Oh okay, so the next reward is at 50 so if you -14 from that, I'm at 36 pulls then? Gotcha, thanks!
I'm trying to see how many gems I'll need to grind out for the pity. I know we'll get ten tonight so that makes around 154 pulls. I have a little over 4k gems now and a bunch of story content to burn through (haven't even touched Hard/Expert yet). I think I'm crazy enough to do this.
How dedicated are you? You could try for one of the Orochi (ideally Iori), but their banner only opens up after you beat the entire first chapter (so around 30-40 of auto).
If you want an easier start, just re-roll and aim for Halloween Kula or Angel. Both are great and limited, and you can then select ticket whoever else you want (Mai '95 or King '94 preferably) and Infinite Reroll another later on if you feel like it.