That might've bene edited in.I appreciate the argument in favor of the impeachment and why it's important but do we really need to threadmark "Donald's totally gonna get re-elected"
Can a mod just highlight the first two paragraphs?
That might've bene edited in.I appreciate the argument in favor of the impeachment and why it's important but do we really need to threadmark "Donald's totally gonna get re-elected"
Unfortunately no. The Senate basically decides how they want to handle the whole thing. If 51 of them vote to end it an hour in, it's over.
We always knew that the Senate trial was going to be a sham.Unfortunately no. The Senate basically decides how they want to handle the whole thing. If 51 of them vote to end it an hour in, it's over.
I believe those three were ones in red districts that Dems won in 2018Was there any news of any republican breaking ranks to vote in favour of impeachment? Surprised not even one did. Also surprised that 3 Democrats did the opposite.
30 Republicans chose to not vote at all.Was there any news of any republican breaking ranks to vote in favour of impeachment? Surprised not even one did. Also surprised that 3 Democrats did the opposite.
Two red destricts and one Dem who's a DINO and is in fact switching to republican soonI believe those three were ones in red districts that Dems won in 2018
But the OP lists only 1 present vote? Or is abstaining different? What does it mean vs voting present?
Are you sure? I just checked the vote tally somewhere and the no votes were 197 and 198, and there are 197 Republicans.
I'm imagining he will focus on the word 'aquital' from the senate trialI'm still waiting for someone to explain how Trump bragging about being impeached but not removed for his re-election campaign converts anyone who wasn't already riding the Trump train.
I'm still waiting for someone to explain how Trump bragging about being impeached but not removed for his re-election campaign converts anyone who wasn't already riding the Trump train.
I only saw the results for Article I. Maybe the second one they all voted No?Are you sure? I just checked the vote tally somewhere and the no votes were 197 and 198, and there are 197 Republicans.
Yes this was known since before the Dems took the House. And it does mean something because support for impeachment is high and the Dem base wanted this to happen.That's cool and all but with no senate conviction it doesn't mean much.
I wouldn't bet anything on this answer, but it's effectively nothing and I thiiiiiiiink it has to do with how the votes are formatted in the house computer. The first was a 15 minute vote and the second a 5.
Random question, does anyone know what the difference between "aye" and "yea", and "nay" and "no" are?
I think it is just historical yes and no. Tradition used to be respected and now that I think about it, could be political signaling.
Random question, does anyone know what the difference between "aye" and "yea", and "nay" and "no" are?
I swear if half the people who called themselves liberals or progressives actively stamped these narratives out, shitting on Trump in the process, instead of describing their feelings of weakness and powerlessness towards the situation, lamenting how calling fuck face out will successfully be used as ammo against us, then honestly we wouldn't have half the narrative problems.It's hilarious how many people who claim to hate Trump spin entire narratives of propaganda in his favor.
That's cool and all but with no senate conviction it doesn't mean much.
I'm still waiting for someone to explain how Trump bragging about being impeached but not removed for his re-election campaign converts anyone who wasn't already riding the Trump train.
Because for anyone that votes casually, which is a decent segment of the population, it makes it look like all of the various attempts to paint him as a criminal failed for what must be good reason.
I'm imagining he will focus on the word 'aquital' from the senate trial
It's great that you are explaining to me how polling and percentages work. I appreciate that. I wouldn't be able to read this thread without you explaining how numbers work. I also love that you include "random chance" as if voting uses that as a metric. lmaoYou clearly do not understand polling.
At that moment in time, the results of the people that particular poll asked to respond gave those exact results. But because of random chance or an unintended selection bias, there is uncertainty, also known as the margin of error. You can collect many poll results to collectively reduce the margin of error, but it is always there.
Hillary's lead shrank in those final two weeks, of that there is no doubt. The poll you linked in no way implied those results would be true at the time of the election.
538, which uses a model that combines many polls, gave Hillary about a 76 percent chance of winning on election day.
You'll note that the number was not one hundred percent.
Again, please educate yourself on this matter.
5 points to Clinton's 12.Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading Trump 50% to 45% in Arizona, while Trump is leading both Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren in Iowa. In Michigan, the President tops Warren 46% to her 39%.
I mean even 30 something years olds here don't get it, lol. I don't expect kids to.My 10 yr old said "so he's not fired? Then why'd they do it, why in-peach him?" Because it was their job and it was the right thing to do. If other people dont want to do their job, let them deal with that.
Pleading to republicans senators to do that would be like a teacher asking kids at recess to be quiet.So hey everyone, if you *really* wanna make a difference and want him removed you should all be calling up your senators and pleading now to vote for removal, ESPECIALLY if you have a republican senator. If you don't wanna put in some extra effort and do some emergency campaigning thats fine but don't get salty if he remains in office.
