• Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
  • We have made minor adjustments to how the search bar works on ResetEra. You can read about the changes here.

Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

Cash

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
167
so.... the Ceo of this company, who likes Pete, altered votes for him? Is that what you're saying?

like...., people can have preferences and still make an app. Would you still be saying it's a conflict of interest if the ceo loved bernie?
Her husband is a senior advisor for buttigieg. To make this clear: Her husband's livelihood depends on Pete doing well in the primaries.

edit: To clarify I'm not saying there is a conspiracy, but do you see that there is a conflict of interest?
 

Mona

Banned
Oct 30, 2017
26,151
DtIf6TT.png
what in tarnation
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Right?
That's the key takeaway from me.

Mostly curious to see how candidates leverage messaging around Biden going forward, given how there is ripe messaging material with this performance. Even if it's local to Iowa, it's a very powerful tool... if someone uses it.

I will vote for whoever makes it through, but he's just so far on my list of happily vote Pete before

Hopefully biden and pete take each other out and kneecap the others ability to raise money with bloomberg interjecting
 

RussTC3

Banned
Nov 28, 2018
1,878
No..I don't think Biden ever expected to perform well in Iowa. He will run away with the southern states. People acting Biden is done need a snap back into reality.
This. Iowa doesn't matter anymore. Much in the same way that while it would be nice and is certainly possible, my state, Ohio, is no longer as important or even a swing state anymore. Iowa is not representative of the United States.

We live in a connected world. The days of creating a winner because of two states (Iowa and New Hampshire) are long over.

Candidates have to demonstrate an ability to win everywhere.
 

digit_zero

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,372
Just for the sake of my own sanity I'm putting this out into the world.

There being a conflict of interest and corruption are completely separate from the outcome of Iowa and the quality of the app (which are also completely separate from each other).

The votes still happened and were recorded. There was that bogus "coin flip" where the guy looked at the result and just turned to coin over so Buttigieg would win, but it's extremely improbable the caucuses were being rigged for various candidates, generally speaking. And no, Buttigieg wasn't helped by this app fiasco. He took advantage of a situation in a scummy way, but given how close this appears to be I think he would've preferred to be campaigning on hard, finalized numbers right now. The winner is the winner. Do with the eventual results what you will.

The app being shit isn't a conspiracy. But political parties need to be held accountable for self-dealing and only hiring within their bubble (apparently with total disregard for anyone's actual abilities). The fate of the country shouldn't just be a fucking payday opportunity for some ex staffer to a retired politician.

That is all. I need an edible.
The association of the app with the Buttigieg campaign is entirely shit and entirely devoid of a conflict of interest on their end though.

The Buttigieg campaign paid for their services months before Iowa hired them for the app. If you want to argue that since Shadow had been hired by Buttigieg (and Biden and Gillibrand) prior to Iowa hiring them is a black mark against the IDP, then sign me up too, pretty much everything the IDP has done has been horrid. But putting any of the blame related to the app on the Buttigieg campaign is inane. There is literally nothing there.
 

Deleted member 2834

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
7,620
Some people sure liked taking credit for it though

HCizXzH.png
Hasan is an utter idiot and I doubt it was armchair socialists who have killed Kamala etc. but holy shit, do they go hard on anyone that's not Bernie. r/breadtube and r/chapotraphouse went harder on Biden and Kamala than on any right winger.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
In all fairness, I also do not want to turn into the UK Labor party. Does anybody?

But yeah no I don't think nominating Bernie would do that for a few reasons.

*looks at liberal democrats*

I don't think "enlightened centrism" is going to work here either, the UK election result owed so much to Brexit, the voters they needed were the Labour leaver voters who switched over to the Torries to "get Brexit done".

Seeing as how bad the Lib Dems did, the UK election was less about socialism and more about Brexit. Ironically, if Corbyn just stuck to his guns and didn't listen to all the remainers, he would have done much better.
 

Nida

Member
Aug 31, 2019
11,194
Everett, Washington
It's maybe at most like 10,000 people across the country

Seeing a lot of this and "I'll vote for Trump if it's not Yang" on reddit as well. Loud minority. As in, a very small minority. Don't worry!

Hope so. I don't know why people get so attached to a candidate before there are nominations. Like the guy sure. But realize he was never in the running, and maybe he will have better luck next time.
 
