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Democratic Presidential Primary |February OT| It Can't be Worse than Iowa, Right? (Discussion Guidelines in OP)
- Thread starter Poodlestrike
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Going to go caucus for Bernie in David Johnson's hometown of Clinton. Pretty pumped for this, my first caucus. I've always been registered independent but voted Democratic. Finally felt the need to change my party affiliation.
User Banned (1 week): Ignoring the staff post with regards to hostility and metacommentary.
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Sdrawkcab dna drawrof emas eht si "!SNAWOI ,WON"
:Tcaf gnitseretni
Thankfully, we really only have another month of this -- Super Tuesday is on March 3, 2020.
At this point, anyone's fine with me, although it's looking like my choices have been successively eliminated (Beto, then Pete, then Warren). I admit it would be great if Biden got Kobbered.
At this point, anyone's fine with me, although it's looking like my choices have been successively eliminated (Beto, then Pete, then Warren). I admit it would be great if Biden got Kobbered.
TFW when you're about to commit voter fraud for some sweet neet bucks
Even Super Tuesday may not end it. If Biden doesn't collapse and still holds the loyalty of the South, but Bernie gets California and a few other states, it will be a delegate battle.
Or Warren might do great tonight and the whole narrative shifts.
Geez.. Policy debates aside I feel really bad for Joe Biden. He so did not have to put himself through this.
As someone whose biggest hope this primary season was anyone but Biden/Bernie emerge as the front runner, I'm expecting tonight to be the final nail in the coffin for my hopes. I mean realistically they are already dead unless Warren wins today somehow.
Isn't this the poll that was randomly omitting candidates from the questionnaire?
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Looking good for my girl Liz in that latest Iowa poll! She and Bernie split the delegates coming out of Iowa, I think there's a real shot one of 'em ends up with the plurality going into the convention.
>commit voter fraud for yang
>go to jail for like 5 years
>come out with $60000 all for free
wtf im yang gang now
Here's my takes on those numbers:
1. I'm a big Bernie fan so "nice" to his numbers there.
2. Bidens number is the biggest shocker. What if he's actually much more unpopular than the media has lead us to believe? What if he's not the solid fall back we think he is? I'm voting blue no matter who in the end but, what if our strongest is that bad? Hoping tonights real results prove us wrong on that.
I want Bernie to win, but I sure as hell don't want to see Biden to look that weak. If that's what it is though, let's push our progressives as hard as possible to the end.
It's just iowa
unless the winner is by 10 points, I don't think today matters much.
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Worth noting, the winner in Iowa only wins about 50% of the time. A little less, actually. The primary season is definitely not over tonight, excepting for some candidates under some circumstances. If Pete gets shut out, for instance, he probably just drops. He built his whole campaign around Iowa and to a lesser extent NH at this point, no delegates here means he's pretty much toast.
Okay, so what happened is real dumb. One of the callers working on the DMR poll had poor vision, so they increased the font size. As a result, the name of some of the candidates were pushed off a few of the questions and didn't get read off. An eagle-eyed (eared?) Pete supporter noticed the omission and called up the campaign, they raised a stink about it, and the poll got put on hold. In theory, the candidate name order is randomized, so the effect should have hit everybody equally overall, but without any definitive proof of that they decided to just cancel the whole thing.
Honestly, I don't hate the guy nearly as much as a lot of people on Era do, but this is how I feel too. I feel like he never completely recovered from Beau's death and has overall seemed pretty apathetic this entire race. Feel like he was pushed into this by the DNC but never really had his heart in it.
probably, the amount of damage control he had to do afterwards was much more than i expected
We're talking about Minnesota though, which has a pretty solid blue firewall even if they've come close to leaning Red several times. She might be able to successfully wield some midwestern charm, but she'll get destroyed basically everywhere else. She's too uncharismatic and right leaning to win over the coastal areas and she doesn't have the charm or name recognition in the South to put up any kind of an offensive against areas that already lean to Trump and non-establishment figures.
Her "blizzard joke" alone is proof that she couldn't handle Trump. It's a wooden attempt at cozy midwestern humor that shows how rehearsed she is to a ridiculous degree and its one of the weakest ways I've ever seen any candidates try to poke at Trump. And that alone would be devastatingly bad to put against Trump who will literally attempt to maul every single candidate he's up against.
Shhh I don't want to hear logic right now. Just let me enjoy my short period with Biden getting dunked on and the media's reaction to it.
every cycle you get to see the same groups flip on caucuses being trash or not depending on if their candidate does well. as much as my inner political junkie loves watching it all, i'd be happier to see them gone... of course theres value in doing well tonight but its the first word in a story to come,
Well, it would skew towards candidates with more name recognition. The caller might forget to read a Biden or a Bernie, but the recipient will be more likely to still say Biden or Bernie, over a Pete or a Steyer.
It was kind of worse him running around talking about it as well because it's very "my not involved in child trafficking t shirt is getting a lot of questions"
Eh, in the case of Warren, I'd agree she probably wouldn't be entirely dead. But Pete/Klob are essentially running Iowa bump or bust strategies.
"Have I ever told you the story about Corn Pop?"
"Yes like a million tim..."
"This was the diving board area, and I was one of the guards. Corn Pop was a bad dude, and he ran a bunch of bad boys"
"Ugghhhh"
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