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Democratic Presidential Primary |February OT| It Can't be Worse than Iowa, Right? (Discussion Guidelines in OP)
- Thread starter Poodlestrike
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They were the most accurate in Iowa, Nevada and New hampshire which are usually polling crapshoots. South Carolina is a unique polling crapshoot, though. Usually the leader there runs away with it more than polls predict.
Yeah, can't wait to see some reliable polling for Ohio, Illinois, Arizona and Florida. I'm willing to bet Bernie can hit #1 on the first three if we have a good Super Tuesday.
Seems like it's going to be a turnout game. If older voters have a higher turnout then Sanders loses by big margins.
It was pointed out recently, that in the past several elections polling has consistently under-predicted turnout from older black voters in the SC Dem Primary. I think some pollsters are just reassessing how they weight things given historical trends.
I could live with that result for Bernie, though I'd really prefer a margin under 10%, but this is less than the Nevada divide at least.
Warren losing to Klobuchar again would be kind of depressing.
That debate helped Biden, hope this doesn't give him momentum into Super Tuesday
If all the other states don't have a Biden surge the next few days I'll feel a bit better because then it is pretty centralized to just SC.
He should have spent those 250,000,000 dollars registering hispanics across the Southwest and the Southeast instead. We could actually win the Texas in the GE and the senate seat if another 2 million hispanics were added to the voter rolls.
Considering a few hours ago I was freaked out that he was about to back out and basically fund Biden's campaign individually, this is good.... for now. He could always just change his mind...
TBH a ton of voting has already happened in super tuesday states. I alot of these states the majority of votes are already cast.
It's over Bern. Stop being a pony soldier and give in. It's Joe's turn.
Don't see Pete or Liz dropping out anytime soon given their rhetoric of late.
Had someone even say they expect Steyer to throw more money on the pile he's burning post-Super Tuesday.
Only Klobuchar seems destined to drop after Minnesota's primary.
Around $300m I believe, and all that for nothing.
It's not like he'd say "Yeah I'm not super committed. I'll probably just call it quits if I don't do well at the start."
Not that I don't believe him.
That's crazy town. He's not nearly the dumpster fire that is Bloomburg, and has spent almost as much, but isn't getting near the traction as Bloom.
Lied about mandela, lied about the obama cuba comments, is according to polls, falsely believed to be endorsed by Obama.
Nobody calls him out on it.
Yet i guess its better both he and Bloom stay in it.
nobody brings up the busing thing or his friendship with segregationists. like idk. like I finally get what it feels like to be one of those people who constantly say "Bernie hasn't been vetted" or "they're about to take the gloves off". like attack him on something!!
This is a local story from wisconsin so could easily be overlooked and that someone in here might care. (and yes it's not a major poll or anything like that)
www.channel3000.com
it again shows how close it's going to be in wisconsin.
we have so much that can change before april 7th let alone novemeber though.
Bernie Sanders leads in Wisconsin in latest Marquette Law School Poll
The newest Marquette Law School Poll revealed Thursday afternoon that Sen. Bernie Sanders is a favorite to win the Wisconsin Democratic Presidential primary for the second straight election.
it again shows how close it's going to be in wisconsin.
we have so much that can change before april 7th let alone novemeber though.
He said 150 million americans have been killed by guns, he said he is running for senate...
The media grades Biden on a curve lol.
Bernie got a weeks bad press for middling sentiments about Castro Obama shared.
It is kind of amazing how much Biden has skated by, in terms of media criticism specifically (since I do think a lot of average people and alt-media have pointed it out I guess), on his repeated instances of what I can literally only describe as borderline senility. It just kind of doesn't get treated as a big deal, which is odd considering I'd think that's a far larger concern than Bernie's heart attack, actually.
Please let me know if this is not okay to post here but re: polling
Looks like there's some issues with what was reported where Biden was crushing Bernie?
Again it's just one polling source, but what exactly is going on here?
Looks like there's some issues with what was reported where Biden was crushing Bernie?
Again it's just one polling source, but what exactly is going on here?
I think it's just a matter of people not caring about that. Like you'd think some of his past positions would disqualify him for black voters but he's still pretty popular with them. They don't care. Especially about the older stuff.
Im not sure I follow. what would Nate Silver have anything to do with a polling company? why would his tweets matter.
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