What the articles I shared with you prove, is that currently the companies I mentioned are reaching and surpassing their goals. We don't need to know exactly in numbers what they were, just that they were reached and surpassed. They are aware of the current limitation that VR has, there is a limited market of people that will take the time to setup something with a bunch of wires and has a certain cost, but what happens as these factors improve? When Sony publicly announces that the PSVR sold 5 million units and at the same time talk about how this number exceeded their expectations, the answer for that cannot be that they only
"cracked a negligible part of that market.". The only way I'm able to see that, is that by Sony's own admission, they are going faster than expected. When or if VR reaches mainstream numbers (under whatever definition you have) or how fast will it get there is another discussion. Although it should be obvious to anyone that the growth for VR is accelerating, that part should be undeniable. Your job as someone that says that VR/AR is
"never going to see hundreds of millions of active individual", is to point out when do you expect for the growth to stop. Take the graph below and say, something like "The market stop growing at 10-20 million active users." and explain why is that the case. Every time that new and improved VR hardware is released, the sales improve, sales for VR games is also improving rapidly. So when does improvement and growth stops happening for VR hardware and software?
"The result reveals a trend of headset adoption that's a near perfect exponential growth curve."
Valve’s monthly Steam Survey has long offered some useful insight into which headsets are actively connected to users computers and the share of the Steam population that’s using each, but the figures provided are relative to the non-static Steam population, which obfuscates the actual adoption...
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