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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
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Prodigal Son

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,791
I think that the lengths they'd go to insure Sanders doesn't get the nomination are not nearly what you'd expect. Or nearly nonexistent, really. Which candidates as a group have the most delegates will determine who wins in a contested convention, and no matter who gets out of it, the damage done will probably get Trump re-elected no matter the candidate so this entire argument is pointless.
im glad we can now agree that at least they would want to stop sanders.
 

Maledict

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,084
oh my god yall follow what im saying. Tom Perez would prefer someone who they think would win

If sanders got the nomination and lost, there'd be a shakeup
If sanders got the nomination and won, there'd be a shakeup

If Biden or Pete got the nomination and lost, there'd be a shakeup
If Biden or Pete got the nomination and won, there probably wont be a change

you think they're indifferent to sanders?

If Biden or Pete got the nomination and won there would be a shakeup. The president controls the party and the DNC, they put their person in charge.

4 years is about the limit on these jobs. No-one becomes chair of the DNC as a long term job prospect.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
I think it's foolish to think that the capitalist class would easily surrender the mechanisms by which they became wealthy and powerful. Capitalism is a crucial component to fascism, as well. I think it is also foolish to ignore the history of who aligned with fascists when push came to shove, and which type of politicians fascists targeted.
 

Aaron

I’m seeing double here!
Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,077
Minneapolis
...which is probably why Perez would prefer a democratic nominee who they think would win and not call for a shakeup
...and the last time a DNC chair has stayed on for longer than four years was Bob Strauss who served from 1972 to 1977

Perez is probably out no matter who the nominee/eventual president is, it's not really a permanent job.

wait no I was wrong DWS was there for five years, sorry I am wrong and stupid
 

Prodigal Son

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,791
Any person involved in politics will have a preference. They will vote in their primaries to stop the other candidates. Shocking.
Right so a second ago when you said the measures they'd take to stop sanders are 'nearly non-existent', you meant that the only thing they'd ever do is just vote for their preferred candidate? okay. I don't know who has this much faith in our awful bankrupt institutions to be this confident but ight
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Right so a second ago when you said the measures they'd take to stop sanders are 'nearly non-existent', you meant that the only thing they'd ever do is just vote for their preferred candidate? okay. I don't know who has this much faith in our awful bankrupt institutions to be this confident but ight
I don't have any faith in institutions whatsoever, but more my lack of faith has to do with belief in incompetence of the institutions.

I think it's foolish to think that the capitalist class would easily surrender the mechanisms by which they became wealthy and powerful. Capitalism is a crucial component to fascism, as well. I think it is also foolish to ignore the history of who aligned with fascists when push came to shove, and which type of politicians fascists targeted.
See, this would have to come with the belief that Congress, even a dem congress, will be beholden to Sanders wave of a wand when... they're not. At minimum Manchin's West Virginia rep would increase butting heads with Sanders. There are a lot of other Senators that would butt heads as well. There are only 20 Senators that support M4A single payer, and even if that doubles under Sanders you still won't have the votes. Remember, the dem Congress ran away from Obama won they were seeking re-election.

On the legislative side, a Sanders presidency will look like any other of these candidates presidencies. What worries me about that is how his base would react to that. Would they still be willing to turn out.
 

alexiswrite

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,418


It feel like people should investigate claims like this before just posting them like this, because people will just take this at face value and not question them. It feels like there's a "Bernie's gonna get fucked by the establishment" doom cycle of misleading information which is just posted without any scrutiny.

For example, if I saw something like this I'd ask, who's actually on that ballot? I'd Google what non partisan ballot actually means? I'd try and verify things just a little. Can we please do that?

In this case it just seems like if you updated your party affiliation fairly recently then you might be sent a ballot without any of the democratic primary candidates. Therefore, this isn't a conspiracy made to fuck bernie.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
I don't have any faith in institutions whatsoever, but more my lack of faith has to do with belief in incompetence of the institutions.