OP
OP
Poodlestrike

Poodlestrike

Smooth vs. Crunchy
Administrator
Oct 25, 2017
13,496
*looks at liberal democrats*

I don't think "enlightened centrism" is going to work here either, the UK election result owed so much to Brexit, the voters they needed were the Labour leaver voters who switched over to the Torries to "get Brexit done".

Seeing as how bad the Lib Dems did, the UK election was less about socialism and more about Brexit. Ironically, if Corbyn just stuck to his guns and didn't listen to all the libs, he would have done much better.
I mean, I'd take Corbyn if we didn't have to get the shitty Labour right stabbing him in the back over here.
I'm just saying, crushed in multiple consecutive elections does not sound great to me. Nor does having to tie myself to a racist act of self immolation to get votes.
 
Oct 25, 2017
11,186
Her husband is a senior advisor for buttigieg. To make this clear: Her husband's livelihood depends on Pete doing well in the primaries.

edit: To clarify I'm not saying there is a conspiracy, but do you see that there is a conflict of interest?
While I'm not sure where it falls exactly between bad look and conflict of interest, I do err on the side of the latter but am absolutely open to a persuasive argument explaining why it *isn't* a conflict of interest! But between the Tara McGowan stuff, her trying to distance herself from Shadow by lying, her husband being Buttigieg's advisor and that he's a customer... together these things would seem to amount to a conflict of interest.

Conceding that does not leave you open to there being a conspiracy here, do not worry. But at minimum it's a good amount of incestuous incompetence that people can improve on

 

Deleted member 11046

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
942
I don't see Bernie doing well in the South. It's ironic how much this depresses me after applauding the same in 2016.

Joe Biden feels like the monster from It Follows. This inevitable, slow and creeping disaster no one else can apparently see coming.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
I'm just saying, crushed in multiple consecutive elections does not sound great to me. Nor does having to tie myself to a racist act of self immolation to get votes.

So then Corbyn was right by your criteria?

I feel like Labour critics want it both ways. They want Labour to have promoted the remain position, but they also wanted to win. The Labour "Red Wall" that collapsed was the heavily white, pro-union base of the party that voted heavily for leaving the EU, they wanted Brexit done and in the 2017 election Corbyn did well (better than Milliband and Brown in previous elections who were to his right) when he was going for a soft-Brexit. Combine that with the smear campaign (which by the way has destroyed every recent Labour leader's public image except Tony Blair because he was Rupert Murdoch's pal) and you have a recipe for disaster.

If anything, blame David Cameron for introducing such a poisonous proposal into the country's politics in the first place.
 
Last edited:

skullmuffins

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,425
A seemingly good thread about the app

this makes about a million times more sense than all the conspiracy theories and "uh maybe it wasn't a conspiracy-conspiracy but the party OK'd a sloppy app because they don't like bernie and had nothing to lose by completely fucking up their caucus" galaxy brain takes floating around
 

Nida

Member
Aug 31, 2019
11,194
Everett, Washington
Yang voters are as irrelevant as Yang himself is.

It's everyone else, the never-Bernies or never-not-bernies mostly, that could be a problem.

Anyone that has gone through the last 4 years, more if you include the campaign, and isn't dying to vote for literally anyone but Trump either actually never gave a shit or never developed into an adult. It's so insanely childish.

I would imagine most are white men, as Trump has done his best to alienate every other type of person. And this is coming from a white man.
 
OP
OP
Poodlestrike

Poodlestrike

Smooth vs. Crunchy
Administrator
Oct 25, 2017
13,496
A seemingly good thread about the app

This is a good thread, and he's followed by Obama so I'm inclined to think that he's got at least some subject matter knowledge so it's probably not all bullshit. Also lines up with what I've heard a lot of people saying about a big problem with how we as a party run elections: we don't really build stuff between election seasons. Most of that discussion was about organizing and campaigning, but it applying to tech as well - and the incentive structures that creates for election-focused tech firms - makes a lot of sense.
So the Corbyn was right by your criteria?

II feel like Labour critics want it both ways. They want Labour to have promoted the remain position, but they also wanted to win. The Labour "Red Wall" that collapsed was the heavily white, pro-union base of the party that voted heavily for leaving the EU, they wanted Brexit done and in the 2017 election Corbyn did well (better than Milliband and Brown in previous elections who were to his right) when he was going for a soft-Brexit. Combine that with the smear campaign (which by the way has destroyed every Labour leader's public image except Tony Blair because he was Rupert Murdoch's pal) and you have a recipe for disaster.

