Following the RCP lead, Warren now also matches Biden in The Economist's polling average, with a higher margin of error cap.
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Elizabeth Warren has taken the “lead” in The Economist’s average of 2020 Democratic primary polls. She is tied with Joe Biden at 25%
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Hard to see anything or anyone derailing her candidacy at this rate.
She's weak in the South, but Biden's campaign is already predicting losses in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. It's not as if black voters dislike Warren - give her three wins in a row and she'll surely turn some heads.
She's weak in the South, but Biden's campaign is already predicting losses in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. It's not as if black voters dislike Warren - give her three wins in a row and she'll surely turn some heads.
Riding Obama's coattail will only get him so far. I swear every sentence of his Obama this Obama that.
Warren gives me much stronger Obama vibes, right down to all the people who wish they'd run four years sooner.
Once Kamala flopped it has been been obvious she would be the nominee.
a MISTAKE but oh well, hopefully the math is on her side during Nov 2020. I am doubtful.
Sanders* 2024!
*Hologram
a MISTAKE but oh well, hopefully the math is on her side during Nov 2020. I am doubtful.
Sanders* 2024!
*Hologram
I'll be rooting for Bernie until the end of the primary, but as my #2 pick, she has my support in the general. I just do not want Biden. I would really just love to see a three way debate between Biden, Bernie, and Warren.
Andrew Gillum might be able to help her out in the South. Though a lot of those states are blood red.
I also think he would be an excellent VP. But I just don't think he wants it.
User Banned (5 days): Trolling
Cool, republican for most of her life Warren is clearly who progressives should be routing for.
OP
OP
I think its that. The voters who linked him to Bams are starting to come around that he isn't really like Obama, Obama isn't coming out for him and Obama's legacy is still going to remain. While Warren is in a good spot between Clinton and Sanders. Less ranting at the clouds like Sanders, but more fire than Clinton. Also doesn't come with nearly the same baggage as both.
It is terrible to say as well, but Sanders going to the hospital is going to work in the favor of Warren. She is going to gain more of his voters.
Shit like this should warren at least a warning from the mods. It's so fucking disingenuous.
If "she used to be republican" is the best insult we got against Liz, then we're in good shape.
It depends on how you're defining Bernie's woes, because there are a lot of them. Since getting in the race, Bernie's support hasn't changed much at all. He's between 12-15% in most reputable polls. The issue for Bernie is he's not even holding onto majority of his 2016 support, and he's literally picked up 0% from 2016 voters who didn't vote for him in the primary. His demographic problems are well known. What's not well known is that he literally only has support in the 18-29 age group. Once you get out of that? He's in the low single digits. (Most recent poll had him running 7th among voters 65+ who make up a far larger share of the electorate than the youths. Warren is currently winning about as large a share of Bernie 2016 voters as Bernie is. She's also winning the most liberal voters. Bernies two stronger bases--youth and independents aren't breaking for him at anywhere near the 2016 margin. And pretty much once you hit 29, his support evaporates.
On top of that he's a 78 year old man who just had a heart attack. Yesterday's polling showed 30% of Democratic primary voters said that it makes them less likely to vote for him. His favorables are down across the board, even in states where he should be doing better than he is. And most of this happened BEFORE the heart attack.
Warren has been gaining pretty widely by getting folks who were undecided to commit to her. She's the only candidate who has moved up in the aggregate week by week. She's doing the hard work of politicking, her favorables are way up, and people like her.
She's the one.
Sanders won't be VP. He offers nothing as a VP- he turns off centrists, and he's old which makes the risk of dying in office high.
Most likely VP will be a centrist, non-senator, swing state with executive experience. I'd predict someone like Steve Bullock, where the only real divergence is on healthcare, and that might be a case where he is bowing to the realities of being in Montana.
What do you think of the policy proposals she's been putting forward the past couple of months?
She is 70, she is not picking a 78 year old for VP.
There is no chance whatsoever she'd pick Bernie as her running mate. You pick VP's to help shore up your weaknesses.
My hope is still that Bernie drops out (because he reasonably can't win) and throws his support behind Warren. It'd give the more likely candidate a much better base and at this point infighting doesn't really help anyone.