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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
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Oct 27, 2017
16,550
If the final two were Bernie and Warren, I'd be very happy.
I'm telling you, to know that if my first choice didn't win my second was right there would be amazing.
Warren benefits a lot from second choice voters so reallocation could put her ahead in a bunch of precincts even if Bernie is polling better initially. I don't know, Iowa is kind of a crapshoot among the top 4.
Yea, hopefully the second round will see more people go to Warren than Biden.
 
Mar 3, 2019
1,831
Honestly it annoys me that Iowa wields so much power in primaries. It just leads to candidates exclusively focus on it over the other 49 states
 

Blue Skies

Banned
Mar 27, 2019
9,224
The losers cabinet:
Kerry/Clinton 2020
Al Gore for Secretary of State
Bernie Sanders for Secretary of Labor
Beto O Rourke for Housing
 

Snowy

Banned
Nov 11, 2017
1,399
This is probably bullshit for many reasons, not least of which Kerry actually endorsed Biden.

The party is probably trying to figure out what to do if Sanders routs Biden earlier than expected, and Biden's funding dries up.

What they need to realize is Bloomberg is their guy, if that happens, and embrace it.
 

Tukarrs

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,812


Fucking false.

He was just expressing frustrations. No way he'll quit his cushy job for going through that process again.

Edit: Kerry deleted it and replaced it with a milder version.
 
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Deleted member 46493

User requested account closure
Banned
Aug 7, 2018
5,231
Hey, Kerry won three Purple Hearts. Who remembers that Jib Jab video?

This country really needs to split the Democratic Party into a Neoliberal and a Dem Socialist one.
 

Deleted member 31817

Nov 7, 2017
30,876
Hey, Kerry won three Purple Hearts. Who remembers that Jib Jab video?

This country really needs to split the Democratic Party into a Neoliberal and a Dem Socialist one.
Without changing the electoral systems that would lead to Republican dominance at every level for the far future so no ty
 

Ogodei

One Winged Slayer
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
10,256
Coruscant
Hey, Kerry won three Purple Hearts. Who remembers that Jib Jab video?

This country really needs to split the Democratic Party into a Neoliberal and a Dem Socialist one.

And lose to the Republicans forever.

We'd benefit from a proportional representation system, yes, but it ain't happening.
 
Oct 27, 2017
12,974
User Banned (1 week): metacommentary, ignoring the modpost
Yeah. Must be nice to not be able to have anything happen to you by literally giving Trump four more years. Oh, all those people who just disappeared? Not my problem!

Uurgh.
The posters in this very thread equating any of the Democrats and their hypothetical Presidencies being no different than another 4 years of Trump and claiming that only Bernie would be a worthwhile alternative just furthers this point.

The privileged out-of-touch echo-chambers these people live in is truly something else.
 

Tfritz

Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,254
god imagine working a political beat the day before the iowa caucus and deciding to make up a story about john kerry potentially running
 

Slader166

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,319
Phoenix, AZ
My predictions for tomorrow (in terms of total delegates):
1. Pete
2. Bernie
3. Biden
4. Warren or Klob

I think Bernie will win more votes in total though.
 

daschysta

Member
Mar 24, 2019
884
If that's the will of the people the so be it. It makes no sense that Iowa voters are about 5x important as every other state.
I don't really think that's the will of the people, who are these people calling for that besides yourself?.l You would still have candidates focusing on certain states and ignoring others in your case. I mean if you think that either President Bloomberg or someone chosen by big donors winning by default is preferable than more power to you, but it sounds awful. We would have no Barack Obama, We would have no Bill Clinton. A much more sensible proposal would be simply having a more diverse state first or second as well. I mean logically California fits the bill, it is the largest, most diverse state and has the most electoral votes, but somehow I doubt the DNC wants californias preferred pick to sweep early.

Besides winning Iowa and New Hampshire don't guarantee the nom, it isn't like you can only win those and then tank on Super Tuesday whoever wins still has to win over a plurality of the whole party in all of it's diversity.
 
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Pop-O-Matic

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
12,861
eml1n8r8uj82.jpg


In a bid to outflank Sanders on the left, Biden has embraced the ethos of the classic Maoist song "Sailing the Seas Depends on the Helmsman".
But I don't WANT to right the ship! I want to LEFT it!!!
 

B-Dubs

That's some catch, that catch-22
General Manager
Oct 25, 2017
32,721
I don't really think that's the will of the people, who are these people calling for that besides yourself?.l You would still have candidates focusing on certain states and ignoring others in your case. I mean if you think that either President Bloomberg or someone chosen by big donors winning by default is preferable than more power to you, but it sounds awful. We would have no Barack Obama, We would have no Bill Clinton. A much more sensible proposal would be simply having a more diverse state first or second as well. I mean logically California fits the bill, it is the largest, most diverse state and has the most electoral votes, but somehow I doubt the DNC wants californias preferred pick to sweep early.

Besides winning Iowa and New Hampshire don't guarantee the nom, it isn't like you can only win those and then tank on Super Tuesday whoever wins still has to win over a plurality of the whole party in all of it's diversity.
No, but having two of the whitest states in the nation set the narrative early on is still bad.
 

