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mugurumakensei

Elizabeth, I’m coming to join you!
Member
Oct 25, 2017
11,376
Yeah it was never going to work. One thing I wonder though, is how is Sweden's death rate so low? More hospitals? Just a healthier population? Only young people getting infected and doing a better job of isolating the elderly/vulnerable?

They're a similar population size and have similar infection rates to several US states (say, for example, Indiana over the past month or two) but their death rate is around an entire order of magnitude lower.
More white mostly. Unfortunately, Covid-19 affects minorities the most in the US.
 

Tacitus

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,059
When Tegnell said in an interview that this fall's flue season won't be that bad because many in the risk group will already be dead from Covid I shook my head and laughed. And thanked my lucky stars that I wasn't born over there.
 

bwahhhhh

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
3,176
More white mostly. Unfortunately, Covid-19 affects minorities the most in the US.

Yeah, that was one of the reasons I chose Indiana, which is almost 90% white. (Though the average person there is obviously poorer and gets poorer healthcare than the average Swede)

I figured that Sweden was doing fine in the summer because everyone is outside or on vacation, houses/flats have windows open all summer for ventilation, and there are like 18 hours a day of sunlight for tons of Vitamin D, but that once it got cold and everyone is inside in poorly ventilated areas (for heat) and the sun is out for just a few hours a day, that it's get much worse (I still hope I'm wrong about that)
 

Kubuh

Member
Oct 27, 2017
273
Sweden
Something no one ever mentions in these articles is how lockdowns are 100% illegal in Sweden unless we're at a state of emergency. Sweden can however only activate a state of emergency while at war.
The government can't mandate stores to close down and freedom of movement is part of the swedish constitution.
I have loads of complaints about how the entire thing has been handled, especially now in the fall because literally no one appears to know how to read graphs and look at trends, so things that they actually do implement are being done way too late, but lockdowns were never even a possibility because of the laws being as they are.
 

Sanka

Banned
Feb 17, 2019
5,778
User Banned (3 Days): Antagonizing Fellow Members
I'm late, is the sweden defense force already here?
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
that's the goal, not the strategy to get there
The strategy to get there was to move education in secondary schools and universities to distance learning, changing rules so that you get paid from day 1 on sick leave (previously you wouldn't get paid the first few daya to prevent people from pretending to be sick to watch a sports game or whatever) make it so that no doctor's statement was needed to qualify for sick leave, tell people to stay at home if exhibiting symptoms, educate people about hygiene and social distancing, telling people to work from home if possible, closing down restaurants that didn't take sufficient measures to promote social distancing with seating arrangements and the like, disallowing public events with more than 50 people present. I think those were the main measures taken
 

impingu1984

Member
Oct 31, 2017
3,441
UK
"But what about Sweden" is hopefully dead as a argument now... I mean it a stupid argument anyway but now surely those saying will now sweep it under the rug and forget they ever mentioned it...
 

Spish!

Member
Oct 27, 2017
571
20% positivity rate in Stockholm...wtf. Is there an explanation for this that isn't the worst case scenario? Like perhaps they're exclusively testing only symptomatic cases?
 

Kubuh

Member
Oct 27, 2017
273
Sweden
20% positivity rate in Stockholm...wtf. Is there an explanation for this that isn't the worst case scenario? Like perhaps they're exclusively testing only symptomatic cases?
Testing is getting to the point where some people with mild or no symptoms can't get tested by now, but generally everyone who wants to have been able to get a test for free at either a drive in station or getting one delivered to their home by taxi (who picks it up again an hour or so later)
 

Tuppen

Member
Nov 28, 2017
2,057
20% positivity rate in Stockholm...wtf. Is there an explanation for this that isn't the worst case scenario? Like perhaps they're exclusively testing only symptomatic cases?
Testing is getting to the point where some people can't get tested by now, but generally everyone who wants to have been able to get a test for free at either a drive in station or getting one delivered to their home by taxi (who picks it up again an hour or so later)
With the exception of health care professionals, only symptomatic cases are advised to get tested. Pretty much everything is considered to be possible symptoms of Covid-19 though.
 

