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Democratic Presidential Primary |February OT| It Can't be Worse than Iowa, Right? (Discussion Guidelines in OP)
- Thread starter Poodlestrike
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I didn't expect Sanders to win SC, but I also didn't really want to vote for Biden unless I absolutely have to so I let unrealistic optimism answer the poll
This not reverse Nevada btw. Bernie got 34% of popular vote there, nothing close to the 44-45% Biden will get here.
Here's the demo breakdown:
Bernie did win the 19-29 and atheist vote. Biden got... literally everything else. Reverse Nevada.
I mean at least he's getting delegates unlike everybody else lol.
Keep it together until ST, y'all.
Trumps analysis of the Dem primary is actually pretty good lol
SC polls were looking a lot different when the thread poll went up, as well.
If you want Bernie to win the last thing you want is Bloomberg's support to drop before ST. You want him to get votes and split results with Biden
Again, if you're rooting for Bernie you want Bloomberg getting as many votes as possible Tuesday. The concern is soft Bloomber voters moving to Biden.
Which fits considering just how much Biden campaigned there
He has issues with old voters full stop. It's shocking but old people arent too keen on revolutions.
Still had Biden on top. I think pollsters were basically overcompensating for momentum from the looks of things.
For real, what did he gain by the nuance in his argument there? It might be one of the most consequential gaffes in this race thus far. It served no purpose other than to completely halt all positive press coverage & justify all the down-ballot talk that was happening all week. Then he doubled down on it in the debate, ffs.
Let's see if Biden's bold "campaign in only one early state" strategy translates into anything else
Sahil Kapur on Twitter
“New @NBCNews exit polls: Medicare for All goes four-for-four with Democrats in early states. IOWA — 57% support, 38% oppose N.H. — 58% support, 37% oppose NEVADA — 62% support, 35% oppose S.C. — 50% support, 44% oppose”
twitter.com
Always fascinating to see the gulf between people's views of policy questions, and then the actual candidates that ultimately get votes.
edit: another cnn exit poll just showed that Biden led "Very Liberal" voters with 39% and Sanders was second with 30%. Further evidence that ideological distinctions often make no sense when being polled (Sanders won "moderates" in Nevada IIRC).
And this demographic would help Biden win against Trump instead?
This. Poor Steyer though he's had the most ads I've heard here than any single candidate and look at what he has to show for it.
Yeah Biden was still on top but Bernie was closing. A lot of us didn't expect it to swing so hard in the final hours.
Biden winning the "economic system needs overhaul," "top issue: income inequality," and "top issue: climate change" votes is, uh, dispiriting.
Was hoping for more than a blowout Biden victory. Wonder how this stall the Sanders momentum/Boosts Joe. If it becomes an obvious two person race then people will flock to Biden in droves.
Huge wins in TX and CA for Bernie please.
Huge wins in TX and CA for Bernie please.
This is the real question. Biden won his election for President of South Carolina but he doesn't have the presence Bernie does everywhere else.
Funny how that doesn't stop people cheering for candiates winning states like Iowa? Which is now pretty red.
Kind of a fucked up thing to hope for. Let''s not wish it into existence, please.
Biden is the only candidate I could live with should Bernie lose. Well excluding Warren because she has zero percent chance of winning sadly.
Does any of those exit polls have 2nd choices in them? I'm really curious to see who Steyer's voting block will flock to?
Sahil Kapur on Twitter
“New @NBCNews exit polls: Medicare for All goes four-for-four with Democrats in early states. IOWA — 57% support, 38% oppose N.H. — 58% support, 37% oppose NEVADA — 62% support, 35% oppose S.C. — 50% support, 44% oppose”
Always fascinating to see the gulf between people's views of policy questions, and then the actual candidates that ultimately get votes.
People's want for change will always be overridden by their fear of actually enacting it
this is the worst poll I've ever seen. you just know these numbers aren't correct
Sahil Kapur on Twitter
“New @NBCNews exit polls: Medicare for All goes four-for-four with Democrats in early states. IOWA — 57% support, 38% oppose N.H. — 58% support, 37% oppose NEVADA — 62% support, 35% oppose S.C. — 50% support, 44% oppose”
Always fascinating to see the gulf between people's views of policy questions, and then the actual candidates that ultimately get votes.
The thing with this type of thing is that you don't know what they mean when they say it needs a complete overhaul. For them an overhaul might just be more regulations and stimulus with healthcare improvements.
true. But he is already pretty well known and is going to get a lot of media coverage the next 3 days. They key IMO is if Bloomberg voters switch to Biden. If that happens Biden could get viable in California and possibly win Texas.
Assuming Steyer finishes around 12-13%, don't think you can really say Bloomberg would underperform his polls given that would be two states in a row where Steyer roughly hit his polling average.
Of course maybe he takes a sudden drop in the polls, but until I see that I'm not going to assume it.
Of course maybe he takes a sudden drop in the polls, but until I see that I'm not going to assume it.
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