If anything, blame David Cameron for introducing such a poisonous proposal into the country's politics in the first place.
This is all very true but it also all sort of contributes to my original "man I don't want to be Labor" thesis. There's a lot stacked against them, that's a good reason to not want to be them.

Like, I'm not making a value judgement, here.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
This is all very true but it also all sort of contributes to my original "man I don't want to be Labor" thesis. There's a lot stacked against them, that's a good reason to not want to be them.

Like, I'm not making a value judgement, here.

Yeah that's fair, I was more responding to the general view that Bernie would end up like Labour as promoted by Carville and others.
 
OP
OP
Poodlestrike

Poodlestrike

Smooth vs. Crunchy
Administrator
Oct 25, 2017
13,496
Any indication of when we'll get another major update on Iowa?
Nothing official. I wouldn't bet on more news before tomorrow.
Yeah that's fair, I was more responding to the general view that Bernie would end up like Labour as promoted by Carville and others.
I think that the better analogy is that we risk seeing him end up like Carter, a president out of step with his party who doesn't get much done and gets replaced by somebody much worse due to the perceived dysfunction. A lot's changed since Carter, though. Parties are much more polarized, for one.
 

Seeya

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,984
*looks at liberal democrats*

I don't think "enlightened centrism" is going to work here either, the UK election result owed so much to Brexit, the voters they needed were the Labour leaver voters who switched over to the Torries to "get Brexit done".

Seeing as how bad the Lib Dems did, the UK election was less about socialism and more about Brexit. Ironically, if Corbyn just stuck to his guns and didn't listen to all the remainers, he would have done much better.

Absolutely, that's why it's always weird to see the Sanders = Corbyn warning/prophesy.
 

Captjohnboyd

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,569
Interesting that there seems to be a difference in the support from black voters in Iowa vs. the South, where Biden is still heavily favored. Presumably because Bernie campaigned so much in IA while Biden skipped town?
Yeah. I'm very curious to see how SC plays out. I still don't think him winning is in doubt but if it's even remotely close there's going to be serious questions about his viability
 

Kusagari

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,422
Interesting that there seems to be a difference in the support from black voters in Iowa vs. the South, where Biden is still heavily favored. Presumably because Bernie campaigned so much in IA while Biden skipped town?

Even in 2016, there was a notable difference in states that weren't in the South. Bernie did significantly better with black voters in Michigan, which might have been what put him over the top there.
 

JesseEwiak

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
3,781
So then Corbyn was right by your criteria?

I feel like Labour critics want it both ways. They want Labour to have promoted the remain position, but they also wanted to win. The Labour "Red Wall" that collapsed was the heavily white, pro-union base of the party that voted heavily for leaving the EU, they wanted Brexit done and in the 2017 election Corbyn did well (better than Milliband and Brown in previous elections who were to his right) when he was going for a soft-Brexit. Combine that with the smear campaign (which by the way has destroyed every recent Labour leader's public image except Tony Blair because he was Rupert Murdoch's pal) and you have a recipe for disaster.

If anything, blame David Cameron for introducing such a poisonous proposal into the country's politics in the first place.

Labour was doomed because Brexit was the Civil Rights Act of Britain when it comes to coalition politics - it reminded white racists they were still allied with the cosmopolitan city dwellers and brown people.

Labour was always going to eventually lose that "Red Wall" - because like leftists like to say all the time, "why vote for Republican-lite when you can just vote for the Republican." Same thing - why vote for Corbyn's complicated soft Brexit plan, when you can just vote for Brexit? Sitting in the middle might've worked for Cotbyn in 2017 because the Tories in many ways were just as confused and running the worst campagn possibly in modern political history, but once a smart politician made the election about Brexit, there was nowhere for Labour to go against try to be Remain, but unfortunately Corbyn's personal feelings, geography, etc. screwed them over, along with Corbyn being a bad politician and the UK press being the UK press.


yikes at those polls numbers. Those are like trump poll numbers

Note this is within the Democratic primary electorate. Not approval numbers or general election numbers.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.