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When do you think the PS5 reveal will take place?

  • January

    Votes: 6 0.3%
  • February

    Votes: 1,172 65.7%
  • March

    Votes: 273 15.3%
  • April

    Votes: 81 4.5%
  • May

    Votes: 116 6.5%
  • June

    Votes: 48 2.7%
  • Later

    Votes: 89 5.0%

  • Total voters
    1,785
  • Poll closed .
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endlessflood

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
8,693
Australia (GMT+10)
Never heard of em, but yeah that sucks. What did they leak if you don't mind me asking?
Andrew Reiner is an editor at Game Informer, and tweeted that prior to E3 2019, developers were telling him that the PS5 was more powerful than Project Scarlett (as it was known at the time):



Kleegamefan's threadmarks are linked in the OP if you want to read those. Kelly Rickards was an editor at gamefan and EGM.
 

vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
1. I ask because there are some things that for me do not add up. Why would they be testing for things like backwards compatibility on dev kits? What does that achieve when they have another chip?

2. What developers get early on is target specs. They then usually get PC parts to start development as development kits are prepared an iterated upon. Nothing strange. Now the question is, if developers got dev kits in and around 13TF RDNA after GDC, why is this not being tested?

1. No idea. I don't recall much about the BC portion of the Github leaks being discussed and I never saw them myself.

2. Well in point 4 of my guess I noted it could have been the old PC tower low speed devkit that was being tested because AMD would have to test each unit before sending them out, and running them at 2GHz could've been a stress test. There're any number of reasons why they could've still been sending out low speed units when the V shaped devkit just became available.


I know there are alternate theories out there, but I like this one because it fits so nicely with the timing of all the events before and after GDC 2019. I think the V shaped devkit did clock in at about 13 TF which explains all the rumors we heard from insiders over the past year. The XSX is likely in that same ballpark which is why so many people are giving a power difference of 10-15%.
 

Md Ray

Member
Oct 29, 2017
750
Chennai, India
Allow me to take stab at a scenario based on the theory I've mentioned earlier...

1. Sometime in 2018 or so AMD creates a devkit for Sony that's in a big silver PC case. This devkit is running on early samples of the 5700 GPU and Zen 2 CPU, and is using their in-development SmartShift tech to run as an APU for a performance boost and for compatibility for the devs. Up until this point that's the most powerful hardware AMD has available running Navi and Zen2 and lets devs get an early start on hardware that's closer to the final hardware than anything else available.
2. In early 2019 new silicon is available and the next devkit in the V-shaped form factor becomes available. This devkit goes out after GDC and might be an actual APU. This is why people at GDC 2019 were reporting 9.2 TF, because up until that point they only had access to the low speed devkit. It wasn't until after GDC 2019 when the V-shaped devkits went out did we start hearing about figures upwards of 13 TF from Benji and later Tom Warren when he was reporting from E3.
3. In April 2019 Sony talks to Wired and is using the earlier devkit in the PC tower in their presentation. This unit was specifically referred to as a low speed devkit.
4. In June or so this AMD engineer logs a test done on a devkit, not long after Cerny showed they were still using the older low speed devkits. It's entirely possible this test was done on the PC tower devkit. Why? Well I'd imagine AMD has to test each devkit before sending them out. The GPU could have been clocked at 2GHz as a stress test as well instead of always running at 2GHz. This is why the Github hardware seems to closely match a 5700 GPU and why there's no hardware raytracing to be found. As for why would they still be sending out the low speed devkit when the new V shaped unit just became available? I can guess a few possibilities. Not every studio is equal and some of them might not get the hardware that's closer to the final product that early for any number of security reasons. Also not every employee in a studio is equal so only certain employees might have been using the new V shaped devkit while others could still do their job just fine on the low speed devkit. Or maybe at the time they still couldn't produce enough V shaped devkits so they had to still keep pumping out PC tower devkits to keep up with the demand.


So there you go, what I think is a plausible explanation for what the Github devkit was. It explains why its a fair bit less powerful than insiders have indicated. It explains the timing of why we were hearing 9.2 TF before and at GDC and upwards of 13 TF after GDC. It explains why the Github unit seems to basically be a Zen 2 CPU and a 5700 GPU slapped together and why there's no raytracing in the tests. It also explains why Matt indicated the Github data is no longer relevant.

If anyone wants to poke holes in the theory then by all means. It's by no means perfect, but I think it's a decent enough guess and pretty plausible.
Wow, this makes a lot of sense.
 

