It was either a complete last ditch guess, not really outside the realm of possibility, it's a 50/50 chance of guessing right, or they did try to target him, scum could have a role cop as the easy example. They wouldn't be able to tell the difference between a role block or a miss from their perspective but they may have just guessed there too.
I think what I'm most confident in is there wasn't a crumb anywhere and I think other teammates would have talked turmoil from guessin based on a crumb. Flux had no idea what I was talking about when I asked him about it multiple times yesterday. If anything, I think it was just a guess based on how Flux responded to turmoil early in the day saying that he didn't crumb a PR but maybe he crumbed a name (or something, I'm still unclear on what Flux was even saying in those posts).
Because the two choices Flux had were "I am vanilla" or "I am a PR." The first one verifies turmoil's claim AND is easier on Flux because then he doesn't have to make up a role that could be counter claimed. Instead he said he was a PR which puts him and turmoil in a 1v1 and has the added difficult that he had to now say he was a commuter and hope no one could point to that and say it's a lie.
Let's add some irony to this description, I don't remember what game it was, I think that .5 gafia game we did that I modded for Palmer, but Stanley was a one shot day vigilante that sat on his shot the whole game and might not have even ended up using it, or if he did it was at the very end. So Stan getting shot my a day vig? *chef's kiss* But my real point, a one shot day killer is town, I still think scum would have been restricted day 1 from using it just to allow a town counter to set up and it doesn't make sense for a neutral anymore since what even would be the win con? I still don't see the point for anyone to have claimed their real name, what even is the point? nin's role flipped as an overrider and he's not particularly famous for having that role and sure, the verelios/include masons were a role but I think Grizzly mix and matched memes with random roles just so no one could guess PRs based on the role name and, again, scum would just have the fake claims anyway.
I just fail to see why you'd be stuck in the whole name thing.
I see this mentioned a few times. The Cthulhu modifier affects everyone equally, it wasn't a particularly scum-sided modifier. Who it really hurt was whoever was up for lynch at day end because the stuck votes and lack of discussion means that whoever was put forward first was likely to get lynched. If that person ends up being scum then suddenly the modifier fucks over scum, if it had been someone town, the modifier would have been cakewalk for scum.
