does this mean as spring hits us in Canada we're in more danger of a large outbreak? It'll be 5-15 degrees constant by the end of March.
Yeah uh, that's something like 40% of the planet's population? Any temperature considerations should be thrown out the window, too, given the variety in temperatures that can change 10C a day in a lot of regions this time of year. It also assumes equal testing in all places which we know is nonsense. Correlation does not mean a connection.
Welp. Let's hope we have one of those years where Spring last two weeks and we remain in winter weather till early April and hit summer weather (15+) by early May.
Scientists ask if lines on map hold key to coronavirus spread
Studies suggest that ‘hotspots’ for virus that causes Covid-19 are found between the 30 to 50 degree lines of latitude north.
If this turns out to be true, then Turkey is fucked.
Tomorrow will be interesting at work.
I work for BT and our CEO has confirmed positive, could mean head office being closed down, would have big knock on effects for us
I work for BT and our CEO has confirmed positive, could mean head office being closed down, would have big knock on effects for us
The rumor started spreading like wildfire right around the same time de Blasio's press conference announced a state of emergency for NYC. I think it took off right after that.
Just realized that while everywhere is sold out of hand sanitizer my gym has all these dispensers and they are really stocked so guess who's coming later tonight with a toiletry bottle and filling that sucker up. Again, my gym has plenty in stock already and it's not like I'm going to run through these things daily
With this post I am officially locking up the hand sanitizer I keep in my car
I have a question, and hopefully it's not taken to be xenophobic. Has the Wuhan animal market where we think this started been closed down permanently so that something like this doesn't happen again?
I bet they have toilet paper as well.
My dude, there's a whole bunch of live animal markets all over the world.
How about not, probably one of the places that needs it the most. Have actually appreciated how clean the staff and people working out at mine have been keeping it.
I live in Northern Italy and yes people go to work. We can only leave from home, if:
- you have to go to work.
- to go to buy something to eat.
- for health issues.
These three things. It's surreal.
I work as a train conductor and for now the trains are rolling regularly, although there are very few passengers (good thing).
We had the Biathlon World Championship in our area two weeks ago...
If you ever wonder the benefits of a public healthcare system, here in Spain it seems all private clinics are deriving ALL coronavirus patients to the public system as soon as they are turn positive.
Fellow Atlantan/Georgian. I admit I wasn't really taking it as serious as I should have, but as of the last 24 hrs that has changed drastically.
Watching the last Hawks game of the foreseeable future last night, we the NBA went full on shut down while we watched was crazy. Then I got a call midway through the day from my boss saying we need to start working remotely unless absolutely necessary, so I headed home for the day. Then found out UGA is closing for the next two weeks. Final Four cancelled. Just crazy.
As documented by the Ministry of Health, Welfare, and Labor (厚生勞動省) of Japan, from Feb 1 to March 8:
- 133322 cases have sought medical help regarding possible contact with coronavirus in Japan
- 4733 (3.6%) cases have been recommended for further inspection
- 3503 (2.6%) cases have received a PCR test
The markets, and the wildlife trade makes a lot of money for Chinas rich people.
It's going to happen again.
Okay, so this post is totally going to get snowed under, but I have three major issues with the way this entire thing is being reported on. Love to get some feedback from other statisticly enclined people.
1. The death rate. The official numbers are being calculated by the total deaths as a percentage of the total infected. Very logical for an endemic virus like the flu as those are reported on a yearly basis. You have the issue that people contract the flu in the previous year and die in the present, and contract the virus in the current year but die in the next year... But those usually even out. And everyone that didn't die survives, makes sense. But for Corona we're doing a running tally. Year to date (or start to date). So what we're actually doing is counting all the currently ongoing cases as living. Which throws the actual number off by a substantial margin as there is a timed delay from when someone gets sick versus someone getting a result (death versus cured). So the only number we can actually use with any validity (not reliability) is the percentage of people that died versus the sum of people that died and that were cured. that totally skewes the mortality rate to 6% on a global level to 50%!!! in Italy.
2. The numbers of infected per country are being reported as absolutes. 12.000 people in Italy, 80.000 in China. The issue in China seems a lot worse. But when you take population into account, Italy is affected 5 times worse. China has 56 cases per million citizens, Italy has 250. Which also show some situations that didn't seem as bad as a lot worse. Norway has 146 cases per million citizens and as such is the third worst hit country by this virus after Italy and South Korea (China is 11th at the moment).
