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Who's Going to Win South Carolina?

  • Joe Biden

    Votes: 585 39.2%
  • Bernie Sanders

    Votes: 853 57.2%
  • Elizabeth Warren

    Votes: 24 1.6%
  • Pete Buttigieg

    Votes: 7 0.5%
  • THE KLOBBERER

    Votes: 16 1.1%
  • Tom Steyer

    Votes: 6 0.4%

  • Total voters
    1,491
  • Poll closed .
Status
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Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Pete and Klobchar are gonna drop off severely from here on out. THey spent most of their time trying to find a way to piggy bank off of the first two states but it wont be enough
 

Tiger Priest

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,120
New York, NY
Actually, Bernie's matchup in the general always tends to poll in his favor. No need to be cynical!

Pete will probably drop out after or around Super Tuesday given his complete lack of non-white support.

I've been through this over and over in this thread but I do not believe those numbers would hold once the red scare campaign against Bernie starts in the fall. Florida would be an automatic loss with all of the older Jews and Cubans so we're talking about an extremely narrow lane to win an EC victory. We would have to hold everything and run the table in WI, MI, and PA (and in the latter the fracking industry will go hard against Bernie).

I would love to be proven wrong, but that is my assessment.
 

gogosox82

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,385
she's paying herself a 200k salary?
I saw that. That is a bit suspect but it read to me she was doing a lot of the work personally. Its working more like a consulting firm that gives money to candidates so i think the salary is okish to me.
Did you read the first link?
I read all of the links.
Right, they backed Trump voter Richard Ojeda, for instance. If you look at the financials and the large sums Ball is taking in vs what they spend on candidates... looks pretty shady to me.

But to pull back and look at the big picture, we all, I think, to some degree or another want to believe the best about media figures who support our candidates of choice. It's totally understandable. I'm sure I've done it plenty. In this case, I think Ball deserves some extra scrutiny.

They are picky i will say that and you can question the "long shot" candidates she is working with but its not shady. Shady would be giving out money but then having the candidates funnel the money back through a secret pac that pays her. Here, you can see everything. You can see exactly how much money she is making and how much she is giving out in return. Nothing really speaks to it being shady.
 

Deleted member 3896

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
5,815
They are picky i will say that and you can question the "long shot" candidates she is working with but its not shady. Shady would be giving out money but then having the candidates funnel the money back through a secret pac that pays her. Here, you can see everything. You can see exactly how much money she is making and how much she is giving out in return. Nothing really speaks to it being shady.
I guess we'll disagree on what qualifies calling a PAC shady then.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,325
We should consider this:


FPwk1ec.jpg
 

PMS341

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt-account
Banned
Oct 29, 2017
6,634
I've been through this over and over in this thread but I do not believe those numbers would hold once the red scare campaign against Bernie starts in the fall. Florida would be an automatic loss with all of the older Jews and Cubans so we're talking about an extremely narrow lane to win an EC victory. We would have to hold everything and run the table in WI, MI, and PA (and in the latter the fracking industry will go hard against Bernie).

I would love to be proven wrong, but that is my assessment.

Fox News has already called Buttigieg a socialist too. They've used "socialist" as a scare tactic for years against multiple Democrats. Bernie has shown time and time again he knows exactly how to address that scare, which he has done multiple times in interviews and in debates. I don't think it'll be any worse than it already is tbh, but who knows.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,325
Geez, tab away for a couple minutes and came back to 4 alerts. I thought I'd accidentally pasted the wrong image.
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Fox News has already called Buttigieg a socialist too. They've used "socialist" as a scare tactic for years against multiple Democrats. Bernie has shown time and time again he knows exactly how to address that scare, which he has done multiple times in interviews and in debates. I don't think it'll be any worse than it already is tbh, but who knows.
I mean, I'm not sure it would sink him, but someone actually agreeing with the thing in question makes an attack land more. Like, let me put it this way: Bernie has been attacked for having a superpac that he does not support. Buttigieg has called that getting shadow money. Would the attack of someone saying that a candidate gets shadow money land more on Buttigieg or Sanders?
 

Kazooie

Member
Jul 17, 2019
5,011
If everyone else is determined to veto Bernie (and that would happen) , he won't get it. Better to get some of what you want, than nothing, especially when there's a chance it could end up Bloomberg. If you only end up with 35% of the delegates, you haven't necessarily won even if you have the most at the end.

The Republicans tried this strategy against Trump in 2016, it failed, but that was the idea- force a contested convention then veto Trump. If the Republicans had run under the Dem's 2020 rules, it would have succeeded.
Isn't Warren, for instance, supposed to be very close to Sanders, politically and personally? Why would she refuse to cooperate in such a situation?
 

lmcfigs

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
12,091
I saw that. That is a bit suspect but it read to me she was doing a lot of the work personally. Its working more like a consulting firm that gives money to candidates so i think the salary is okish to me.

I read all of the links.


They are picky i will say that and you can question the "long shot" candidates she is working with but its not shady. Shady would be giving out money but then having the candidates funnel the money back through a secret pac that pays her. Here, you can see everything. You can see exactly how much money she is making and how much she is giving out in return. Nothing really speaks to it being shady.
I don't get why its so hard for some people to just say Tulsi is bad. I want to like Krystal Ball, but if she can't even do that... then is she really worth listening to?
 

