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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
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How About No

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,785
The Great Dairy State
User banned (1 week); Ignoring staff post in regard to hostility
If you go looking at Trump and go "oh thats fine to give half a vote to", I don't need to hear an explanation. Not in 2020 after it's clear what the consequences will be. Deliberate inaction in the face of horror and terror says it all.
Lool bye fucwad

Shame you're seemingly immune to being permed but we'll take what we can get
 
Oct 28, 2017
4,970
The DNC and media don't control the polls. He was the frontrunner because he was VP to a super popular president for 8 years.

I think it's a chicken and egg situation. Biden has a lot of support because of the image of electability. The problem is that the basis of your campaign being electability doesn't work if you start losing. Which results in declining polls, which means you start losing more. Electability is not exactly the most moving reason for someone to vote for you.

The guy needs to win and poll well more than just about any other candidate.

The CNN South Carolina black voters focus group is telling. They all support Biden because of electability. Only a single person admitted to supporting him in the primary.


Seems those polls suck.

I don't think so. It just means his support isn't basically concrete and firm. Butt is eating his lunch right now because he's showing himself as more "electable".
 

thoughthaver

Banned
Feb 6, 2020
434
the only demographics centrists care about are upper-middle class suburbanites and boomers. everyone else gets platitudes, and if you don't like those platitudes and you don't get in line you are a literally a fascist.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
I don't know how to feel about Steyer yet. On one hand, billionaire, on the other hand, every proletarian revolution needs its class traitors. Marx and Engels were class traitors. Far be it from me to disagree with historical materialism.

Well from a materialist perspective, we cannot blame Engels and Marx because during the time period they live in, education was most accessible to those in the upper-echelons of society. Thus, they would not have been able to write and publish their work without having been well-off during that time. Lenin was walthy too, as was Che. One cannot expect a 19th-century proletariat to have had the ability and accessibility to education that would have led them to developing theories as robust and intellectually profound as Marxism.

Now with education being very accessible to most people in the western world, we cannot exonerate Steyer in the same way, unless he gives up his billions or something.
 
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Deleted member 2145

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
29,223
If anyone is having second thoughts on voting a specific party due to how ERA or how specific posters on ERA speak about others, do not worry.

People on ERA are not reflective of the overall Democratic voter at all in the US.

It's always been a thing here that's bothered me. Always felt like if you lived in a certain area of the country you are painted with a broad brush before anyone even asked you to tell them about yourself.

yep, if you're a d in a red area a lot of people are more than happy to throw you out with the trash
 

Prodigal Son

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,791
i actually think Michael Bloomberg might be my one exception to the vote blue no matter who thing. I guess climate makes that a tough decision but I really, really don't want to reward a republican billionaire literally just buying the presidency. like i just cant. i dont think id be able to do it
 

Deleted member 31817

Nov 7, 2017
30,876
i actually think Michael Bloomberg might be my one exception to the vote blue no matter who thing. I guess climate makes that a tough decision by I really, really don't want to reward a republican billionaire literally just buying the presidency. like i just cant
He's good on gun control and climate change which would be more than I could say about his challenger.
 

Xiaomi

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,237
When did they not consider these issues?

The biggest civil rights laws specifically targeting disabled Americans (IDEA and its predecessor, the ADA and its 2008 amendments) came under Republican administrations (I'm not stanning for Repubs here, but merely pointing this out). Section 8 housing voucher programs date back to Nixon (and modern public housing more broadly) and haven't been meaningfully improved by Democrats from their means-tested, quickly-evaporating nature. Unions have been allowed to wither despite being huge centers of Democratic support since the late 70s. The record shows that Dems in power are not out there fighting for these Americans. Congresspeople, yes, but not presidents.
 

ABC123

Member
Mar 1, 2019
107
Yeah polls are great, Biden was the frontrunner, Trump wasn't going to win...

The polls were right. Trump didn't win the popular vote, which is what the polls measure. Hillary's win in the popular vote was in line with what the polls said right before election day.

Similarly, Biden was the front runner nationally for the entire pre-primary race. He lost in Iowa because Biden's lead in the national polls was largely due to older people of color supporting him, a demographic that's basically absent in Iowa. Now that he's lost Iowa (a state that he hadn't had a consistent lead in the polls since September), that support is slipping.
 

