It's insulting and inaccurate yet people are parading it around as if there's actually three and a half million British people no different to me who believe the Holocaust never happened.
This is how statistics works. You can take a small sample size and fairly accuratley extrapolate it to a pretty large population. You are arguing against proven mathematics.
I'm just going to assume Winny is showing us how people can come to disbelieve something despite the evidence at hand.
You obviously feel insulted, but why do you think it's inaccurate?
An important aspect to this is that these people are not oblibious to the truth. They went to school, they likely saw Holocaust-themed movies or documentaries. They know what is the timeline of events.
These kind of people intentionally choose to believe in mindless conspiracy theories like the non-existence of Holocaust, chemtrails or whatever the fuck. That's the scary part: this percentage of people can see the stats and facts but are unable to process them because they contradict their horrible views.
Scary stuff.
No, it's an estimate. If the thread's title was "approximately 5% of British people may not believe the Holocaust happened and roughly 8% are possibly incapable of accurately stating how many lives were lost", it would be fine.
You wouldn't be labelling anyone or stating anything definitively, but it would be like pulling ten fruits out of a barrel, finding three of them are oranges and saying you think roughly 30% of the fruit in the barrel are oranges. You're not saying that, out of a barrel of two hundred fruits, exactly sixty of them are oranges.
Semantics are kind of important when discussing serious issues like this, otherwise you end up attributing opinions to people you have no way to definitively prove they even have. You're just assuming they do and forming an opinion on them because of your assumptions.
I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
Yeah. 95% accepts that the Holocaust happened.
Proof means nothing, and this is an issue the world over.How can you not believe the Holocaust took place? We have proof...
British people can be morons, but 5% seems like a lot. Very disappointing.
US Poll said:A substantial number of the survey's respondents were unaware of basic facts about the Holocaust. Forty-one percent did not know what Auschwitz was. Nearly one-third of respondents (31 percent) believed that less than 2 million Jews were killed during the Holocaust; the actual number is closer to 6 million. Only 37 percent of people were able to identify Poland as a country where the Holocaust occurred, even though at least 3 million Jewish citizens of Poland were murdered during WWII.
Gaps in knowledge were pronounced among "millennials," which the survey defined as people between the ages of 18 and 34. Twenty-two percent of millennials, for instance, said they had not heard of, or were unsure if they had heard of the Holocaust, compared to 11 percent of all adults. Forty-nine percentof millennials were unable to name a single concentration camp or ghetto, compared to 45 percent of all adults.
Would you accept that there's a 95% probability that between 4.04% and 5.96% of the population deny the holocaust?I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
Are you similarly bamboozled by other polls and surveys?https://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
Confidence level: 95%
Sample size: 2000
Population: 66000000
Percentage: 5%
Resulting confidence interval: 0.96
This means the true answer is 95% likely to be between 4.04% and 5.96%.
I admit I didn't remember the number for Jews murdered in the holocaust either. My guess was 10 million, which is off by 4 million.
Is it all polling methodology you "refuse to accept" or just this one?I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
They asked only two thousand people in a country of tens of millions. That's not much of a sample size, though even 1200 of them had no idea how many Jews were killed in the Holocaust is shocking.
I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
Congratulations! you are finally understanding statisticsWhat's next, a hundred people out of two thousand say they don't believe the moon exists and so we just assume nearly four hundred million people across the planet share their opinion?
1200 is an extremely large sample size.
If you think 1200 is not "good enough", you don't understand how statistics work
The poll of more than 2,000 people was carried out by Opinion Matters for the Holocaust Memorial Day Trust (HMDT).
The survey of over 2,000 people (carried out by Opinion Matters and weighted to be a representative sample of UK adults) was commissioned by the Holocaust Memorial Day Trust - the charity set up by Government to mark Holocaust Memorial Day.
Its 5% of adults, there's only about 50m adults, so only 2.5m loonies on this particular issue.I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
The sample size is actually greater than 2,000, but we'll say 2,000 as it's likely not far beyond it
If was wasn't lazy I would whip out my Prob and Stats notes/exams and do the math out for the guy in the thread rofl
Because nobody understands statistics. This is the reason why I feel journalists shouldn't even attempt to print any story based on statistics. They just create more confusion overall, often because they themselves can't read and parse the findings of the scientific papers they report on.That's actually a perfectly good sample size as long as they were selected properly. How does someone always manage to make this sort of comment?
