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I'm just saying, with the fate of the universe on the line, Iggy is taking that shot.
Tier 1: Giannis
Tier 2: Durant, Jokic, Doncic
Tier 3: Curry, LeBron, Embiid, Tatum, and maybe Morant
Begrudgingly have to root for the Heat. I don't care about who comes out of the West really.
Good ranking. But I would say at this point: Embiid = Luka. Which is crazy to even contemplate. But Luka's just that crazy of a dude. So I don't know if that puts Embiid in Tier 2 or Luka in Tier 3.
Embiid probably deserves to go up a tier. Rough way to end the season was a sour note
This draft is pretty deep. I honestly don't think there's a ton of separation until you get to like 9 or 10. The top-4 are clear to me (Chet, Jabari, Paolo, and Ivey) but there's not a chasm between them and the next group (Griffin, Sharpe, Mathurin, etc.). I think it's obviously harder to pick, but you can still get someone with great potential outside of the top 3 or 4 here.
Top 3 is for guys who have reasonable star potential and will likely be high level role players (Chet, Jabari, Pablo)
4-5 is for ultra risky guys with star potential (Ivey, Shaedon Sharpe)
After is mostly role players but some could be high level role players
Ivey right now is Donovan Mitchell without a jumpshot which is..... extremely bad. But he could be Donovan Mitchell if he learns how to shoot.
Shaedon Sharpe has almost no high level experience as he's coming directly from high school and spent a lot of his last year in high school practicing with Kentucky instead of playing more games.
I would say if you land within top 7, you should be feeling good. Top 4 are Paolo/Jabari/Chet/Ivey. The next few guys (AJ Griffin, Sharpe, Murray) are good prospects. Obviously not as good as the top 3 but there should be some decent players.
I would imagine Sharpe goes over Ivey in the end.
Ivey is a terrible fit with almost every team in the lottery.
Ivey is a terrible fit with almost every team in the lottery.
This is a dire 4 to find someone to root for. So I choose none. Long shot Luka winning I guess, but the Mavs like having George Bush in their arena.
I'm not saying this just because the C's don't have a pick, but I'm really underwhelmed by the top of the draft. It doesn't mean they can't be great players, but Smith-Chet-Paolo might, from merely an athletic standpoint, be one of the least athletic top of the drafts ever. There's no standout athlete. Again, doesn't mean they can't turn into great players. I'd be most comfortable with Paolo, least with Chet, and shooting for the moon with Smith.
I don't know enough about Sharpe to have an opinion but based on what I've heard it wouldn't stun me to see him enter the top 3-4 discussion when workouts start. Seems like a player who would do well there.
I wouldn't worry about this two much, the '____ player' draft or tiers are mostly nonsense. I remember the Celtics drafting 3rd in a couple 'two player' drafts and doing OK.
I don't know enough about Sharpe to have an opinion but based on what I've heard it wouldn't stun me to see him enter the top 3-4 discussion when workouts start. Seems like a player who would do well there.
I wouldn't worry about this two much, the '____ player' draft or tiers are mostly nonsense. I remember the Celtics drafting 3rd in a couple 'two player' drafts and doing OK.
lmfao this mf right here
"Nobody pushed me back like a grade-schooler therefore CP3 is a fraud".
I want Ivey paired with Haliburton if Ivey is cool with playing 2
I mean, he fits OK with Haliburton (though neither guy is very good at dribbling), but a lot of other teams are just really bad fits.
Like, Ivey with the Thunder is just a disaster.
Ivey next to Jalen Suggs on the Magic would be extremely funny as Ivey... has most of the same issues as Suggs and is just more athletic.
Okay, thanks. I'm really hoping for top 3 though and that we take Paolo. Having another ball handling wing with huge upside to pair with Cade would be amazing.
NBA hates Pacers because they drop to 9th (0.6% chance of it happening)
I'd put Lebron a tier (or 2) below 3. He's not that guy anymore. Probably also put Jokic in tier 1. Him and Giannis are the last two mvp's and each won two of them back to back.
