I guess because when they're outpacing almost every console in history, the market is telling them there's no need for a price drop quite yet.
Can probably expect one later this year though.
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Nintendo Switch shipped 14.49 million from Apr-Dec 2018. Apr-18 to Mar-19 Forecast revised down to 17 million
- Thread starter Noobie
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Can probably expect one later this year though.
This is why
With 22 months on the market, Nintendo Switch has shipped 32.27 million units of hardware. Here is how it compares to other console hardware, when launch aligned. At the moment it's tracking above PS4 and inline with Wii (Although will likely not keep up with Wii next year)
They'll price drop when sales begin to slow, or they have a new model, and not before.
Maybe it's Nintendo's tactics just to say how Switch consoles have sold above their internal projection. :D
All of these numbers are pulled out of the deepest corners of ass.
This is a revision of the initial 20mil projection that has caused at least a dozen threads, correct? If so, a three million downgrade is pretty drastic, right? I wonder what fell short for Nintendo or what the cause is? Smash killed it. Pokemon Let's Go seems to be doing somewhere between good and great per expectations, and those two games were the main driving force of sales this year.
As long as retail software is still a thing, your first option is going to bring in more profit.
Better to introduce a second model alongside the first so you can keep HW profits and sell more software.
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I agree that the smash and pokemon probably did more than expected in software but may be Nintendo was expecting more hardware boast from these titles which they failed to give.
Or i think Apr-Sep hardware results a bit lower (~2m) than their expectations. So i think its the sum of both over-optimism in hardware boast and under-performance during earlier quarters.
I knew they won't hit 20 million, but being right makes me sad because 17 million is kind of drastic. I predicted around 19 million.
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I am not a Nintendo fan, always had sony consoles, but I try not to enter in console wars, but sometimes for me (although that persons dont't represent the majority of Nintendo fans) its difficult to stay Neutral in relation to Nintendo. That thread, and that goal, was used against other members in a unnecessary way.
If they do have something big for the next 2 months, they wouldn't lower their forecast.
That's true
I think Nintendo went all out with announcements last direct to be honest.
Man, Zelda going from a +100% attach rate to barely one third is depressing.
But yeah, Nintendo always knew that they couldn't really achieve that number when most of last year was down yoy. Even last quarter it was basically the only console that didn't had a price cut. The bundle offering where not compelling at all and that Mario kart 8 bundle was simply too little too late.
Even for q1, the biggest news so far is how Metroid is not coming anytime soon. To hit anything beyond 17 million, they would need to get q1 sales bigger yoy, and this obviously isn't happening at this point.
But yeah, Nintendo always knew that they couldn't really achieve that number when most of last year was down yoy. Even last quarter it was basically the only console that didn't had a price cut. The bundle offering where not compelling at all and that Mario kart 8 bundle was simply too little too late.
Even for q1, the biggest news so far is how Metroid is not coming anytime soon. To hit anything beyond 17 million, they would need to get q1 sales bigger yoy, and this obviously isn't happening at this point.
RIP 20 million on hardware but holy moly thse software numbers plus huge sales on Mini consoles
After December I was confident they would hit the 20 million. After mid-January, when they announced the Kirby release date, I was certain they wouldn't hit it anymore. Their Q4 fiscal year offering is extremely poor.
Nope you don't. I also doubt the line-up would be as strong as the last couple years. Still waiting to see more third-party titles.
That's a pretty big revision. Also, I don't agree with people saying that 17m is easy to pass. January to March is a pretty slow time of the year and Nintendo tends to do the majority of their sales during the holidays. The report basically says that Switch "only" sold 5m in 6 months and then did an impressive 9.4m during the holidays, so we shouldn't expect more than 2.5-3m sales for Q4.
In any case, I think launch aligned the Switch is the best selling console ever.
Edit: Judging by Nintendo's initial estimations, they were probably expecting even higher sales during the holidays which implies that they rely 100% on their first party lineup. That's a bit worrying though regarding their effort in creating a platform that's also heavily supported by third parties. The Wii was badly hurt due to the absence of third party titles to support the occasional draughts from Nintendo's studios, especially during Wii's final years.
In any case, I think launch aligned the Switch is the best selling console ever.
Edit: Judging by Nintendo's initial estimations, they were probably expecting even higher sales during the holidays which implies that they rely 100% on their first party lineup. That's a bit worrying though regarding their effort in creating a platform that's also heavily supported by third parties. The Wii was badly hurt due to the absence of third party titles to support the occasional draughts from Nintendo's studios, especially during Wii's final years.
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I'm afraid April till June won't be any better.
Really hoping they will have a steady launch line up this year, but Jan-Mar is not promising.
Maybe the Metroid game was supposed to launch in Q1 2019, so that's why they shot they projection dowm.
A more steady line-uip through the year plus a price cut or other model?
Nintendo needs more than trickled-down third party support, because they obviously do not have the resources to maintain a constant stream of high quality releases. Not having Sekiro, Code Vein or Resident Evil 2 while the console is entering its second year is a big miss for example.
Barely one-third is an attach rate pretty much every single game launched in a sucessfull console would die for.
Metroid has much less impact in sales than expected. On top of that, Q4 should be up YoY based on NSMBUDX and Ultimate alone.
I think they'll drop the price by $50 in the back half of this year. It's selling very well, but it's not selling like Wii "we can't keep this thing stocked!". It's due for a $50 price as it will almost be 3 years old come this holiday.
PS4 got a $50 cut right before its 2nd birthday, Wii got one before its 3rd birthday. Switch getting one around October of this year would be about right.
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will be waiting to read the transcript of earning calls.
If you find, please do share
Those Zelda sales are still crazy, lol. It's higher than any 2 Zelda games combined from any other Nintendo system, even the Wii, and the game still has years of sales ahead of it.
What if they reduce Q4 HW shipments this much so retailers wont have to sit on old NSW HW for when they announce the revision for release in April.
please dont dogpile me with "i dont want a revision, so there wont be one"
It seems this thread is a duplicate of the original here - https://www.resetera.com/threads/ni...ation-top-selling-titles.96754/#post-17424986
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