See, this would have to come with the belief that Congress, even a dem congress, will be beholden to Sanders wave of a wand when... they're not. At minimum Manchin's West Virginia rep would increase butting heads with Sanders. There are a lot of other Senators that would butt heads as well. There are only 20 Senators that support M4A, and even if that doubles under Sanders you still won't have the votes. Remember, the dem Congress ran away from Obama won they were seeking re-election.

On the legislative side, a Sanders presidency will look like any other of these candidates presidencies.

Did you mean to respond to someone else? I didn't mention M4A or anything that you're talking about.
 

Finale Fireworker

Love each other or die trying.
Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,710
United States
It feel like people should investigate claims like this before just posting them like this, because people will just take this at face value and not question them. It feels like there's a "Bernie's gonna get fucked by the establishment" doom cycle of misleading information which is just posted without any scrutiny.

For example, if I saw something like this I'd ask, who's actually on that ballot? I'd Google what non partisan ballot actually means? I'd try and verify things just a little. Can we please do that?
I am doing this now, reading about this type of ballot here: https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-01-02/no-preference-party-presidential-primary-california

So it seems like people without a party declaration get ballots that exclude presidential candidates:
If you registered as "no party preference" — previously known as "decline to state" — your ballot will not include any presidential candidates unless you take an extra step.

And if you want to vote in the primary, you have to specifically request a party-affiliated ballot:
If you are a nonpartisan voter, you may request a ballot from the Democratic, Libertarian or American Independent parties. Only those three parties allow nonpartisan voters to "cross over" into their primary elections. You cannot ask for a crossover ballot to vote in the Republican presidential primary, because that party's leaders closed their primary to nonpartisan voters.

It sounds like California has a lot of non-affiliated voters so people who don't know any better might be getting these ballots and not understanding why:
Nonpartisan voters in the state are hugely important, comprising nearly 30% of the electorate. They are the state's second-biggest voting group after Democrats. They are also the fastest-growing, youngest and most diverse segment of the state electorate.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
Hey everybody's favorite awful Kamala Harris plan is back in pog form in Pete form

EQanpkvXkAUmzYa
 

Christo750

Member
May 10, 2018
4,263
Man, the moderate democrats/four or five remaining Never Trump republicans fawning over that Bloomberg ad, still don't understand that the whole "beneath the dignity of the office of the president" shtick is one nobody fucking cares about anymore. As much as they're sick of Trump, they do not trust establishment people and refuse to hand the keys back over to them. It's why Biden would lose, why Mayor Pete will lose, Warren will lose, and especially Klobuchar will lose. It's frustrating to see.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,750
Norman, OK
Not shocked about this. It will be sanders turn to deal with the criticism soon from his opponents.

He's been dealing with it for 4+ years, though. Probably a third of the cumulative debate time from last year to this point has been spent with the candidates squabbling about M4A and whether or not Bernie, and to a lesser extent Warren, could ever hope to pass their plans into law. He just stays on message through it all.

The line of attack doesn't bother me- but it saddens me to see Klob and others so willing to lob the term socialist at Bernie. His platform is not socialist. The only thing he wants to do that even leans socialist is to expand an existing social medicine program so that it includes everyone. That's it.

Makes me wonder if the moderate candidates don't actually know what socialism is, or if they're just happy to help do the GOP's job for them. Will be ironic if a moderate ends up atop the ticket once the GOP starts labeling them as a socialist and the joker posters start circulating online.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
Man, the moderate democrats/four or five remaining Never Trump republicans fawning over that Bloomberg ad, still don't understand that the whole "beneath the dignity of the office of the president" shtick is one nobody fucking cares about anymore. As much as they're sick of Trump, they do not trust establishment people and refuse to hand the keys back over to them. It's why Biden would lose, why Mayor Pete will lose, Warren will lose, and especially Klobuchar will lose. It's frustrating to see.

