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Hurricane Laura |OT| [Up: Category 4]
- Thread starter fluffydelusions
- Start date
- News
The turn has already started. Look at that radar loop, the eye is going almost straight north. Full turn is still expected this afternoon.
Officially a Cat 4, will have at least 4 more hours till shear starts to affect it
1:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 26
Location: 27.3°N 92.5°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 952 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph
1:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 26
Location: 27.3°N 92.5°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 952 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph
It's 30 miles in diameter as of 11am today, but that's not unusual (20-40 is the normal range) nor is it bad; a smaller eye generally means a more powerful storm, as it means the storm rotates more quickly. Maria had a ~10-mile eye, for example.
Which radar are you looking at? The loop I'm watching has it starting to go north, and then it shifts west.
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The latest advisory a couple minutes ago still has it as going NW as well.
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Time for further possible strengthening almost right up to landfall when shear is expected to kick in. Laura could get close to Cat 5 strength.
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I feel terrible for the lake Charles area. I hope some shear starts to take effect soon. We are so damn lucky in houston
We really, really are...I'm just waiting for that shear...
What radar is everyone looking at?
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I'm on a forum where there are many mets and they say the shear won't do much. Forum is here if you want to read what they have to say:
Major Hurricane Laura
I dont think it has been officially declared yet, but with 70% odds now for development in 5 days, its time to fire up a thread. A wave rolled off the coast of Africa this weekend and has slowly been detected by the guidance as a candidate for development in the central Atlantic. Ive been actuall...
www.americanwx.com
Exactly, this thing doesn't seem to be slowing down at all... It's quickly becoming a terrifying situation.
I'm on a forum where there are many mets and they say the shear won't do much. Forum is here if you want to read what they have to say:
Major Hurricane Laura
I dont think it has been officially declared yet, but with 70% odds now for development in 5 days, its time to fire up a thread. A wave rolled off the coast of Africa this weekend and has slowly been detected by the guidance as a candidate for development in the central Atlantic. Ive been actuall...
The shear not doing much...that would mean it would continue more NW than projected is that correct?
I'm on a forum where there are many mets and they say the shear won't do much. Forum is here if you want to read what they have to say:
Major Hurricane Laura
I dont think it has been officially declared yet, but with 70% odds now for development in 5 days, its time to fire up a thread. A wave rolled off the coast of Africa this weekend and has slowly been detected by the guidance as a candidate for development in the central Atlantic. Ive been actuall...
Yeah, this storm is moving too fast, is too well organized, and too strong for the shear to do too much to it. Even if it did, latest is showing intensification that could get it to almost Cat 5, so at best people in the cone are looking at a strong Category 4 storm hitting. It moving fast is both good and bad, too, because it is going to maintain high winds pretty far inland.
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I'm not sure exactly. You can ask in that forum I posted though, lots of pro mets in there that I'm sure could answer that.
No updates coming from the recon flight. Hopefully not another technical problem. That would be really bad timing.
Edit: It's a bit late to be looking at models, but for what it's worth, latest Euro is showing Laura reaching Cat 5 before landfall.
Edit: It's a bit late to be looking at models, but for what it's worth, latest Euro is showing Laura reaching Cat 5 before landfall.
I suppose at this point a few miles increase or decrease won't will change the destruction this thing is going to cause. Its terrible that its hitting throughout the night as well
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Yup. There is gonna be catastrophic damage wherever this thing hits. Hope people are taking evacuation orders seriously
My friends family live scarily close to the 'Up to 9 feet' band on what the Weather Channel showed. Haven't been able to reach them yet. Guessing I won't know until after this thing at this point. Maybe not for a few days depending on where they evacuated to and what they have with them.
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As a midwest hurricane noob, what is more dangerous: the winds or the storm surge? I'm assuming the water because water damage is a pain in the ass and the potential for drowning, but then why use wind speed to determine the category? Anyway, hope everyone is able to evacuate and stay safe!
Storm surge by far, The wind speed being the thing has be controversial for a while now but we've seen casters and NHC pushing storm surge and flooding warnings nowadays.
Theres been talks about changing it but nothing has come of it, NHC started incorporating storm surge maps the past few years
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Storm Surge resulted in the worst natural disaster in US history.
1900 Galveston hurricane - Wikipedia
Isaac's Storm is an absolutely horrifying book to read.Storm Surge resulted in the worst natural disaster in US history.
1900 Galveston hurricane - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
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Storm surge, hands down. It's responsible for like 75-80 percent of all tropical storm and hurricane related deaths.
I have friends that are storm chasers, they are pretty much telling people you have a good chance of dying if you live south of i-10 and this guy never fear mongers.
Does the state have those people evacuated?
Does the state have those people evacuated?
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This is from last year. Relatively solid ground to the truck bobbing around like a bottle in 2 minutes.
EDIT: Two years ago.
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The lower it goes the stronger it gets...it's been consistently getting lower with each pass.
Yeah, now I just hope they're smart enough to avoid the interstate.
Edit: My mom just texted me and told me some other family that lives in Kinder, LA have decided to stay. Fan-flippin' tastic.
Nearly 8mb down between passes means its getting stronger quickly
