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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
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May 26, 2018
24,020
And besides, if anyone is drawn to Tulsi for her military background, just go for Duckworth. She's military too and actually seems to possess honor.
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Yeah, I used to be okay with Warren as VP but then she kind of went moderate super candidate and has been making worse and worse moves (imo) as time goes on even kind of what I see as bridge burning a VP run with Sanders but has been budding up with Klob instead.

Abrams is now out for me since she's taking Bloomer money.

Who tf is left? Is Talib good progressive option? I haven't looked into her policy opinions yet.

Talib is a great progressive, she's one of the squad and is much more the foreign policy progressive which helps Bernie who is more domestic policy. She had that contentious issue with israel restricting her travel to see her grandmother because she wanted to document Palestinian conditions in israel
 
Dec 6, 2018
574
What's Tony Evers approval looking like lately? If Sanders goes for Baldwin, he might be the safest pick to go for to take her seat again, plus that let's the younger LG Barnes take the reins of Wisconsin
 

Tiger Priest

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,120
New York, NY
Was obviously just a tongue in cheek reference to a silly Warren controversy. Not trolling but I'm sure you've already reported it as such.

Um, no? Sorry for misinterpreting.

Also what are these supposed weaknesses that a Bernie VP would need to alleviate?

He's a 78 year old socialist who just had a heart attack.

You can call Bernie whatever you want idc, if you are an immigrant I wouldn't have any problem with you saying that. Just like Me being a black man and saying you're supporting an "all life matter" cop supporter shouldn't be a problem. You don't seem to care either way seeing as you just have a "different belief" than me.

I have different beliefs not in terms of supporting Black Lives Matter but in terms of who I think is the most capable and electable candidate in the fall. I don't honestly believe that Pete is a racist - if I did, I wouldn't support him. Just as I don't honestly believe that Bernie is a xenophobe. I just don't think he can win and I don't think a 78 year old socialist who just had a heart attack should be our nominee. You are free to disagree with that. I'm almost certain that you and I agree on 95% of the issues.
 

medinaria

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,544
Wut, afaik he actually speaks several languages. Seems like a bitch eating crackers type thing.

so this is actually kind of a fascinating topic - there's a reasonably strong argument to be made that he's not anywhere near what his reputation suggests on this matter

a lot of it comes down to the definition of "speaks" (which sounds pedantic, but various terms like "speak" and "fluent" can have dramatically different interpretations to some people). by his own admission:

apparently he knows at least (and in some cases, probably only) enough to order a sandwich in the languages he speaks.

while he's not out claiming that he's perfectly fluent in seven languages, and "whatever he picked up in five minutes on duolingo" is probably a bit of an understatement, it's likely true to say that his knowledge in most of the languages is at most "took one or two classes on it at college" level. "donde esta la biblioteca" does not a spanish-speaker make. in fact, we know from basically every time he's spoken spanish on camera that he's... kind of shit at it, and supposedly his norwegian wasn't very good either (I wouldn't know). at minimum, it seems to be the case that he's assuredly not an actual speaker of seven languages, outside of "being able to make the sounds that make the words".
 

Replicant

Attempted to circumvent a ban with an alt
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
9,380
MN
User banned (1 week): Ignoring staff post with regard to hostility
What sinks Bernie for me is his supporters. A lot of them are straight up assholes who to me are in the levels of MAGA peep just on the other side. His hardcore base is very much cultish and Bernie rarely if ever calls them out for their shitty behavior.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,819
Yeah that's true but are older folks really going to not vote for Sanders because of his VP pick? They are the most consistent and reliable voting bloc. A lot of republicans didn't like Trump, but they came home in the general regardless.
In part because of Mike Pence.

One reason why Abrams would be a good VP pick, for example, is that she would be a great campaigner in places with older, moderate African-Americans in the South (not Bernie's natural habitat). Georgia and North Carolina are huge swing states this year.
 

Xx 720

Member
Nov 3, 2017
3,920
Sanders has proposed to ban fracking by 2025. Won't that kill him in Pennsylvania? If we lose Pennsylvania, how do we get the White House, mathematically speaking?
 

PixelatedDonut

Chicken Chaser
Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,966
Philly ❤️
Um, no? Sorry for misinterpreting.



He's a 78 year old socialist who just had a heart attack.