Given the rabbit hole of British anti semitism that's prevalent on twitter, I'm surprised it's not higher.
Because nobody understands statistics. This is the reason why I feel journalists shouldn't even attempt to print any story based on statistics. They just create more confusion overall, often because they themselves can't read and parse the findings of the scientific papers they report on.
Sampling public opinion, George Gallup once said, is like sampling soup: One spoonful can reflect the taste of the whole pot, if the soup is well-stirred. In other words, it's all about finding a sample that reflects the larger population. Polling is based on the laws of probability. According to probability theory, it's not necessary to sample the opinions of all 300 million Americans; a much smaller sample can reflect the larger population—if that sample is truly representative.
Maybe if you want to know how many people in the UK don't believe the Holocaust happened, you should ask us all rather than ask a handful of people you grabbed off the street and assume any of them speak for me.
AH SEE ITS A THEORY NOT FACT! HA
Is it all polling methodology you "refuse to accept" or just this one?
Would you accept that there's a 95% probability that between 4.04% and 5.96% of the population deny the holocaust?
But they can actually back that up. That's why it's statistics. That's why it's not just asking 2000 random people, but people where you know their demographics so you can extrapolate from that. That's how that stuff works. It's science and the statistical principles behind it are no different than polls before elections, which, in contrast to popular belief, work pretty well most of the time. Or do you reject that election polls work as well?It's the wording used with the findings, specifically. It's attributing an opinion to millions of people with no actual way to back up or prove such a statement and people are taking it as fact despite how outlandish it is. How can anyone seriously assume that nearly three and a half million people in the UK don't believe the Holocaust happened with their only supporting evidence being that one hundred people in a survey expressed such an opinion?
It's the wording used with the findings, specifically. It's attributing an opinion to millions of people with no actual way to back up or prove such a statement and people are taking it as fact despite how outlandish it is. How can anyone seriously assume that nearly three and a half million people in the UK don't believe the Holocaust happened with their only supporting evidence being that one hundred people in a survey expressed such an opinion?
If this was a thread about how one hundred British people in a survey of two thousand didn't believe the Holocaust happened, there would be literally nothing to argue about because it would only be stating fact.
I cannot say with certainty how many people in the UK do not belive the Holocaust happened. There could be a hundred and one that believe it didn't or I could be the only person in the whole country that believes it did.
All this survey proves is that, out of two thousand people, one hundred of them don't believe the Holocaust happened. It's when you make the claim that, on the basis of those one hundred people, almost three and a half million British people must also refuse to believe the Holocaust happened that you lose me.
Yeah, no. Saying this makes you about as stupid as the Holocaust deniers.Maybe if you want to know how many people in the UK don't believe the Holocaust happened, you should ask us all rather than ask a handful of people you grabbed off the street and assume any of them speak for me.
Sorry but I refuse to believe that just because one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed was a Holocaust denier, we should throw three and a half million British people under the bus and assume they deny it happened too - because there's no fucking way that many British people can say it didn't happen when we were all taught about the Holocaust in school.
No, this is where you are losing touch with maths and reality.All this survey proves is that, out of two thousand people, one hundred of them don't believe the Holocaust happened. It's when you make the claim that, on the basis of those one hundred people, almost three and a half million British people must also refuse to believe the Holocaust happened that you lose me.
I'm not surprised. A quarter of the population believe the moon landings were fake.
1200 can be enough.They asked only two thousand people in a country of tens of millions. That's not much of a sample size, though even 1200 of them had no idea how many Jews were killed in the Holocaust is shocking.
I do not deny that one hundred people out of the two thousand they surveyed do not believe the Holocaust happened. I do, however, refuse to accept that because those one hundred people do not believe the Holocaust happened, that we must assume there are 3'299'900 other British people in this country that also do not believe the Holocaust happened.
This is literally the opposite of "there are dozens of us! Dozens!"
Its 5% of adults, there's only about 50m adults, so only 2.5m loonies on this particular issue.
It's still reducing human beings to a statistic on a subject as emotional as the Holocaust. Do those one hundred people that stated they don't believe the Holocaust happened truly represent the rest of us or are they outliers, contrarians and right wing propagandists?
