The only thing that may happen is the GOP burns him in the primary and throws support behind Desantis
Other than that, Eastman will likely be the only fall guy in all of this.
Trump will never let this happen.
He owns the GOP... The party is his to do with what he wishes. The only way Trump isn't the nominee is if he doesn't want it.
I could see DeSantis snatching it from Trump because he is acting like Trump and his support is growing.
This is the first time I was able to post this gif. I had to take it.
"More likely than not" - okay so still a vague ass 'ruling'? What does this change?
Genuine question.
Maybe a moratorium on threads like this until he is indicted? It's just exhausting to read when 90+% of the posts are some variation of "nothing will happen" or "lol he is gonna win again in 2024". Not exactly conducive to discussion.
or maybe people could just stop ripping their hair out in despair every time the headline isn't "Trump Literally Dragged into Prison with Rusty Iron Chains"Maybe a moratorium on threads like this until he is indicted? It's just exhausting to read when 90+% of the posts are some variation of "nothing will happen" or "lol he is gonna win again in 2024". Not exactly conducive to discussion.
or maybe people could just stop ripping their hair out in despair every time the headline isn't "Trump Literally Dragged into Prison with Rusty Iron Chains"
"More than likely not" is like writing a criminal defense's 'reasonable doubt' argument for them.
."More likely than not" - okay so still a vague ass 'ruling'? What does this change?
Genuine question.
You flipped the words around, but actually it favors the prosecutors since more likely than not is essentially the definition for probable cause as the standard for criminal changes. This is what a grand jury indictment is based on, whether it is more likely than not the accused actually committed a crime, and therefore the court can move forward with their case."More than likely not" is like writing a criminal defense's 'reasonable doubt' argument for them.
This is just a reading by the judge based on just the communique. If you include all the stuff Jan 6th committee has, I'm certain that likely will go to beyond reasonable doubt."More than likely not" is like writing a criminal defense's 'reasonable doubt' argument for them.
Oh shit I totally flubbed the word order in my mind. Yeah that is my mistake and totally changes things.You flipped the words around, but actually it favors the prosecutors since more likely than not is essentially the definition for probable cause as the standard for criminal changes. This is what a grand jury indictment is based on, whether it is more likely than not the accused actually committed a crime, and therefore the court can move forward with their case.
Not that this will probably ever get there though.
You flipped the words around, but actually it favors the prosecutors since more likely than not is essentially the definition for probable cause as the standard for criminal changes. This is what a grand jury indictment is based on, whether it is more likely than not the accused actually committed a crime, and therefore the court can move forward with their case.
Not that this will probably ever get there though.
No worries. Others were asking what it meant anyway and it's easy to not equate it with something that makes more sense.Oh shit I totally flubbed the word order in my mind. Yeah that is my mistake and totally changes things.
Thanks for pointing that error out for me. I have a disability that causes these slip ups sometimes.
I think you're confusing reasonable suspicion and probable cause. Reasonable suspicion is far less. Probable cause is about 51%Probable cause is even less of a burden of proof than that. As a practical matter, though, prosecutors usually don't proceed unless they think it's likely that their evidence will produce a conviction. (And prosecutors certainly won't to prosecute the highly political cases here unless they're very certain)
just keeps the investigation going"More likely than not" - okay so still a vague ass 'ruling'? What does this change?
Genuine question.
I think you're confusing reasonable suspicion and probable cause. Reasonable suspicion is far less. Probable cause is about 51%
Yep you're right... probable cause isn't given numerical value by the courts. My badNope, preponderance of the evidence is 50+. Probable cause is a "fair probability that a crime has been committed."
Maybe a moratorium on threads like this until he is indicted? It's just exhausting to read when 90+% of the posts are some variation of "nothing will happen" or "lol he is gonna win again in 2024". Not exactly conducive to discussion.
Maybe a moratorium on threads like this until he is indicted? It's just exhausting to read when 90+% of the posts are some variation of "nothing will happen" or "lol he is gonna win again in 2024". Not exactly conducive to discussion.
More not than likely
Not at this time. The ruling allowed the January 6th committee to get more documents from Trump and Eastman. As for why the judge ruled that Trump more likely than not committed a crime:
Not at this time. The ruling allowed the January 6th committee to get more documents from Trump and Eastman. As for why the judge ruled that Trump more likely than not committed a crime:
Trump claims that the document the Jan. 6th committee wanted were protected by the attorney-client privilege and the work product privilege. Normally, the government cannot force a party to turn over documents covered by one of these privileges. The judge found that the work product privilege covers the documents, so they had to find an exception. One exception is that the documents were produced to help commit a crime. The judge found that Trump and Eastman more likely than not were trying to illegally obstruct a congressional proceeding (a crime), which allowed the Jan 6th. committee to obtain the documents.
As for why this would not lead to any charges immediately:
More likely than not is legal jargon for a standard of proof. It means more or less what you think it means through a plain reading: more than 50%. That is the standard for compelling Trump to release the documents. But for convicting Trump of a crime, the standard of proof is beyond a reasonable doubt. That is much tougher. Which is why a prosecutor might look at the same set of evidence as the judge and decide there is not enough to prosecute Trump.