MrKlaw

Member
Oct 25, 2017
33,038
My problem with gcn vs rdna is that devs would not say they are same if one is 12 rdna tf and one is 12 gcn tf . (If I understood your second point correctly.)

theyd say they are the same if both were 9TF Navi. Which would make xsx twice as powerful as x1x.

vivftp nice post - that works as a possible explanation. Also that testing stopped around mid 2019?
 

MrKlaw

Member
Oct 25, 2017
33,038
1. I ask because there are some things that for me do not add up. Why would they be testing for things like backwards compatibility on dev kits? What does that achieve when they have another chip?

2. What developers get early on is target specs. They then usually get PC parts to start development as development kits are prepared an iterated upon. Nothing strange. Now the question is, if developers got dev kits in and around 13TF RDNA after GDC, why is this not being tested?

1. this could be Sony wanting to spend time early as possible testing BC on Navi which is the architecture they'll be using to make sure it works with PS4 properly and give them time to make small adjustments via stepping if any issues arise
 

Bashteee

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,193
I don't recall the full details, but IIRC it was found with the full resume of the AMD engineer who logged the data.
I'm still not convinced. A cv from XING or LinkedIn with a bit of fantasy and then a public repo of all things? That's the equivalent to some self printed notes to me tbh. We have people creating short animations of a fake PS5 UI with a console and some fake documents or 3D printing a fake Nintendo Switch.

No, I'm only going to believe what established journalists like Schreier say or even better, I'll wait for the official announcement.
 

vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
Wow, this makes a lot of sense.

vivftp nice post - that works as a possible explanation. Also that testing stopped around mid 2019?

Hooray! I made sense to other people! :)

n6Mka0l.gif


MrKlaw No idea when testing would've stopped on the low speed devkit, I'm afraid
 

KeRaSh

I left my heart on Atropos
Member
Oct 26, 2017
10,249
if developers got dev kits in and around 13TF RDNA after GDC, why is this not being tested?

Who's to say that it wasn't tested. Those tests just haven't leaked.
Also, didn't someone say that the GitHub leak had info to trace back the person working at AMD?
Is that person still working at AMD? If this was the final chip design you could bet your ass that person wouldn't be working at AMD anymore.
The fact that nothing concrete has leaked, yet means Sony is keeping a tight ship and everyone is NDAed up to their neck. Leaking actual test results could definitely lose someone their job, right?
 

vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
I'm still not convinced. A cv from XING or LinkedIn with a bit of fantasy and then a public repo of all things? That's the equivalent to some self printed notes to me tbh. We have people creating short animations of a fake PS5 UI with a console and some fake documents or 3D printing a fake Nintendo Switch.

No, I'm only going to believe what established journalists like Schreier say or even better, I'll wait for the official announcement.

Not a bad stance to take. As far as I'm concerned the Github leak is an interesting piece of information but I'm not looking to it to try and figure out what the PS5 will be. We've gotten far too much info from far too many sources indicating something more powerful is being developed and I'm perfectly happy to stick with that until more info comes around :)
 

Fredrik

Member
Oct 27, 2017
9,003
User Warned: Platform Warring
I don't know about you guys, but I for one can't wait to see PS5 be more powerful than XSX, and seeing Xbox execs do damage control at first but then go back and improve the whole platform in other ways the upcoming generation, just as this generation.
I mean when has boasting about sitting on the power throne ended with something positive for the end user?

Edit: Sorry, dumb way to phrase it, didn't mean be to toxic here, I really just enjoy the changes MS has done lately, and also what happened last gen with Sony, and don't think they would've happened if the start would be different. But I'll keep those thoughts for myself.
 
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vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
Who's to say that it wasn't tested. Those tests just haven't leaked.

Yup. If AMD has to test each and every devkit before sending them out then we're looking at what, thousands of devkits in total being sent to dozens if not hundreds of studios? The Github leak was 1 devkit. 1 devkit being tested at a time that we specifically know 2 devkits were in circulation - the low speed PC tower devkit and the V shaped devkit.

That's why I feel there are way too many unknowns about the Github leak to draw any solid conclusions on the final product. Especially when the leak contradicts pretty much all the insiders and even contradicts Cerny when he said there's hardware RT in the GPU, but nothing of the sort was indicated in the leak.


I don't know about you guys, but I for one can't wait to see PS5 be more powerful than XSX, and seeing Xbox execs do damage control at first but then go back and improve the whole platform in other ways the upcoming generation, just as this generation.
I mean when has boasting about sitting on the power throne ended with something positive for the end user?