As a long suffering Hornets fan I have reluctantly come to respect the Heat over the years. I also really like Butler and Bam, so I'm rooting for them to silence the doubters and win another championship for Miami.
I really wonder why people hate the Heat. Is it because of Butler? Riley? The fans who probably don't give two shits about anything other than the Dolphins for some strange reason? The Lebron,Wade,Bosh era?
I could probably fly to the Heat playoff game and get a ticket for less than a ticket in Boston 🤷🏻♂️
Alright, lottery predictions!
What I expect:
1 - Magic
2 - Pacers
3 - Rockets
4 - Pistons
What i'd want:
1 - Magic - Y'all do well with #1 center picks and it would give me hope that they'll more easily part ways with Mo Bamba if Ayton is max'd elsewhere
2 - Blazers - Of the lottery teams, i'm thinking the Blazers and Kings will shop their picks around no matter where they land but the Blazers are going to be super aggressive about it and I am very curious to see how they try to build a contender around Dame in one year after tearing it all down.
3 - Spurs - Spurs haven't had a high lottery pick in a while and i'd be curious to see if they'd try and move up with the 30 million picks this year to #2/if the Blazers would agree to a three-team trade depending on who drops to #3 between Chet/Banchero/Smith. 9th, 20th and 25th picks would be very enticing for a team on the cusp of blowing it up i.e. if the Wizards wanted to send Beal to Portland then getting the 3rd, 20th and 25th picks isn't bad at all, weak draft aside; they could also re-route those picks for other prospects or futures in another draft
4 - Kings - I really, really cannot let the Pistons become more of a menace to my team, sorry
Maximum Chaos:
1 - Kings
2 - Blazers
3 - OKC
4 - OKC via the Clippers
Worst Timeline:
1 - Knicks
2 - Cavs
3 - Hornets
4 - Magic
11 - Grizzlies due to the Pelicans protections on their pick
As an aside, the Kings must really hate Fox to have Sabonis represent them at the lottery. Dude was just traded there this season!
What I expect:
1 - Magic
2 - Pacers
3 - Rockets
4 - Pistons
What i'd want:
1 - Magic - Y'all do well with #1 center picks and it would give me hope that they'll more easily part ways with Mo Bamba if Ayton is max'd elsewhere
2 - Blazers - Of the lottery teams, i'm thinking the Blazers and Kings will shop their picks around no matter where they land but the Blazers are going to be super aggressive about it and I am very curious to see how they try to build a contender around Dame in one year after tearing it all down.
3 - Spurs - Spurs haven't had a high lottery pick in a while and i'd be curious to see if they'd try and move up with the 30 million picks this year to #2/if the Blazers would agree to a three-team trade depending on who drops to #3 between Chet/Banchero/Smith. 9th, 20th and 25th picks would be very enticing for a team on the cusp of blowing it up i.e. if the Wizards wanted to send Beal to Portland then getting the 3rd, 20th and 25th picks isn't bad at all, weak draft aside; they could also re-route those picks for other prospects or futures in another draft
4 - Kings - I really, really cannot let the Pistons become more of a menace to my team, sorry
Maximum Chaos:
1 - Kings
2 - Blazers
3 - OKC
4 - OKC via the Clippers
Worst Timeline:
1 - Knicks
2 - Cavs
3 - Hornets
4 - Magic
11 - Grizzlies due to the Pelicans protections on their pick
As an aside, the Kings must really hate Fox to have Sabonis represent them at the lottery. Dude was just traded there this season!
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I assume most of it stems from the Lebron Heatles. The presumed success ("not 1, not 2" etc) and the media circus around that (I could be wrong but I thought a major site like ESPN started a "Heat Watch" dedicated Lebron/Heat section). A lot of young(er) fans probably started watching basketball right around the start of the 2010's and the Heat were the big bads.
For me as a Lakers fan, it's mostly because they were our opponents in the finals a few years ago, and all the talk about they would have won if not for injuries to Bam/Dragic. But definitely respect the toughness
Welp. might have to change my prediction to Heat in 5 at this rate lol. I'll stick to 7 games though
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