Deleted member 46493

User requested account closure
Banned
Aug 7, 2018
5,231
The biggest civil rights laws specifically targeting disabled Americans (IDEA and its predecessor, the ADA and its 2008 amendments) came under Republican administrations (I'm not stanning for Repubs here, but merely pointing this out). Section 8 housing voucher programs date back to Nixon (and modern public housing more broadly) and haven't been meaningfully improved by Democrats from their means-tested, quickly-evaporating nature. Unions have been allowed to wither despite being huge centers of Democratic support since the late 70s. The record shows that Dems in power are not out there fighting for these Americans. Congresspeople, yes, but not presidents.

I mean, Bill Clinton had NAFTA and was close to messing with Social Security. Centrist Dems don't care about the working class.
 

samoyed

Banned
Oct 26, 2017
15,191
One cannot expect a 19th-century proletariat to have had the ability and accessibility to education that would have led them to developing theories as robust and intellectually profound as Marxism.

Now with education being very accessible to most people in the western world, we cannot exonerate Steyer in the same way, unless he gives up his billions or something.
I don't wish to exonerate him but surely a man like Steyer being born into wealth (was he born into wealth?) is analogous to Pete being born to noted Gramsci scholar Joseph Buttigieg. Sometimes a parent/person fails to impress upon their progeny the lessons they learned; I notice Harris has a similar backstory. If we allow for families breaking away from socialism over one generation, I think we should also allow for families trying to hop on the People's Train.

I won't mince words here, I'm salivating at putting his capital to use to push socialism (I think it'd be a better usage of it than standard Anglosphere philanthropy), so I admit my motivations are entirely mercenary. Also wanted to point out that while education is democratized now, it wasn't in Steyer's day.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
As a disabled person who lives below the poverty line and has voted straight D since I turned 18 in 2001 - I absolutely feel abandoned by the Democratic party and I am tired of how many of you here look down on the poor and lower classes. It's pretty disgusting the way you get away with just painting everyone below you as stupid racists.

I am tired of it. There are huge amounts of people who are abandoned and do not vote or think it's pointless because of people like you.

I'm out of the Democrats if Sanders or Warren isn't the the nominee. I'm not going to back your shit anymore and people who don't give a fuck about me.

Great post, Sean. I know a lot of people preach "listen to marginalized voices," so I hope we can all start practicing that better, especially in regards to disabled folks and the impoverished.

I'm not going to call anyone else, but y'all please take Sean's post to heart. It's not some callous "if I don't get shiny new toys I'm gonna take my ball and go home" or any kind of petulance. If somebody has voted straight democrat for 20 years, all the while being told "you can have better things later," "We'll do right by you later," and that later never comes because the can keeps getting kicked down the road in perpetuity, this represents a serious problem. Coercion via shaming isn't going to help, it's just callous.

When the can keeps getting kicked down the road, and we cannot even collectively come together to acknowledge why that is such a problem, it's tantamount to dismissing and ignoring the voices this system takes advantage of.
 

AwShucks

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,954

National polls of Dem candidates vs Trump are not the issue, they all pretty much lead that. Winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin or some other collection of states like AZ, FL, NC is the concern. I don't know if Bernie can flip the required states against Trump. Though I don't know if anyone can do it.
 

Deleted member 20630

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 28, 2017
1,406
When did they not consider these issues?

Are you asking for receipts here because you're trying to argue that Democrats routinely listen to marginalized voices and shape their platform and policies to improve the lives of people in society's margins? Or are you seriously, sincerely unaware of the uncountable number of ways liberalism and establishment democrats have used us when it's politically convenient only to leave us behind until it comes time for the next election?
 

Septy

Prophet of Truth
Member
Nov 29, 2017
4,082
United States
The irony here is that Southern Democrats who are overwhelmingly non-white are often the ones most ignored. I recall certain states being outright dismissed last time around because "a Democrat won't win there anyway".
States like Louisiana and Georgia have similar minority percentages comparable to California. About 60% white to 40% minorities. Yet they're solid republican states. For the Democrats, not much being done to really appeal to the average voter in these states.
 