Book One

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,841
That's just a pointless argument about semantics.

uhh..what. no, that most definitely is not.

The strategy to get there was to move education in secondary schools and universities to distance learning, changing rules so that you get paid from day 1 on sick leave (previously you wouldn't get paid the first few daya to prevent people from pretending to be sick to watch a sports game or whatever) make it so that no doctor's statement was needed to qualify for sick leave, tell people to stay at home if exhibiting symptoms, educate people about hygiene and social distancing, telling people to work from home if possible, closing down restaurants that didn't take sufficient measures to promote social distancing with seating arrangements and the like, disallowing public events with more than 50 people present. I think those were the main measures taken

Interesting. Thanks. Out of curiosity, where there protests and such even about those measures?
 

Aaronrules380

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
22,574
I mean they straight up said here there hope was that initial waves would create a population of immune people that would protect the rest later on which literally makes no sense except in the context of herd immunity. At best you could argue they have no idea what the actual thresholds needed for herd immunity to do jack shit were, but I don't really see how you can argue they weren't banking on herd immunity when they literally say they were in this article
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
Interesting. Thanks. Out of curiosity, where there protests and such even about those measures?
Some people wanted harsher measures, but I don't think many people thought these measures were too harsh. Sports clubs and some people in the musical industry complained about the 50 person limit and it was increased to 500 people about a month ago for venues that are able to handle such large numbers while still enabling social distancing (large sports arenas and the like)
 

Deleted member 34169

User requested account closure
Member
Nov 23, 2017
694
https://www.krisinformation.se/en
Feel free to read up if you're interested.
Thanks.
They lost me at this:
What is your advice regarding face masks?
Listen



We do not currently recommend face masks in public settings since the scientific evidence around the effectiveness of face masks in combatting the spread of infection is unclear. However, there may be situations where face masks can be useful despite the uncertain state of knowledge about the effects.
We will therefore, in dialogue with the County Medical Offices, decide on situations where recommendations to wear a face mask could be valuable at national or regional level. Examples of such situations could be a visit to the optician or when you cannot avoid using public transport even though it is crowded.
Face masks must always be seen as complementary to other recommendations: stay at home when you have symptoms, wash your hands regularly and keep at a distance from others.

I don't get how 10 months into this there is still any doubt about the role that masks play in slowing the spread. Also it completely ignores asymptomatic spread which is astounding to me.
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
Thanks.
They lost me at this:


I don't get how 10 months into this there is still any doubt about the role that masks play in slowing the spread. Also it completely ignores asymptomatic spread which is astounding to me.
Have you read WHO's page about masks? It's not nearly as enthusiastic about a general mask usage mandate as it's made out by many to be
 

Deleted member 34169

User requested account closure
Member
Nov 23, 2017
694
Have you read WHO's page about masks? It's not nearly as enthusiastic about a general mask usage mandate as it's made out by many to be
I haven't. I'll check them out. I just know that the CDC has wavered but recently sent out guidance that it protects both the wearer and the other person. I somewhat trust the CDC because they have pushed back against Trump at times but they've been pretty sketchy through the entire thing too.
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
I haven't. I'll check them out. I just know that the CDC has wavered but recently sent out guidance that it protects both the wearer and the other person. I somewhat trust the CDC because they have pushed back against Trump at times but they've been pretty sketchy through the entire thing too.
It's not really in question whether masks can prevent spread in and of themselves. They can. The question is in what specific situations people are close enough for a long enough time to make them matter. It's arguable that it is better to surgically require masks in the locations and situations where they actually matter, than to require them 100% of them time even when they won't have much of an effect. Especially if a general mandate brings a false sense of security that lowers the amount of social distancing
 

Deleted member 34169

User requested account closure
Member
Nov 23, 2017
694
It's not really in question whether masks can prevent spread in and of themselves. They can. The question is in what specific situations people are close enough for a long enough time to make them matter. It's arguable that it is better to surgically require masks in the locations and situations where they actually matter, than to require them 100% of them time even when they won't have much of an effect. Especially if a general mandate brings a false sense of security that lowers the amount of social distancing
That's a fair point.
 

spam musubi

Member
Oct 25, 2017
9,398
It's always fascinating to see conversations around Sweden's strategy that don't also take into account that immigrant populations are significantly more likely to get sick/die because of it.

foreignpolicy.com

The Hidden Flaw in Sweden’s Anti-Lockdown Strategy

The government expects citizens to freely follow its advice—but not all ethnic groups have equal access to expertise.
 

