I find it interesting that the latest fad is the belief that Sony would intentionally release PS5 6 months early just to keep ERA happy, and basically have it come out in small shipments.
Frankly the whole "it would sell out anyway" argument is pure fantasy. Sony isn't going to trickle out PS5 as they made them through out 2020; they are going to do what they did with PS4, which was to make them and build up inventory for 6 months or more, and THEN release them all in one go in November.
The amount of PS5's they will sell would be the same either way, but the big difference is that they would literally have an explosive November when their entire store inventory would be sold all at once, generating massive media interest and headlines of "best selling Sony console Ever!"
Selling the PS5 in small batches every month from March onwards is just a silly concept. There is no benefit to Sony to do it that way when the PS4 way was already a proven success. Sony does NOT want PS5 to be an Enthusiast machine, they want everyone to be able to buy it. Making PS5 release in small batches is just ensuring the average Joe never get their hands on one, and the scalpers making a killing.
Also I do note that I tend to rain on people's parades a lot in this thread. But it is just because I am not invested in this emotionally, and as such have no stakes in wanting the PS5 as soon as possible to the detriment of Sony.
Ok, firstly, you need to quit the snooty 'hivemind ERA lives in a bubble and only thinks of itself' garbage. The concept of the early, BC-focused PS5 release is not about 'pleasing ERA', it's about targeting essentially the same audience that went for the Pro and the X, which, last I checked, numbered in the millions of people and are also responsible for an larger % of actual game and subscription sales then those millions would suggest. Assuming the Xbox wasn't coming unit November that amount is more than enough for a substantial lead. It's not about making the PS5 itself an enthusiast console, it's about recognising a market of millions and catering to that market, without taking anything away from the casual customers who will buy the console later.
Secondly, the idea is not that Sony would start making the PS5 in February and sell it in drips and drabs from March onwards, which would be ridiculous. It's that, if the PS5 spec that Sony decided on (7nm, Zen2, Navi, GDDR6) is ready to start being manufactured late this year, but the next-gen games are not ready until late 2020, then waiting an extra 6-7 months to release it would be rather pointless, assuming the existence of enhanced BC.
And lastly, you might think that building up all the stock for a November blowout would be the obviously better way of doing it, but that's merely your opinion, and I don't agree. The earlier release would mean that:
- Sony has the most powerful console and the best place to play games for 6 months.
- Sony has the only console on which demos of next-gen games can be released, building hype for the holidays.
- People who care less about which next-gen console they get as much as getting it ASAP will jump on the PS5, when they might have gotten the NextBox had they released simultaneously.
- PlayStation goes into the holidays with a sales lead of several millions, with the NextBox starting behind the 8-ball.
It's guesswork and speculation, but I really do not see how some 'best-selling PlayStation' headlines trump that.
Like I said, this is an idea that involves some assumptions. Obviously if Sony can't start making the PS5 until later into next year, or if the NextBox releases in March with proper next-gen exclusives, or if the PS5's BC doesn't have enhancements, or any number of things, then it would become a bad idea.
The predictions from well over 1 year ago about RAM prices falling significantly are coming true.
I expect Sony and Microsoft to take full advantage of this, and I know they're likely to be using GDDR6, but still.
Won't GDDR6 benefit from the same price drops as DDR4? I was under the impression that it's all DRAM in the end.