SolarPowered

Member
Oct 28, 2017
2,211
Right before the account protected itself, they tried to claim they just woke up to see all these Bernie Bros accusing him of being fake, and when someone pointed out that it was 5PM in Nigeria they tried to claim that they had been taking a nap.

They also once tweeted about wanting to go to sleep and wake up to see good news for Pete, and it was like 6:30am in Nigeria but midnight EST.
This is just... *chef's kiss*
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
Two things about this.
One: I will applaud you if you keep this standard up against the rest of the pundits.
Two: See? Much better approach than "oh gosh, she goes on TUCKER!". The only thing on that list that hits me as problematic is the PAC stuff. The focus on the russian interfence is absolutely horrific as a direction when the MSM gave Trump hundreds of millions of dollars in free coverage. We all remember when they switched to an empty podium from a rival's speech instead. I still remember when I had this naive hope that Super Saiyan Mueller will file charges against him, and the day he testified was a very sad and sobering moment for me.


I agree.


Her being paid money for her work and supporting "former trump voter richard ojeda" against a republican? Its not enough to hang your hat on.

Going on fox is not enough to call someone a grifter, especially just because you think they should have pushed back a bit harder on certain things, she didnt start spewing fox news talking points, she went on to talk about issues she wanted to discuss related to leftism.

Ball's insinuation is russia gate hysteria of the media compared to the dismissal of money itself influencing our democracy and someone like bloomberg being normalized by the media in turn is a perfectly reasonable criticism of the media and the DNC's handling of Russian bots.

You cant say the media focusing on russia hysteria, then mueller, then ukraine for years with it yielding absolutely zero over foreign interference when we have credible interference of democracy documented right now with corruption everywhere, its very two faced.

She didnt support Tulsi for president, she has supported Sanders and Warren for years. So whether she defended her from being called a russian asset by clinton shouldent concern anyone, and i myself dont really like tulsi at all


Isn't Warren, for instance, supposed to be very close to Sanders, politically and personally? Why would she refuse to cooperate in such a situation?

Warren has been siding up to Amy klobuchar, with her strategists telling her to back away from M4A and such....its really sad. To take the side of the culinary union leadership over the actual members who predictably split when they had to call out their leadership over their own support for M4A was just a huge mess, especially when we found out that center for american progress had connections to the leadership made it even more complicated
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Someone who makes a superpac to support candidates and donates >1/3rd of the money to themselves really doesn't deserve the benefit of the doubt tbh.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,325
How would you enforce this? States organize their own primaries and caucuses however they like. The US election is essentially 50 different elections (which in itself is a silly system).


Presumably it would be an agreement with the states. The real issue is that once it has become clear who the nominee will be during some years and turnout for the remaining states flounders they'll miss out so it'd be a real pain to be one of the last states.
 

Deleted member 31817

Nov 7, 2017
30,876
Someone who makes a superpac to support candidates and donates >1/3rd of the money to themselves really doesn't deserve the benefit of the doubt tbh.
Yup, we give managers and CEOs shit for this all the time and that's in for-profit businesses, this is supposed to be an altruistic thing to help out Dem candidates across the country and she's taking in that high of a percentage? Nah, foh.
 

gogosox82

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,385
I don't get why its so hard for some people to just say Tulsi is bad. I want to like Krystal Ball, but if she can't even do that... then is she really worth listening to?
Well I don't like Tusli either tbh but maybe she sees some value is supporting her on some level. I think there are better progressive woman to support personally.
 

Inuhanyou

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
14,214
New Jersey
I don't get why its so hard for some people to just say Tulsi is bad. I want to like Krystal Ball, but if she can't even do that... then is she really worth listening to?

Some progressives only see the media trashing her and get reflexive due to her primary issue being anti war. Because she left the DNC and went over to endorsing Bernie Sanders in 2016, she somehow unofficially became a progressive due putting her supposed signature issue as being anti intervention.

She never really earned it for me because she was never actually calling out money in politics or anything, it was always her service and hanging herself on being a single issue character. You cant be progressive with just a single issue especially when we find out your not as anti intervention as you claimed to be supporting torture and people like Mohdi despite the criticism he got.

Im willing to give her benefit of a doubt on evolving away from homophobia when she was younger but she just seems like a grifter to me that has played the progressive left defending her. What is she still doing in the race?
 

Kusagari

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,382
Tulsi literally went on Dave Rubin's podcast and agreed with him that every Democrat besides her hates America and that Beto/Booker speaking Spanish at the debate was one of the biggest problems in America.
 

Deleted member 31817

Nov 7, 2017
30,876
Almost as if they should have scrapped the caucus after Iowa
To be fair completely revamping their election system in less than a month would have resulted in a much bigger clusterfuck.

Tulsi literally went on Dave Rubin's podcast and agreed with him that every Democrat besides her hates America and that Beto/Booker speaking Spanish at the debate was one of the biggest problems in America.
Lmaooo
 

N64Controller

Member
Nov 2, 2017
8,325
Tulsi literally went on Dave Rubin's podcast and agreed with him that every Democrat besides her hates America and that Beto/Booker speaking Spanish at the debate was one of the biggest problems in America.

At least they seem to actually speak Spanish, not like Pete who just claims he speaks whatever language he spent 5 minutes on using Duolingo.
 
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