As far as I'm concerned GPU power is only 1 piece to the puzzle. I'm with the insiders when they say the GPU power will be within 10-15%, meaning they're effectively the same. It's what a lot of us focus on, but there're so many other important factors. The CPUs will likely be pretty close in both boxes give or take a small clock difference. The RAM and SSD and RT implementation could provide us with more tangible differences. Then toss in whatever secret sauces each company is working on.

GO TEAM RERAM!!! :D
 
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Gamer17

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
9,399
1. No idea. I don't recall much about the BC portion of the Github leaks being discussed and I never saw them myself.

2. Well in point 4 of my guess I noted it could have been the old PC tower low speed devkit that was being tested because AMD would have to test each unit before sending them out, and running them at 2GHz could've been a stress test. There're any number of reasons why they could've still been sending out low speed units when the V shaped devkit just became available.


I know there are alternate theories out there, but I like this one because it fits so nicely with the timing of all the events before and after GDC 2019. I think the V shaped devkit did clock in at about 13 TF which explains all the rumors we heard from insiders over the past year. The XSX is likely in that same ballpark which is why so many people are giving a power difference of 10-15%.
Well we do know that ps5 dev kit around gdc 2019 was 9.2 tf (before the v shape dev kit)

 

Pantato

Member
Nov 5, 2019
68
I don't know about you guys, but I for one can't wait to see PS5 be more powerful than XSX, and seeing Xbox execs do damage control at first but then go back and improve the whole platform in other ways the upcoming generation, just as this generation.
I mean when has boasting about sitting on the power throne ended with something positive for the end user?
Naah. Microsoft can't afford to have the weakest box against at the start of a generation. So even if both PS5 and SeX are currently very similar, Microsoft will wait for the PS5 reveal before bumping the clock up. Not that it will matter at the end, next gen will be about more than just TF.
 

vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
Well we do know that ps5 dev kit around gdc 2019 was 9.2 tf (before the v shape dev kit)


Yup, that had to be the low speed devkit in the silver PC tower. As I mentioned earlier, if the V shaped unit went out just after GDC then that means this silver PC tower must've been created quite a while before that. Definitely in 2018, maybe as far back as 2017? What sort of hardware would they have had back in 2018 to shove into a devkit? I'm seriously doubting they would already have an APU more than 2 years away from launch, but they almost certainly would've had early 5700 GPUs and Zen 2 CPUs since those were launching in mid 2019.

Now I didn't read the Github leak and all the info I have on it comes from the others in this thread. To anyone who did read it, is there really any reason why the device being tested there couldn't have been a 5700 GPU OC'd possibly for a stress test and a Zen 2 CPU, then use SmartShift to make the system think it's an APU?
 

Gamer17

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
9,399
Yup, that had to be the low speed devkit in the silver PC tower. As I mentioned earlier, if the V shaped unit went out just after GDC then that means this silver PC tower must've been created quite a while before that. Definitely in 2018, maybe as far back as 2017? What sort of hardware would they have had back in 2018 to shove into a devkit? I'm seriously doubting they would already have an APU more than 2 years away from launch, but they almost certainly would've had early 5700 GPUs and Zen 2 CPUs since those were launching in mid 2019.

Now I didn't read the Github leak and all the info I have on it comes from the others in this thread. To anyone who did read it, is there really any reason why the device being tested there couldn't have been a 5700 GPU OC'd possibly for a stress test and a Zen 2 CPU, then use SmartShift to make the system think it's an APU?
Yea the v shape went out to devs one month after gdc 2019 around April 20.and apparently there are two v shape dev kit prototypes . One for first party and one for 3rd party( different specs to prevent leaks )
 

VN1X

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
2,027
4 more days. If we don't get an announcement then then #teamfeb needs to hold their heads in shame!

Spoiler alert: It ain't happening in February.
 

vivftp

Member
Oct 29, 2017
19,751
it's a rumor thought . I ll post it .
Prototype 1 : prospero (3rd party)
Prototype 2: Verona (1st party)

Thank you :)

4 more days. If we don't get an announcement then then #teamfeb needs to hold their heads in shame!

Spoiler alert: It ain't happening in February.

Nah, if it's an event for the very end of Feb then invites could still go out in the first week of Feb. Klee had said end of Feb in that PM to ArabianPrynce
 

MrKlaw

Member
Oct 25, 2017
33,038
4 more days. If we don't get an announcement then then #teamfeb needs to hold their heads in shame!

Spoiler alert: It ain't happening in February.