Some people just want the decorum of the Obama years back, when you could throw kids in cages, but do so politely.
 

alexiswrite

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,418
I am doing this now, reading about this type of ballot here: https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-01-02/no-preference-party-presidential-primary-california

So it seems like people without a party declaration get ballots that exclude presidential candidates:


And if you want to vote in the primary, you have to specifically request a party-affiliated ballot:


It sounds like California has a lot of non-affiliated voters so people who don't know any better might be getting these ballots and not understanding why:

Dope! I really appreciate the information. I feel like we should do more of this.
 

Mekanos

▲ Legend ▲
Member
Oct 17, 2018
44,118
Oct 26, 2017
20,440
User banned (1 week): Dismissing concerns surrounding immigration, whataboutism.
Some people just want the decorum of the Obama years back, when you could throw kids in cages, but do so politely.

The immigration policies of Obama in his first six years were bad, but Obama was extremely liberal on immigration compared to... the majority of 20th and 21st century leaders?

Trump has reduced the refugee cap from 110,000 under Obama to 18,000 now as well as banning immigration from Nigeria, Iran, and many other countries. Trump has massively increased drone strike civilian causalities (also, straight-up bizarre that this gets no coverage compared to bombing one airport for Assad after he gassed a bunch of kids, I don't get it). Obama's willingness to tolerate Sisi was easily his biggest failing of his presidency (Sisi should be dead and I'll strongly back any Dem candidate who agrees) but Trump loves dictators so much that a dictator was emboldened enough to kidnap a WaPo journalist, murder him, and cut him into pieces.

So IDK!

My """favorite""" thing about immigration policy is that extremely online people follow immigration so little that AMLO keeping South Americans in camps in Mexico (after Trump asked) gets zero attention even though AMLO bans journalists from observing these camps and they are likely of even more dire conditions than the ones that were common in the US. (PS, die of heart disease and fuck off, you punk, AMLO)
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
He's been dealing with it for 4+ years, though. Probably a third of the cumulative debate time from last year to this point has been spent with the candidates squabbling about M4A and whether or not Bernie, and to a lesser extent Warren, could ever hope to pass their plans into law. He just stays on message through it all.
Lesser extent Warren? Warren was getting grilled on M4A far more than Bernie ever was.
 

Ziltoidia 9

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,141
If 80% of the time Biden was like he was during the Town Hall, he would be the front runner for real right now. That was the Diamond Joe we love.
 

digit_zero

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,360
Sorry I don't believe this FOR A SECOND.



Just too many incidents that favoured Pete.

Most of this is nuanced, but the idea that Pete's team funded the app is not remotely based in fact, it's misinformation/conspiratorial nonsense that popped up in the night of the election as people were trying to figure out what the app was/what went wrong.

As for the rest of it - it ignores the fact that Pete's internal numbers had to have been showing them a lead just as Bernie's were for him to be calling victory + Bernie's comfortable victory talk at the time deliberately excluded SDEs. 0 transparency and the rest of the bullshit was IDP really effing up with no excuse though.
 

Deleted member 16657

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
10,198
If 80% of the time Biden was like he was during the Town Hall, he would be the front runner for real right now. That was the Diamond Joe we love.

Its really difficult to watch Biden in the debates. He tries to make points but it ends up coming off as arrogant and sometimes desperate.

Honestly the most impressive in the debates was Klobuchar who went after others very fearlessly and came off quite genuine. I think she can actually do some damage to Bernie where Warren/Pete/Biden aren't willing to or failed to.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,750
Norman, OK
Lesser extent Warren? Warren was getting grilled on M4A far more than Bernie ever was.

I can only remember that being the case at one debate last fall when she was flirting with the lead. Otherwise- the whole "demanding a revolution", "how much will it all cost?", "you could never hope to pass any of this" lines of attack are almost exclusively aimed at Bernie. And they come up at every debate.
 
Oct 26, 2017
20,440
Bernie's three main issues to be attacked on in the general are.

1. Bernie has provided no details whatsoever on how large the tax increases for M4A and Green New Deal would have to be, if he's the nominee, he will get pressure to do this.
2. Bernie wants to ban fracking which employs a huge amount of people in Pennsylvania
3. Bernie will probably only live for like 3-10 more years because he's a 78 year old coming off a heart attack.

