they are going up against Halo. They will need an AAA exclusive. they know this.
Horizon would have been in dev for 3 years and 8 months by the time PS5 releases in November. KZ SF had 2 years and 8 months of dev time. Yes, it sucked, but Horizon has the A team behind it and an extra year. 3 years and 8 months is plenty of time to make a sequel.
Both consoles will sell out at launch. the entire point of a launch lineup is to create hype in order to sustain the sales post launch after the hardcore have already bought their consoles. And having a strong launch lineup is critical to building hype. especially when you are about to charge $500 for a console.
Horizon 2 and GT7 are pretty much guaranteed to be launch titles. I think ND spinning off TLOU mp as a stand alone title makes me think it will be a GaaS game with PvE and PvP modes. Open world, coop, loot based shooter will be exactly what they need at launch.
I do agree that Sony is going to go deep into securing exclusives. wouldnt be surprised if GTA6 is a 6 months excluisve and if Rocksteady's next game is also some kind of exclusive. I totally think MS went out and acquired all those studios as a response to something. With sony losing the crossplay battle and shutting down so many studios, its possible they took a page out of Phil's book and moneyhatted some big timed exclusives. spec ops must have cost them a lot of money and its pretty much at the end of a gen they have already won. i hate moneyhatting regardless of who does it but i wouldnt be surprised if they do it next gen at launch.
Big exclusive or not they will sold all PS5 the first six months. I expect the first Housemarque AAA games during launch period maybe the mp GG games, probably Ratchet and Clank games maybe a Demon soul's remake,
Horizon 2 will launch in 2021. GT 7 I don't think so too.
GTA will never been exclusive.
Against crossplay, Sony will simply produce more mp games.
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