There's literally no way of telling why those one hundred people said they don't believe the Holocaust happened, let alone state without any doubt at all that millions of other British people must share their opinion.
You could probably quite easily get two thousand people together, ask them if Hitler was right, and get way more than a hundred of them saying he was. Do we then state as fact that millions of British people support genocide?
There are some subjects that it's entirely wrong to have a survey about and just assume everyone thinks the same way. The Holocaust is one of them.
It's still reducing human beings to a statistic on a subject as emotional as the Holocaust. Do those one hundred people that stated they don't believe the Holocaust happened truly represent the rest of us or are they outliers, contrarians and right wing propagandists?
Assuming we consider an adult to be 18 years old or more, and that the 15-19 group is evenly distributed in age, that means there are: 62.3 - 14.8 + (4 * 2 / 5) = 49.1 million adults in the UK as of 2010.
There's literally no way of telling why those one hundred people said they don't believe the Holocaust happened, let alone state without any doubt at all that millions of other British people must share their opinion.
You could probably quite easily get two thousand people together, ask them if Hitler was right, and get way more than a hundred of them saying he was. Do we then state as fact that millions of British people support genocide?
There are some subjects that it's entirely wrong to have a survey about and just assume everyone thinks the same way. The Holocaust is one of them.
They literally asked randoms. If you somehow believe that at random and over a 2000 person sample they managed to get a statistically larger than average collection of nutjobs, I can't help you any further. This isn't like they popped into a Greggs in Leeds and just asked the first 10 people they met.It's still reducing human beings to a statistic on a subject as emotional as the Holocaust. Do those one hundred people that stated they don't believe the Holocaust happened truly represent the rest of us or are they outliers, contrarians and right wing propagandists?
There's literally no way of telling why those one hundred people said they don't believe the Holocaust happened, let alone state without any doubt at all that millions of other British people must share their opinion.
You could probably quite easily get two thousand people together, ask them if Hitler was right, and get way more than a hundred of them saying he was. Do we then state as fact that millions of British people support genocide?
There are some subjects that it's entirely wrong to have a survey about and just assume everyone thinks the same way. The Holocaust is one of them.
If those 2000 people are a statistically representative sample of the British population, then... yes?You could probably quite easily get two thousand people together, ask them if Hitler was right, and get way more than a hundred of them saying he was. Do we then state as fact that millions of British people support genocide?
You're reacting with extremely irrational emotion and melodrama but that doesn't mean the numbers are wrong. You want to bury your head in the sand and pretend that these millions of people don't exist, when they very likely do. Do you think combatting prejudice and ignorance begins by pretending that this type of person doesn't exist?There are some subjects that it's entirely wrong to have a survey about and just assume everyone thinks the same way. The Holocaust is one of them.
Depending on how knowledgeable you are on the numbers it's not unsurprising some people underestimate/overestimate (without malice). The overall number is higher than just the Jewish people killed and the individual breakdown contains many different numbers.
Depends on how the sample of 2,000 were picked. That's the thing everyone in here is educating you on. How samples are picked. You don't go to the KKK meeting and pick 1,000 KKK members and ask them do you support Hitler? You would pick a representative random sample of the population of the UK.
Facts and stats don't care about your subjective opinion on what we should do research on. As one of the most horrific and notable moments in our history, we want to know how well-educated people are on it.
So that's a yes. If you had a survey asking people if they supported genocide and a very small number of them did, you would extrapolate that millions of other people must also support genocide.
This isn't like asking people to look at a colour and tell you if it's green or yellow.
Congratulations, you found roughly one hundred people who are either not especially well-educated or are intentionally and consciously refusing to accept the Holocaust happened for whatever personal reasons they have.
What is your background/ education in statistics, because you're doubling down on this really hard and I'm curious if you actually have any reason to do so.So that's a yes. If you had a survey asking people if they supported genocide and a very small number of them did, you would extrapolate that millions of other people must also support genocide.
This isn't like asking people to look at a colour and tell you if it's green or yellow.
Congratulations, you found roughly one hundred people who are either not especially well-educated or are intentionally and consciously refusing to accept the Holocaust happened for whatever personal reasons they have.
These kind of people intentionally choose to believe in mindless conspiracy theories like the non-existence of Holocaust, chemtrails or whatever the fuck. That's the scary part: this percentage of people can see the stats and facts but are unable to process them because they contradict their horrible views.