Deleted member 4614

Oct 25, 2017
6,345
If Biden's campaigners think the campaign was poisoned from the start then why did they join????
 

medinaria

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,534
No, but having two of the whitest states in the nation set the narrative early on is still bad.

interestingly enough, npr ran some numbers on this back in 2016

if we're going on "most representative of america" (given certain criteria) and not "most representative of the democratic party", the state that should be first is... surprisingly, illinois

https://www.npr.org/2016/01/29/4642...f-iowa-n-h-are-too-white-to-go-first-then-who

(that being said, there are other factors that should be weighed. for example, IA/NH/NV/SC aren't often the homes of presidential candidates, so there's less potential for a home-state bias that might dramatically skew early polls. by contrast, IL clearly would have a problem there. I don't think that really outweighs it being more representative, but I do think there are a lot of potential issues that would need to be brought up were they to change orderings.)
 

B-Dubs

That's some catch, that catch-22
General Manager
Oct 25, 2017
32,721

WestEgg

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,047
interestingly enough, npr ran some numbers on this back in 2016

if we're going on "most representative of america" (given certain criteria) and not "most representative of the democratic party", the state that should be first is... surprisingly, illinois

https://www.npr.org/2016/01/29/4642...f-iowa-n-h-are-too-white-to-go-first-then-who
Makes sense to me, large urban area, suburbs, and rural farmland. I know Peoria, Illinois and Muncie, Indiana have a lot of market research conducted there because they're considered to be so average they exemplify small town America.
 

medinaria

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,534
Makes sense to me, large urban area, suburbs, and rural farmland. I know Peoria, Illinois and Muncie, Indiana have a lot of market research conducted there because they're considered to be so average they exemplify small town America.

yeah, I think I was surprised only because it's such a reliably democratic-voting state - I was expecting something a bit more along the lines of OH/PA

(columbus also has a ton of market research done in it, unsurprisingly)
 

daschysta

Member
Mar 24, 2019
884
No, but having two of the whitest states in the nation set the narrative early on is still bad.
I don't disagree. I would have day 1 be maybe Iowa, New Mexico, North Carolina and Colorado. Covering tradition (Iowa), African Americans (N. Carolina) chosen over S carolina because it is more competitive for Dems, Highly educated folks (Colorado) and the Latino population (New Mexico). I tried to choose smaller (relatively) states to make it feasible for smaller campaigns to have a shot.
 
Aug 12, 2019
5,159
The posters in this very thread equating any of the Democrats and their hypothetical Presidencies being no different than another 4 years of Trump and claiming that only Bernie would be a worthwhile alternative just furthers this point.

The privileged out-of-touch echo-chambers these people live in is truly something else.

I mean, I've said this before and I'll say it again, voting someone like Biden in is still almost certainly going to lose the greater war for America's soul. He's not going to do anything to fundamentally change the system other than being to the left of Trump on some issues (which is still often times considerably right leaning considering what Trump is). We're out of time for the slow progress overall. Climate Change is not going to wait. The sick, poor, and/or disenfranchised can no longer afford to wait for systemic change on a much wider scale. America as a whole cannot wait for a sharp opposite reaction to the authoritarian and destructive tendencies of Trump. Return to normalcy is a farcical idea built to play on people's nostalgia for when they didn't have to worry about the world or the systemic problems of capitalism and our many institutions across the board, but it is no longer a reality we can afford.

A milquetoast Democrat that refuses to implement change will not get us anywhere and has a very real chance of just turning future elections back over to Republicans when they fail to address the needs of so many people. I know it's sometimes nice to think of this election cycle as "America's opportunity to come to its sense and appeal to our inner morality as people," but simply put a lot of our electorate doesn't actually care about that. They care if they're having their needs met and having a life to live. If the Democratic party fails to address core issues with our Democracy and our American way of life as it stands today, many of those voters are not exactly going to be willing to embrace the Democratic party moving forward and many will likely gravitate to the next extremist populist of the Republican party that promises them a better life than the one they have.

Sure, any Democratic President will not be as bad as Trump technically speaking. There will be less upfront racism, there will probably be fewer international scandals, and some minor amounts of progress might be made in some areas. But the systemic issues are almost certainly not going to be confronted by the vast majority of the candidates left at this point. If we arrive at a similar end point of 4 more years of Trump, but just with a different suit and tie, or arrive at a conclusion that sets things up for an even worse extremist populist candidate, then we still haven't really made progress on the whole.

Bernie and to some extent Warren (though she often fails to pull in the essential working class portion of the electorate that needs to be at the table for this to work) are the only two on the debate stage who are in any position to actually tackle the core systemic issues. We need that now more than ever and another 4 or even 8 years of stalling within the status quo is not going to help matters at all.

So, once again, any Democratic candidate will be better than 4 years of Trump. That's a set in stone reality, but a President that fails to address the systemic issues of society is also going to be doing damage at this point. I think that's what people refer to in this discussion.
 
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