#3 may be of limited impact (unless he has another heart attack during the campaign) because Trump is also dying and in terrible health, but #1 is going to be a major thing. Should probably get left wing media to push on this now so that it doesn't only become a news story in September.
 

mescalineeyes

Banned
May 12, 2018
4,444
Vienna
Bernie's three main issues to be attacked on in the general are.

1. Bernie has provided no details whatsoever on how large the tax increases for M4A and Green New Deal would have to be, if he's the nominee, he will

#3 may be of limited impact (unless he has another heart attack during the campaign) because Trump is also dying and in terrible health, but #1 is going to be a major thing. Should probably get left wing media to push on this now so that it doesn't only become a news story in September.

why do you keep falling for this talking point

no one is asking repubs how they fund their tax breaks and their wars and that has precisely been the answer from the Bernie team even as of last night.
 

gutter_trash

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
17,124
Montreal
Bernie's three main issues to be attacked on in the general are.

1. Bernie has provided no details whatsoever on how large the tax increases for M4A and Green New Deal would have to be, if he's the nominee, he will get pressure to do this.
2. Bernie wants to ban fracking which employs a huge amount of people in Pennsylvania
3. Bernie will probably only live for like 3-10 more years because he's a 78 year old coming off a heart attack.

#3 may be of limited impact (unless he has another heart attack during the campaign) because Trump is also dying and in terrible health, but #1 is going to be a major thing. Should probably get left wing media to push on this now so that it doesn't only become a news story in September.
cut the military budget,
easy
 

Deleted member 16657

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
10,198
I don't think this is talked about enough. The "Bernie Bro" narrative is just as disruptive as any other disinformation campaign out there and doesn't accurately reflect just how diverse Bernie's supporters really are, and is instead used as a scapegoat for those who just don't support the policies that Sanders stands for. However, it may be easier to deflect this way than admit you are against policies that would genuinely help the majority of Americans.



I went to this event over the weekend and was incredibly impressed and moved by the speakers. The majority of the speakers were either women or non-white and are politically-involved locally, including Zulfat Suara, who is now on the city council of Nashville. She is the first Muslim woman elected in the State of Tennessee and the first Nigerian woman elected to any office in the United States. Please, if you have time, I encourage you to at least listen to what she has to say (timestamp for the video is around 1:25:00). To those who maintain that the majority of Sanders supporters are angry extremely-online white males, the speakers in this video are a prime example of the opposite of that, and just how important the policies of the Sanders campaign really are to every American at a local level. I also recommend listening to Kristen Grimm (37 minutes in) about her struggles with healthcare for her son. On a moral level, I cannot understand listening to her story and not wanting to do everything in your power to help.

I understand that this may seem anecdotal to some, but there are millions of people every day just like the people I listened to this weekend, all struggling just to live. Incrementalism is for those who can wait. The thing is, though, the majority of working Americans cannot do that anymore. Not while others are dying. I lost my father to cancer a few years back. He died 10 days before his 60th birthday, all because he could not continue paying $500 a month in premiums. As soon as the payments stopped, his health declined more rapidly than it had been for the previous year, especially without proper treatment. The thing is, though, my father knew he was sick prior to the cancer growing - he just couldn't afford preventative care. "Too expensive" followed up by lots of "I'll be fine" and "I'll tough it out", when in reality, the only thing keeping him from said preventative care was the amount of money in his bank account. He worked 5-6 days a week since he was 15 years old, and by the time he passed, he had overdraft fees to pay. His life savings was drained. But of course, the head of his insurance company made over $20 million that year, so the system is working as intended. I am fucking tired of that system, and many others are too. To dismiss these concerns with a fundamentally broken system as "pie in the sky" or "unrealistic" is simply bullshit, and silences the voices of the working class (AKA, the majority of Americans). At least they are trying.