3. We're not getting all the information we actually need to see how bad the situation is. I have a friend that works in a lab in the Netherlands, they've tested 1700 people. We have 614 confirmed cases. But that's just one lab. What is the actual percentage of confirmed people that don't have it, versus the ones that do? This is basic information that they should have and should provide to the public.
The above makes a lot of assumptions, a lot of them have a very high degree of uncertainty. The main one being that not all people who have the virus are tested. Which is true, but we need to use the data that we do have in a logical way to be able to see at least part of the bigger picture. However flawed that may be.
A friend told me that there wasn't that much to worry about, as the Dutch Mortality rate is 0,82 (614 cases and 5 deaths). But that is complete bullshit when you take into account the lead time of the disease. When you compare it to the total amount considered cures the death rate is 30% Because only two people are considered cured.
Tl;dr look at the actual stats in stead of blindly relying on the media.
1. The death rate. The official numbers are being calculated by the total deaths as a percentage of the total infected. Very logical for an endemic virus like the flu as those are reported on a yearly basis. You have the issue that people contract the flu in the previous year and die in the present, and contract the virus in the current year but die in the next year... But those usually even out. And everyone that didn't die survives, makes sense. But for Corona we're doing a running tally. Year to date (or start to date). So what we're actually doing is counting all the currently ongoing cases as living. Which throws the actual number off by a substantial margin as there is a timed delay from when someone gets sick versus someone getting a result (death versus cured). So the only number we can actually use with any validity (not reliability) is the percentage of people that died versus the sum of people that died and that were cured. that totally skewes the mortality rate to 6% on a global level to 50%!!! in Italy.
2. The numbers of infected per country are being reported as absolutes. 12.000 people in Italy, 80.000 in China. The issue in China seems a lot worse. But when you take population into account, Italy is affected 5 times worse. China has 56 cases per million citizens, Italy has 250. Which also show some situations that didn't seem as bad as a lot worse. Norway has 146 cases per million citizens and as such is the third worst hit country by this virus after Italy and South Korea (China is 11th at the moment).
3. We're not getting all the information we actually need to see how bad the situation is. I have a friend that works in a lab in the Netherlands, they've tested 1700 people. We have 614 confirmed cases. But that's just one lab. What is the actual percentage of confirmed people that don't have it, versus the ones that do? This is basic information that they should have and should provide to the public.
The above makes a lot of assumptions, a lot of them have a very high degree of uncertainty. The main one being that not all people who have the virus are tested. Which is true, but we need to use the data that we do have in a logical way to be able to see at least part of the bigger picture. However flawed that may be.
A friend told me that there wasn't that much to worry about, as the Dutch Mortality rate is 0,82 (614 cases and 5 deaths). But that is complete bullshit when you take into account the lead time of the disease. When you compare it to the total amount considered cures the death rate is 30% Because only two people are considered cured.
Tl;dr look at the actual stats in stead of blindly relying on the media.
I did omg. Also people act like I didn't check with the people that run the gym first. It's a 24 hour fitness their back room is stocked as fuck and they are a couple tiny hotel shampoo bottles I'm filling with sanitizer. Absolutely miss me with trying to guilt me.
I believe she would need to look into the states TDI / Unemployment offices. At least in my state of RI, they have made it so if youre company gets shut down, you can start to collect immediately.
I don't know what to do...
I have chills, but no fever. Have sore throat and headaches. I've had a long week so I haven't slept much this week. I'm thinking what I'm feeling is likely due to exhaustion. But I want to get checked for COVID19. I called my doctor, my urgent care, the city health department and they all said they don't have the means to test for COVID-19.
And this is in the San Gabriel Valley of Los Angeles (close to Pasadena).
I want to get tested but I can't find a way.
I have chills, but no fever. Have sore throat and headaches. I've had a long week so I haven't slept much this week. I'm thinking what I'm feeling is likely due to exhaustion. But I want to get checked for COVID19. I called my doctor, my urgent care, the city health department and they all said they don't have the means to test for COVID-19.
And this is in the San Gabriel Valley of Los Angeles (close to Pasadena).
I want to get tested but I can't find a way.
I'm not, it's a meme.
Um, is it normal for someone to casually admit to pirating stuff?
I was at a work meeting about 50 minutes ago, and during the lead up into it we were all talking about how our Thanksgiving break went. We talked about traveling and activities, and I brought up how I basically spent the entire break playing DQXI on the Switch. Then, one of my co-workers said...
www.resetera.com
50% of people who get it in Italy are not dying, that is sensationalist. Most people who have it (but aren't yet recovered) have mild flu-like symptoms. Yes, some will die, but most will recover.
Yeah but its not a lockdown. Shops will stay open all week.