I have different beliefs not in terms of supporting Black Lives Matter but in terms of who I think is the most capable and electable candidate in the fall. I don't honestly believe that Pete is a racist - if I did, I wouldn't support him. Just as I don't honestly believe that Bernie is a xenophobe. I just don't think he can win and I don't think a 78 year old socialist who just had a heart attack should be our nominee. You are free to disagree with that. I'm almost certain that you and I agree on 95% of the issues.
We don't. Hence why I'm supporting someone else.

you say all this, but you keep acting like the candidate that black people don't want has a chance. I don't understand this line of thinking. We don't want Pete, he doesn't have a chance because we don't want him.
 

Sidebuster

Member
Oct 26, 2017
2,406
California
Don't even make the basest effort to try? Sounds very Hillary 2016.
I mean he can try and should of course. But they might be more concerned with their own money fears than anything he has to say. Like, "I want to help the poor" , okay good now here's this new M4A plan and a chart where you might pay more in taxes (and less in premiums, out of pocket, etc), "Now hold on a second. I didn't want to help that much!", okay well what about a living wage $15 an hour? "But my hamburger might go up 25 cents? pass." Well then what's your idea of help the poor? "I was thinking more like giving motivating speeches about how they should work harder." but those speeches will cost tax payer money "oh never mind then".

In other words, he shouldn't also bend over backwards to them and I doubt he will. His speech seems to speak more for people who are disenfranchised in some way more than for people who probably won't be much worse off (or see themselves as worse off) with a Bloomberg or Trump presidency.
 

lmcfigs

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,091
you say all this, but you keep acting like the candidate that black people don't want has a chance. I don't understand this line of thinking. We don't want Pete, he doesn't have a chance because we don't want him.
Pete isn't destined to do poorly w/ black voters, especially if he keeps proving that he's a viable contender. If black voters can look the other way at Joe Biden being friends w/ segregationists, then they probably can come to support Buttigieg as well.
 

Ionic

Banned
Oct 31, 2017
2,735
We don't. Hence why I'm supporting someone else.

You're not supporting Sanders because he called for a ban on fracking half a decade from now that might hurt his political chances in Pennsylvania in the general? That criteria throws Warren and Sanders out. Even Pete said he'd phase out fracking fairly quickly. That's a pretty boring hill to die on only to be left with like, Klob and Biden.
 

medinaria

Member
Oct 30, 2017
2,544
Sanders has proposed to ban fracking by 2025. Won't that kill him in Pennsylvania? If we lose Pennsylvania, how do we get the White House, mathematically speaking?

so I mean, mathematically speaking, the shortest path has never gone through pennsylvania

if I were to draw up the simplest path:
  • win arizona (huge latino support currently, seems very possible)
  • win wisconsin (definitely a winnable state, definitely would be helped by a tammy baldwin vp pick)
  • win ne-2 (obama won it in 2008, it's a winnable district, kara eastman's a good candidate there and should get some help regardless)
  • hold the dem-leaning states
  • that's 270, you win
but also, like, just so we're clear, a fracking ban is by no means a "lol you lose pennsylvania" policy

According to the poll, 48% of registered voters support a ban on fracking compared to 39% who oppose a ban. Support for a ban is split across partisan lines. Democrats favor a fracking ban 64%-23%, which Republicans oppose a ban. Only 30% of Republicans favor a ban, while 56% oppose. Independents are evenly split at 43%-43%. However, both self-described liberals and moderates in Pennsylvania support a ban, while conservatives oppose it.
 

lmcfigs

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,091
and what even are we saying. we shouldn't support banning fracking? like that's a horrible position! it's horrible for everyone's health and the planet
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
I mean he can try and should of course. But they might be more concerned with their own money fears than anything he has to say. Like, "I want to help the poor" , okay good now here's this new M4A plan and a chart where you might pay more in taxes (and less in premiums, out of pocket, etc), "Now hold on a second. I didn't want to help that much!", okay well what about a living wage $15 an hour? "But my hamburger might go up 25 cents? pass." Well then what's your idea of help the poor? "I was thinking more like giving motivating speeches about how they should work harder." but those speeches will cost tax payer money "oh never mind then".

In other words, he shouldn't also bend over backwards to them and I doubt he will. His speech seems to speak more for people who are disenfranchised in some way more than for people who probably won't be much worse off (or see themselves as worse off) with a Bloomberg or Trump presidency.
Putting in a VP that seems like a compromise isn't bending over backwards by any stretch of the imagination.