Kubuh

Member
Oct 27, 2017
273
Sweden
It's always fascinating to see conversations around Sweden's strategy that don't also take into account that immigrant populations are significantly more likely to get sick/die because of it.

foreignpolicy.com

The Hidden Flaw in Sweden’s Anti-Lockdown Strategy

The government expects citizens to freely follow its advice—but not all ethnic groups have equal access to expertise.
I haven't seen any numbers for hospitalizations/deaths regarding this in the fall, but as for cases the vast majority are not in immigrant heavy areas right now. The hard hit areas of Stockholm in the spring have by far the lowest number of new cases over the last month (Although the increase started there as well the last couple of weeks)
The spring was obviously a huge failure here but as of now it's not happening again.
And the article is obviously old, but actual lockdowns are still illegal just as they were in the spring, as I mentioned earlier in this thread.
 

Deleted member 14459

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,874
It's not really in question whether masks can prevent spread in and of themselves. They can. The question is in what specific situations people are close enough for a long enough time to make them matter. It's arguable that it is better to surgically require masks in the locations and situations where they actually matter, than to require them 100% of them time even when they won't have much of an effect. Especially if a general mandate brings a false sense of security that lowers the amount of social distancing
well, in Sweden what has happened is that their strategy of downplaying it all and drumming Swedish exceptionalism also brought false sense of security and no social distancing, add to that no one wearing masks and...
 
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hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
well, in Sweden what has happened is that their strategy of downplaying it all and drumming Swedish exceptionalism also brought false sense of security and no social distancing, and to that no one wearing masks and...
Mobility data has shown what you said not to be true. Mobility went down a lot during spring. It did go up now in fall but has not declined rapidly enough in response to the worsening transmission rates in recent weeks, but I think people are going to start taking it more seriously now
 

Begaria

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,667
Sweden be like

155fb9fcf81eb5fa436650ff5f8ddcb0.jpg
 

Deleted member 14459

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
1,874
Mobility data has shown what you said not to be true. Mobility went down a lot during spring. It did go up now in fall but has not declined rapidly enough in response to the worsening transmission rates in recent weeks, but I think people are going to start taking it more seriously now

i was in stockholm last week, the way people behave e.g in shops, no masks, no distance - when you compare it to their neighboring countries it is very striking....
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
i was in stockholm last week, the way people behave e.g in shops, no masks, no distance - when you compare it to their neighboring countries it is very striking....
Like I said we haven't adapted quickly enough to the worsening trends in the last few weeks. But even so, I'd rather trust aggregate data than anecdotal evidence, and the the data does show that mobility decreased significantly during spring (and hopefully will over the next few weeks as well when people are starting to understand the seriousness of the situation).
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
To back up my statement about reduced mobility as a result of the recommendations, here is data for the number of public transportation trips in Stockholm compared to last year:
rorelsemonster-nov-we6djkt.png
 

Principate

Member
Oct 31, 2017
11,191
Like I said we haven't adapted quickly enough to the worsening trends in the last few weeks. But even so, I'd rather trust aggregate data than anecdotal evidence, and the the data does show that mobility decreased significantly during spring (and hopefully will over the next few weeks as well when people are starting to understand the seriousness of the situation).
That means all of jack shit. Countries are hard locking down and mask wearing was widespread even before the were forced to lockdown.

Your talking about a literal drop in the ocean in regards some decreased mobility. Your countries looking at lot more deaths and appears to repeating the same mistakes as last time except this time it's winter, the virus will spread much more easily and health services are more stretched during teh winter anyway.
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
That means all of jack shit. Countries are hard locking down and mask wearing was widespread even before the were forced to lockdown.