4 more days for what? Sony could go through to 14 Feb or they wanted to give 2 weeks notice for an event last week of Feb.

4 days is only if they are literally copying 2013 dates
 

nelsonroyale

Member
Oct 28, 2017
12,124
Interesting to see whether those who don't believe ps5 specs may have evolved are willing to countenance that Lockhart might have. If anything the latter would make more sense if ps5 was on a level with Xsx
 

Jaypah

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,866
Interesting to see whether those who don't believe ps5 specs may have evolved are willing to countenance that Lockhart might have. If anything the latter would make more sense if ps5 was on a level with Xsx

I'm the opposite. I think PS5 has evolved but I think Lock has remained the same. Or at least I don't think this recent find is related to Lockhart. Granted I haven't thoroughly checked it out.
 

Lucreto

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,631
It more than likely end of February or before GDC in March, they cancelled their appearance at Destination PlayStation which is usually held in February and everything will leak if they leave it after GDC.
 

Xeontech

Member
Oct 28, 2017
4,059
Allow me to take stab at a scenario based on the theory I've mentioned earlier...

1. Sometime in 2018 or so AMD creates a devkit for Sony that's in a big silver PC case. This devkit is running on early samples of the 5700 GPU and Zen 2 CPU, and is using their in-development SmartShift tech to run as an APU for a performance boost and for compatibility for the devs. Up until this point that's the most powerful hardware AMD has available running Navi and Zen2 and lets devs get an early start on hardware that's closer to the final hardware than anything else available.
2. In early 2019 new silicon is available and the next devkit in the V-shaped form factor becomes available. This devkit goes out after GDC and might be an actual APU. This is why people at GDC 2019 were reporting 9.2 TF, because up until that point they only had access to the low speed devkit. It wasn't until after GDC 2019 when the V-shaped devkits went out did we start hearing about figures upwards of 13 TF from Benji and later Tom Warren when he was reporting from E3.
3. In April 2019 Sony talks to Wired and is using the earlier devkit in the PC tower in their presentation. This unit was specifically referred to as a low speed devkit.
4. In June or so this AMD engineer logs a test done on a devkit, not long after Cerny showed they were still using the older low speed devkits. It's entirely possible this test was done on the PC tower devkit. Why? Well I'd imagine AMD has to test each devkit before sending them out. The GPU could have been clocked at 2GHz as a stress test as well instead of always running at 2GHz. This is why the Github hardware seems to closely match a 5700 GPU and why there's no hardware raytracing to be found. As for why would they still be sending out the low speed devkit when the new V shaped unit just became available? I can guess a few possibilities. Not every studio is equal and some of them might not get the hardware that's closer to the final product that early for any number of security reasons. Also not every employee in a studio is equal so only certain employees might have been using the new V shaped devkit while others could still do their job just fine on the low speed devkit. Or maybe at the time they still couldn't produce enough V shaped devkits so they had to still keep pumping out PC tower devkits to keep up with the demand.


So there you go, what I think is a plausible explanation for what the Github devkit was. It explains why its a fair bit less powerful than insiders have indicated. It explains the timing of why we were hearing 9.2 TF before and at GDC and upwards of 13 TF after GDC. It explains why the Github unit seems to basically be a Zen 2 CPU and a 5700 GPU slapped together and why there's no raytracing in the tests. It also explains why Matt indicated the Github data is no longer relevant.

If anyone wants to poke holes in the theory then by all means. It's by no means perfect, but I think it's a decent enough guess and pretty plausible.
Very well thought out. Nice post Viv.
 

Gamer17

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
9,399
Interesting to see whether those who don't believe ps5 specs may have evolved are willing to countenance that Lockhart might have. If anything the latter would make more sense if ps5 was on a level with Xsx
Exactly the only way ms would bump the spec of Lockhart is that they are sure ps5 and xsx are close in spec and price and now they feel they can price Lockhart 399 and leave 499 for ps5 and xsx
 

Gamer17

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
9,399
A month notice is common as people need to book flights and plan accordingly. 2 weeks sounds rather arrogant as if everybody just sits there and is waiting only for this invitation.
You didn't answer his question . VN1X

yes they do 2 weeks event notice as well . Has nothing to do with arrogant or whatever u r on about .

last of us 2 event was 2 weeks notice . Ps4 was 3 weeks notice .
 

KOHIPEET

Member
Oct 29, 2017
1,416
IMO we'll get an article or a state of play, with price and some game montage sometime in Feb and then a full blowout in May/June.
 
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