Deleted member 46493

User requested account closure
Banned
Aug 7, 2018
5,231
I think Bernie has a chance to flip MI, PA, and WI. Not saying it's guaranteed but there's a chance. Everyone else? No way.
 

xenocide

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,307
Vermont
States like Louisiana and Georgia have similar minority percentages comparable to California. About 60% white to 40% minorities. Yet they're solid republican states. For the Democrats, not much being done to really appeal to the average voter in these states.

Except California doesn't have the history of racism and systemic oppression states like LA, GA, AL, and MS have. It also has larger population centers which tends to lead to more liberal ideology. The problem is that appealing to voters in those southern states means taking a more conservative platform that disenfranchises those (mostly black) voters who do show up for Democrats.
 

Heromanz

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
20,202
Except California doesn't have the history of racism and systemic oppression states like LA, GA, AL, and MS have. It also has larger population centers which tends to lead to more liberal ideology. The problem is that appealing to voters in those southern states means taking a more conservative platform that disenfranchises those (mostly black) voters who do show up for Democrats.
What? Yeah it does. there's a reason why LAPD is like one of the worst police departments in the whole country.
 

Xiaomi

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,237
Except California doesn't have the history of racism and systemic oppression states like LA, GA, AL, and MS have.

Wait, what? No. Putting aside that anywhere in the US has a history of racism and systemic oppression, you're talking about the state of Three Strikes, Rodney King, starvation in minority communities, and extreme redlining designed to keep cities segregated. That's to say nothing of suburban and rural California.
 
Oct 27, 2017
2,853
Orlando, FL
National polls of Dem candidates vs Trump are not the issue, they all pretty much lead that. Winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin or some other collection of states like AZ, FL, NC is the concern. I don't know if Bernie can flip the required states against Trump. Though I don't know if anyone can do it.

I really think Bernie would struggle here in Florida. The repubs are going to obfuscate Sanders message and the Elderly will turn out against him in droves. Luckily, he doesn't need us to win! The rust belt states really haven't seen a lot of benefits from Trumps presidency will give Sanders message a more positive reception. I honestly feel that Georgia and NC are a lost cause this cycle. Resources would be much better allocated in states where Democrats have a realistic chance of winning.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,752
Norman, OK
You're saying that I call him a socialist
And I only do that becuase that's what he will be referred to as in the media and in people's eyes for 6-8 months until Election Day.

Yeah. Let's worry a little less about Fox news, Republican talking points and 'people's eyes' and worry more about keeping things factual. No matter who the Dem nominee is- they're getting branded a socialist. Doesn't mean we need to join in.
 

xenocide

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,307
Vermont
What? Yeah it does. there's a reason why LAPD is like one of the worst police departments in the whole country.

It has its own problems with race relations, but implying the 2 regions are the same because demographics are similar just ignores entirely too much context. Additionally, it ignores the fact that 6.5% of Californians identify as black compared to a place like Georgia where that number is over 30%. The historical systemic racism in Southern former-Jim Crow States is much deeper than racial bias in law enforcement—which those states also have. It's in voting rights, housing, employment, etc.
 

Heromanz

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
20,202
It has its own problems with race relations, but implying the 2 regions are the same because demographics are similar just ignores entirely too much context. Additionally, it ignores the fact that 6.5% of Californians identify as black compared to a place like Georgia where that number is over 30%. The historical systemic racism in Southern former-Jim Crow States is much deeper than racial bias in law enforcement—which those states also have. It's in voting rights, housing, employment, etc.
Which is the same in California. California try to be one of the more of liberal parts of the nation but yeah it's still suffers from the same problems as Georgia or any other state in the Union. The issues around African-Americans is systemic one Nation wide
 

Deleted member 46493

User requested account closure
Banned
Aug 7, 2018
5,231
Yeah. Let's worry a little less about Fox news, Republican talking points and 'people's eyes' and worry more about keeping things factual. No matter who the Dem nominee is- they're getting branded a socialist. Doesn't mean we need to join in.
Obama was still called a socialist even after bailing out the banks lol. Nothing will change their mind so who cares
 
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