Your talking about a literal drop in the ocean in regards some decreased mobility. Your countries looking at lot more deaths and appears to repeating the same mistakes as last time.
A 50% drop in public transportation trips compared to last year is not a drop in the ocean
 

Principate

Member
Oct 31, 2017
11,191
A 50% drop in public transportation trips compared to last year is not a drop in the ocean
Tiniest of drops. That public transport dropped in the middle of a pandemic versus a year where there was no such pandemic should not come as shock to anyone. Do you think public transport is being used at the same rate in most other European countries? The virus doesn't only spread via public transport as can be seen by your surging cases. Your government needs to try some serious measures otherwise a great deal more lives will be unnecessarily lost.
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
Tiniest of drops. That public transport dropped in the middle of a pandemic versus a year where there was no such pandemic should not come as shock to anyone. Do you think public transport is being used at the same rate in most other European countries? The virus doesn't only spread via public transport as can be seen by your surging cases. Your government needs to try some serious measures otherwise a great deal more lives will be unnecessarily lost.
So, just to be clear, you are aware that we were able to avoid a second wave for longer than many other Western countries and that our rolling death rate per capita and day is still currently lower? This article isn't saying that Sweden is doing worse than others, rather that we are about to no longer do better than other countries.

And a 50% drop is huge. Calling that insignificant and tiny is literally an incorrect statement. I mean, it can be argued that it's maybe not ENOUGH But the increases in transmission rates these last few weeks after a period of growing usage of public transportation seems to indicate that it was indeed important to curb spread, so hopefully we can get back to the lower mobility seen during spring again
 

JasonV

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,968
Can someone explain why or what social conditions/culture/political environment permitted such a cavalier approach in Sweden?

I understand rank incompetence in UK and the US.

But why did Sweden take that road?
 

Principate

Member
Oct 31, 2017
11,191
So, just to be clear, you are aware that we were able to avoid a second wave for longer than many other Western countries and that our rolling death rate per capita and day is still currently lower? This article isn't saying that Sweden is doing worse than others, rather that we are about to no longer do better than other countries.

And a 50% drop is huge. Calling that insignificant and tiny is literally an incorrect statement. I mean, it can be argued that it's maybe not ENOUGH But the increases in transmission rates these last few weeks after a period of growing usage of public transportation seems to indicate that it was indeed important to curb spread, so hopefully we can get back to the lower mobility seen during spring again
That's not a credit to your government. That's like saying because Britain was one of the last European countries to be hit hard by the virus during the first wave and had low cases and deaths beforehand that it handled the virus well. It's a completely and utterly meaningless point.

What matters is what your country does while the coronavirus cases are still low because the time to act is now and currently Sweden is on a the path to another senselessly large loss of life unless actions are made now.

Compare your countries public transportation capacity drop to other European countries and their current trajectory. That would be a meaningful analysis.
 

kmfdmpig

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
19,448
Can someone explain why or what social conditions/culture/political environment permitted such a cavalier approach in Sweden?

I understand rank incompetence in UK and the US.

But why did Sweden take that road?
Based on posts we've seen here on Era it seems like several Swedish citizens accept what their government peddles without scrutinizing or questioning it. I think even some Swedish posters have stated something similar in previous threads.
 

hydrophilic attack

Corrupted by Vengeance
Member
Oct 25, 2017
21,568
Sweden
That's not a credit to your government. That's like saying because Britain was one of the last European countries to be hit hard by the virus during the first wave and had low cases and deaths beforehand that it handled the virus well. It's a completely and utterly meaningless point.

What matters is what your country does while the coronavirus cases are still low because the time to act is now and currently Sweden is on a the path to another senselessly large loss of life unless actions are made now.
Actions are being taken now. Recommendations have changed over the last couple of weeks, and as you can see in the graph I posted, this change in recommendations has led to a decline in mobility and hopefully that trend continues
 

Brinbe

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
59,101
Terana
I wouldn't go that far, in the earlier stages of the virus, every country was just fucking around doing their own thing in the hope something would work.
it's fucking november lmfao

they've long been told it's a dumb idea. this isn't new.

here's the guardian on sweden and herd immunity in may

www.theguardian.com

Just 7.3% of Stockholm had Covid-19 antibodies by end of April, study shows

Official findings add to concerns about Sweden’s laissez-faire strategy towards the pandemic