There will also be a larger amount of people that are going to not-vote if they don't get their candidate this election than there would be if there were only two candidates because... There are more candidates and there's going to be ~60-70% of the electorate that's going to be in the "voted for a different candidate" pile to have to appeal to, which is precisely why it's more important than ever to send them an olive branch.
 

Xx 720

Member
Nov 3, 2017
3,920
you say all this, but you keep acting like the candidate that black people don't want has a chance. I don't understand this line of thinking. We don't want Pete, he doesn't have a chance because we don't want him.
Doesn't have to be Pete? Personally I just don't want 4 more Trump. We have to win the general election to do that. It can't be that hard to find someone the party can get behind and also flip Pennsylvania and the rust belt.
 

Xx 720

Member
Nov 3, 2017
3,920
so I mean, mathematically speaking, the shortest path has never gone through pennsylvania

if I were to draw up the simplest path:
  • win arizona (huge latino support currently, seems very possible)
  • win wisconsin (definitely a winnable state, definitely would be helped by a tammy baldwin vp pick)
  • win ne-2 (obama won it in 2008, it's a winnable district, kara eastman's a good candidate there and should get some help regardless)
  • hold the dem-leaning states
  • that's 270, you win
but also, like, just so we're clear, a fracking ban is by no means a "lol you lose pennsylvania" policy
I hope u are right, I don't want 4 more trump
 

Deleted member 5876

Big Seller
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
2,559
What sinks Bernie for me is his supporters. A lot of them are straight up assholes who to me are in the levels of MAGA peep just on the other side. His hardcore base is very much cultish and Bernie rarely if ever calls them out for their shitty behavior.

I mean. Anyone can go on twitter and claim to be a Bernie supporter and talk shit and cause chaos.
Frankly I wouldn't put it past Trump alt-righters to do exactly that.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,215
Sanders has proposed to ban fracking by 2025. Won't that kill him in Pennsylvania? If we lose Pennsylvania, how do we get the White House, mathematically speaking?

All of the people in PA that profit off of fracking are already rural NRA Trump supporters anyway. He just needs to swing back the Philly suburbs that went to Obama, and flipped for Trump. Sunoco is running a pipeline through here that no-one likes.
 
Oct 25, 2017
4,179
We're trying to win, and Bernie is pragmatic enough to understand that. Nina Turner and Elizabeth Warren add nothing. The VP pick should be someone who alleviates his biggest weaknesses. Don't pull a Hillary and pick someone who adds nothing.

Abrams, Duckworth, Klobuchar, and Baldwin are the best possibilities imo

If Bernie picks a moderate as a running mate, it won't be too long after inauguration day that they find him dead in a ditch of 'natural causes'. (Natural causes in this case being multiple gun shot wounds to the back of the head from different types of guns)
 

HipsterMorty

alt account
Banned
Jan 25, 2020
901
In part because of Mike Pence.

One reason why Abrams would be a good VP pick, for example, is that she would be a great campaigner in places with older, moderate African-Americans in the South (not Bernie's natural habitat). Georgia and North Carolina are huge swing states this year.
Pence and Trump are both pretty far right no? Anecdotally I've never heard anyone say they didn't like Trump but voted for him because of Pence. I'm pretty confident that most people would vote their party consistently even when they don't love the candidate.

Plus Bernie polls well against Trump in swing states that were pivotal losses in 2016 like Michigan and Wisconsin. Add to that Bernie is shaping up to make Texas actually competitive in the general for the first time in who knows how long.

On top of all this, Clinton was a moderate and she got wrecked in 2016. The type of people who came out for Democrats in 2016 are the people who are going to turn out for Democrats regardless. I think we have a lot more ground to lose in pandering to moderates than we do to gain in pushing further left and convincing people that the Democratic Party isn't about the status quo anymore.
 

Mr. Wonderful

Member
Oct 27, 2017
2,295
We're trying to win, and Bernie is pragmatic enough to understand that. Nina Turner and Elizabeth Warren add nothing. The VP pick should be someone who alleviates his biggest weaknesses. Don't pull a Hillary and pick someone who adds nothing.

Abrams, Duckworth, Klobuchar, and Baldwin are the best possibilities imo
Those are some great picks. I'd still be happy with Warren, too, though, even if it doesn't address as many of his weaknesses.

One thing I would say about Baldwin is I'd worry what would happen in a special election to replace her Senate seat. Wisconsin can go either way depending on how the wind is blowing in special elections/non-major elections.
 
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