So hey everyone, if you *really* wanna make a difference and want him removed you should all be calling up your senators and pleading now to vote for removal, ESPECIALLY if you have a republican senator. If you don't wanna put in some extra effort and do some emergency campaigning thats fine but don't get salty if he remains in office.
He's going to say he received full exoneration for all his alleged crimes.
No. They set that standard 200 years ago when they didnt impeach a senator to protect themselves. Congress isn't going to impeach their own.Hmmm, I wonder what can be done if the Senate refuses to give the country an impartial trial? Can McConnell be ripped out of his office if he straight up refuses to hold a fair trial? Republicans have to be scared shitless of actual witnesses during a live presidential trial. Can some sort of negligence/refusal to do this job to the best of their ability, be used as leverage against them and the GOP?
I am attempting to explain a basic principle to you that, frankly, schoolchildren master with little trouble. I could be much more condescending, but for your benefit and perhaps other curious folks, I will explain a bit more.It's great that you are explaining to me how polling and percentages work. I appreciate that. I wouldn't be able to read this thread without you explaining how numbers work. I also love that you include "random chance" as if voting uses that as a metric. lmao
Other posters say polls show Biden, a less liked candidate than Clinton, would win today against Trump.
Not sure where that poster is pulling their number from.
CNN says Biden is lower in Nov 2019 than Clinton was in Oct 2016
5 points to Clinton's 12.
Which way is it? Polls matter or they change too much and they don't? Random chance? I honestly can't believe you said "random chance." As if Republicans dont spend millions of dollars to sway stupid people and get them out to vote.
Eeehhhh, I don't know, if a sizable share of the voters who put said person in office voiced their disdain and threatened their very livelihood of being in office, that would actually do something as has happened before with other issues albeit none quite like this.Some random person calling you vs your donors. Tough choice...
Goddamn do I love thisI am attempting to explain a basic principle to you that, frankly, schoolchildren master with little trouble. I could be much more condescending, but for your benefit and perhaps other curious folks, I will explain a bit more.
Let's say there are one thousand people who are absolutely sure how they are going to vote. Because I'm omniscient, I know six hundred of them are going to vote for A, four hundred are going to vote for B. But you don't know that, and you're not sure! You want to know. So you start asking people, but people are busy and you don't have a lot of time. You only get to ask twenty, randomly, from the population.
Now, hopefully, of the twenty, twelve say they are voting for candidate A, and eight say for B. This would be exactly correct (and is technically the most likely outcome), but it is probably not going to happen. In this circumstance, if you were to randomly get 13 for A and then 7 for B...you can see how simple that would be...now we would project our population to be 65 percent for A, and 35 percent for B. And you might even get a crazier result, like 16 versus 4, just by bad luck!
Polls try to sample as many people as they can, and try to get an accurate cross section of the population (if you were to ask only people with landlines, for instance, you would get only older and thus more conservative folk). So because of this uncertainty and, yes, random chance inherent in representative sampling, there is a fairly significant margin of error within every poll.
Now, I feel a little more comfortable in telling you to close your mouth until you understand what I just said.
So hey everyone, if you *really* wanna make a difference and want him removed you should all be calling up your senators and pleading now to vote for removal, ESPECIALLY if you have a republican senator. If you don't wanna put in some extra effort and do some emergency campaigning thats fine but don't get salty if he remains in office.
It definitely works wonders on emboldening the existing base. I'm not seeing how it creates new trumpsters.
Rashida Tlaib helped deliver on what she promised when she was sworn in:
You just love to see it.
You want Democrats to cater to their voters who most recently put them in control of the House?! You're craaaazy! We should definitely focus all our energy on catering to Trump supporters and uninformed people instead.Yes this was known since before the Dems took the House. And it does mean something because support for impeachment is high and the Dem base wanted this to happen.
So.. didn't Mit Romney say... if Trump gets impeached by the House.. he knows many Republican senators willing to vote him out?
It's great that you are explaining to me how polling and percentages work. I appreciate that. I wouldn't be able to read this thread without you explaining how numbers work. I also love that you include "random chance" as if voting uses that as a metric. lmao
Other posters say polls show Biden, a less liked candidate than Clinton, would win today against Trump.
Not sure where that poster is pulling their number from.
CNN says Biden is lower in Nov 2019 than Clinton was in Oct 2016
5 points to Clinton's 12.
Which way is it? Polls matter or they change too much and they don't? Random chance? I honestly can't believe you said "random chance." As if Republicans dont spend millions of dollars to sway stupid people and get them out to vote.
So.. didn't Mit Romney say... if Trump gets impeached by the House.. he knows many Republican senators willing to vote him out?