Thank you for posting this. The difference between online and offline Bernie supporters is so strange but its a running theme.

All we can do is try. Maybe we try and it fails catastrophically but at least we tried and stopped putting up with exploitation for once. I really hope for example that we can fix insulin prices before anyone else dies because of it.
 

Deleted member 7572

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Oct 25, 2017
2,041
See, this would have to come with the belief that Congress, even a dem congress, will be beholden to Sanders wave of a wand when... they're not. At minimum Manchin's West Virginia rep would increase butting heads with Sanders. There are a lot of other Senators that would butt heads as well. There are only 20 Senators that support M4A single payer, and even if that doubles under Sanders you still won't have the votes. Remember, the dem Congress ran away from Obama won they were seeking re-election.

On the legislative side, a Sanders presidency will look like any other of these candidates presidencies. What worries me about that is how his base would react to that. Would they still be willing to turn out.
Terrible example with Manchin.

He's no moderate. He's a human weather vain and 30% of my (his) state is already on Medicaid. (Another 8ish on Medicare)

He'll do whatever looks good. The only thing I could see pushing him the other way is his daughter.
 

PMS341

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt-account
Banned
Oct 29, 2017
6,634
Most of this is nuanced, but the idea that Pete's team funded the app is not remotely based in fact, it's misinformation/conspiratorial nonsense that popped up in the night of the election as people were trying to figure out what the app was/what went wrong.

I think the main issue people had was Buttigieg's campaign paying upwards of 40k to the app creators themselves as opposed to them actually funding it, though I did see that exact quote floating around during Iowa, which was never proven obviously. The optics aren't exactly the best, of course:

uNfHYUA.jpg


The optics also looked pretty bad when pictures came out of the chair of the Iowa Democrats hanging out with the founder of Shadow, Inc. a few nights prior to the caucus, but there isn't exactly hard evidence stating they were working together or anything. It just didn't look great given the errors that occurred, so I imagine it fueled the fire.
 
Oct 26, 2017
20,440
Relevant to recent discussions in this thread:


It's so relevant that literally not even Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, or Michelle Obama have endorsed anyone for president.

If Obama didn't want Bernie to be president, it would be incredibly easy for him to do so by just saying "hey, please vote for Klobuchar"

The idea that the DNC is rigging this for Pete somehow when every elected Dem hates him for not having as much experience as them...
 

Dahbomb

Community Resettler
Member
Oct 25, 2017
13,614
Mr Tump how will you pay for your wall?

Mexico will pay for it!

*In reality I will steal money from Pentagon and congress, then throw a hussy fit and shut down the government then try to cut Medicaid to pay for it.


The double standard for "how you gonna pay for it" is insane. No one in the GE should care about how something is going to get paid when Trump is on the other side. Don't fall for the pitfalls.
 

PMS341

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt-account
Banned
Oct 29, 2017
6,634
Thank you for posting this. The difference between online and offline Bernie supporters is so strange but its a running theme.

All we can do is try. Maybe we try and it fails catastrophically but at least we tried and stopped putting up with exploitation for once. I really hope for example that we can fix insulin prices before anyone else dies because of it.

"All we can do is try" rings true. Healthcare in the US is an absolute joke and apologists for the current system either A) directly benefit from said system, or B) genuinely do not think of the others who suffer because of it. One of my best friends was just recently diagnosed with diabetes at 30 years old, and he found out that his insulin is going to cost $200 a month. As a freelance worker, he is genuinely terrified of falling into a pit of debt, and I don't blame him one bit.
 

jviggy43

Banned
Oct 28, 2017
18,184
It's so relevant that literally not even Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, or Michelle Obama have endorsed anyone for president.

If Obama didn't want Bernie to be president, it would be incredibly easy for him to do so by just saying "hey, please vote for Klobuchar"

The idea that the DNC is rigging this for Pete somehow when every elected Dem hates him for not having as much experience as them...
Obama's legacy would take a massive blow if he did that and he knows it which is why hes staying out of it. Its as simple as that.
 
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